HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
NK Osijek
Stadion Poljud, Split·Patrik Kolarić, Croatia 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.24
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
3 days
NK Osijek Rest
8 days

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek: result, form and history

HNK Hajduk Split beat NK Osijek 4-0 in the HNL on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. NK Osijek tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.6 for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%2.08
X
22%3.50
2
24%3.12
Double Chance
1X
76%1.32
X2
47%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.01 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.24
Over 2.5
58%1.77
Over 3.5
32%2.95
Under 1.5
21%3.75
Under 2.5
42%1.98
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.8 = 8.9
Over 8.5
48%1.54
Over 9.5
37%1.92
Over 10.5
33%2.44
Under 8.5
52%2.31
Under 9.5
63%1.80
Under 10.5
67%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
54%1.36
Over 4.5
34%1.78
Under 3.5
46%2.65
Under 4.5
66%1.88

Match Events

9'E. BrrutiAssist: D. Melnjak
33'Card upgradeSenad Mustafic
34'Senad MustaficProfessional foul (last man)
36'A. Jakupovic INM. Heister out
46'S. Mikolcic INO. Petrusenko out
46'D. Bukvic INI. Dolcek out
53'Oleksandr PetrusenkoFoul
54'M. LivajaAssist: A. Guram
58'Marko LivajaFoul
61'Luka HodakFoul
62'N. Omerovic INA. Ljatifi out
64'M. Livaja INM. Sego out
64'A. Guram INA. Sanyang out
64'E. Brruti INM. Soticek out
72'L. Hodak INS. Hrgovic out
72'A. Sutalo IND. de Almeida out
73'A. Leon INBalelo out
79'Dalisson de AlmeidaFoul
83'A. SanyangAssist: M. Soticek
90'S. HrgovicAssist: D. de Almeida

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
NK Osijek
4-1-3-2Coach: Federico Bessone Luna
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.24
T. Silic7.933T. Silic
L. Hodak6.938L. Hodak
R. Gabric7.33R. Gabric
A. Van Hoorenbeeck7.25A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. Melnjak7.617D. Melnjak
A. del Moral7.320A. del Moral
A. Pajaziti7.24A. Pajaziti
A. Sutalo7.216A. Sutalo
E. Brruti8.219E. Brruti
A. Guram7.726A. Guram
M. LivajaC7.310M. Livaja
M. MalenicaC5.931M. Malenica
S. Mustafic5.377S. Mustafic
I. Kolarik6.949I. Kolarik
L. Jelenic6.326L. Jelenic
R. Jurisic5.322R. Jurisic
L. Vrbancic6.623L. Vrbancic
D. Bukvic6.939D. Bukvic
S. Mikolcic6.38S. Mikolcic
N. Omerovic6.211N. Omerovic
A. Leon6.079A. Leon
A. Jakupovic6.517A. Jakupovic

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

44D. Stipica
1I. Ivusic
32S. Hrgovic72'for L. Hodak90'7.9
14R. Raci
15D. Maresic
36M. Skelin
21R. Pukstas
11M. Sego64'for M. Livaja6.3
7A. Sanyang64'for A. Guram83'8.3
9D. de Almeida72'for A. Sutalo79'6.7
23M. Soticek64'for E. Brruti6.3

NK Osijek Substitutes

1N. Curcija
2M. Heister36'for A. Jakupovic6.2
33E. Hasic
24L. Posavec
47D. Kalem
67B. Bakti
16O. Petrusenko46'for S. Mikolcic53'6.3
18N. Farkas
7I. Dolcek46'for D. Bukvic6.6
30A. Ljatifi62'for N. Omerovic6.2
99Balelo73'for A. Leon6.3
98M. Jovicic

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
55%Ball Possession45%
0Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls16
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
450Total Passes365
379Passes Accurate301
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
NK OsijekNK Osijek
1763Elo Rating 1558
1.22Attack 1.30
2.22Defense 1.29
86%Hit Rate 17%
13.3Shots per Game 18.8
5.5Shots on Target 5.5
3.6Corners per Game 7.0
2.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+206 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
NK OsijekNK Osijek
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
NK OsijekNK Osijek3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL21/04/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
01
HNL15/02/2026
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split
02
HNL08/11/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
20
HNL24/08/2025
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split
02
HNL27/04/2025
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split
20
HNL22/02/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
40
HNL24/11/2024
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split
22
HNL31/08/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
10
HNL14/04/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
12
HNL03/02/2024
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split
11

Recent Form

NK OsijekNK Osijek
6W0D4L
15/08/2026
NK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10
W
08/08/2026
RudesNK Osijek
16
W
01/08/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
02
W
25/07/2026
NK OsijekRizespor
13
L
22/07/2026
NK OsijekHNK Cibalia
30
W
18/07/2026
NK OsijekBudapest Honved
21
W
04/07/2026
NK OsijekPaks
04
L
22/05/2026
NK OsijekNK Slaven Belupo
20
W
16/05/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
20
L
10/05/2026
NK OsijekIstra 1961
01
L

Referee Profile

Patrik Kolarić143 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patrik Kolarić4.40
Other referees4.45

4.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).

Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1172221:11+1023DWWLW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1071225:13+1222WWLWL
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1052317:14+317LWLWD
6Istra 1961Istra 19611134419:18+113DLWLW
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913WLWDL
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9RudesRudes1131714:27-1310WLWDL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica111467:15-87DDLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1121:1123
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1025:1322
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1017:1417
6Istra 1961Istra 19611119:1813
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1114:2313
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9RudesRudes1114:2710
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica117:157
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About the HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek in the HNL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st in the HNL, 6 points ahead of NK Osijek in 4th. League goal record so far: HNK Hajduk Split 21-11, NK Osijek 19-16. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.