Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
NK Varazdin
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb·Duje Strukan, Croatia 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
4 days
NK Varazdin Rest
6 days

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin: the result in context

Dinamo Zagreb beat NK Varazdin 3-1 in the HNL on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dinamo Zagreb have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Duje Strukan averages 5.16 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.49
X
23%4.36
2
14%5.55
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
37%2.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.69
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.28 + 0.78 = 3.06
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.42
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.28
Under 3.5
67%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 2.8 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.48
Over 9.5
53%1.83
Over 10.5
41%2.29
Under 8.5
36%2.44
Under 9.5
47%1.88
Under 10.5
59%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
51%2.02
Over 4.5
31%2.92
Under 3.5
49%1.67
Under 4.5
69%1.29

Match Events

28'M. MladenovskiAssist: I. Canjuga
45'M. ZajcUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'N. TepsicFoul
56'P. Tabinas INM. Valincic out
56'B. Goda INM. Perez Vinlof out
57'D. Beljo
60'I. Mamut INM. Vuk out
60'M. Marina INT. Duvnjak out
68'N. GalesicAssist: D. Beljo
72'F. MaglicaFoul
72'L. Mamic IND. Puclin out
72'I. Tavares INE. Uchegbu out
73'A. Hoxha INM. Orsic out
73'M. Zajc INR. Mudrazija out
80'A. Latkovic INS. Juric out
81'M. Lisica INF. Topic out
82'J. MisicFoul
90+3'R. MudrazijaAssist: D. Beljo

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb
4-3-3Coach: Mario Kovacevic
NK Varazdin
4-2-3-1Coach: Nikola Safaric
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.79
Ivan Nevistić6.333I. Nevistić
Paul Bismarck Tabinas7.013P. Bismarck Tabinas
Niko Galešić7.215N. Galešić
Stjepan Radeljić6.96S. Radeljić
Bruno Goda6.53B. Goda
Lukas Kačavenda7.380L. Kačavenda
Josip MišićC7.227J. Mišić
Miha Zajc6.28M. Zajc
Mateo Lisica6.321M. Lisica
Dion Drena Beljo6.59D. Drena Beljo
Arber Hoxha6.611A. Hoxha
Josip Silić7.533J. Silić
Frane Maglica6.323F. Maglica
Mario Mladenovski7.913M. Mladenovski
Novak Tepšić7.216N. Tepšić
Gregor Sikošek6.920G. Sikošek
Ivan Canjuga6.928I. Canjuga
Mario MarinaC6.324M. Marina
Aleksa Latković6.210A. Latković
Luka Mamić6.722L. Mamić
Iuri Tavares6.338I. Tavares
Ivan Mamut6.517I. Mamut

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

44Ivan Filipović
22Matteo Pérez Vinlöf56'for B. Goda
25Moris Valinčić56'for P. Tabinas
26Scott McKenna
36Sergi Domínguez
5Kirill Kravtsov
20Robert Mudražija73'for M. Zajc90+3'
41Sven Šunta
99Mislav Oršić73'for A. Hoxha
14Smail Prevljak
30Fran Topić81'for M. Lisica
77Noah Nsoki

NK Varazdin Substitutes

1Oliver Zelenika
4Luka Škaričić
5Sven Lesjak
12Petar Bočkaj
30Luka Posinković
3Elvir Duraković
6David Puclin72'for L. Mamic
7Matej Vuk60'for I. Mamut
8Tomislav Duvnjak60'for M. Marina
11Emma Uchegbu
21Ivan Posavec
9Stipe Jurić80'for A. Latkovic

Match Stats

Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots6
11Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves8
539Total Passes373
476Passes Accurate298
88%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
1756Elo Rating 1623
2.61Attack 0.75
1.36Defense 1.95
56%Hit Rate 19%
16.0Shots per Game 13.5
6.7Shots on Target 3.2
4.2Corners per Game 3.5
1.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+133 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL26/04/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
21
HNL22/02/2026
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
04
HNL22/11/2025
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
31
HNL30/08/2025
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
22
HNL25/05/2025
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
10
HNL30/03/2025
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
11
HNL22/12/2024
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
32
HNL06/10/2024
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
01
HNL27/04/2024
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
01
HNL17/04/2024
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
21

Recent Form

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
6W4D0L
18/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebViking
22
D
14/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebRudes
40
W
11/08/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisDinamo Zagreb
12
W
04/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebKauno Žalgiris
50
W
31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
W
28/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebFC Thun
3222
W
21/07/2026
FC ThunDinamo Zagreb
11
D
14/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebLNZ Cherkasy
00
D
02/07/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeDinamo Zagreb
09
W
23/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
00
D
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8W0D2L
16/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
20
W
09/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
14
W
02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
21
W
30/07/2026
FK JablonecNK Varazdin
20
L
23/07/2026
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
32
W
12/07/2026
Bihor OradeaNK Varazdin
13
W
10/07/2026
RadomljeNK Varazdin
01
W
04/07/2026
NK VarazdinCSKA 1948
10
W
02/07/2026
NK VarazdinFC Voluntari
21
W
27/06/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
21
L

Referee Profile

Duje Strukan174 matches

5.16Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Duje Strukan5.16
Other referees4.47

5.16 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1172221:11+1023DWWLW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1071225:13+1222WWLWL
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1052317:14+317LWLWD
6Istra 1961Istra 19611134419:18+113DLWLW
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913WLWDL
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9RudesRudes1131714:27-1310WLWDL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica111467:15-87DDLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1121:1123
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1025:1322
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1017:1417
6Istra 1961Istra 19611119:1813
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1114:2313
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9RudesRudes1114:2710
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica117:157
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About the Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin in the HNL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd in the HNL, 4 points ahead of NK Varazdin in 3rd. League goal record so far: Dinamo Zagreb 25-13, NK Varazdin 15-10. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.