HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Prediction

HNK Gorica
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
HNK Gorica Rest
5 days
NK Varazdin Rest
5 days

HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin: result, form and history

HNK Gorica and NK Varazdin drew 2-2 in the HNL on 14 Sep 2026. NK Varazdin had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for HNK Gorica.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them. HNK Gorica tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.6 for NK Varazdin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.31
X
28%3.27
2
45%2.07
Double Chance
1X
55%1.67
X2
73%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.75
No
50%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.31 = 2.44
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.95
Over 3.5
24%3.40
Under 1.5
30%3.21
Under 2.5
53%1.80
Under 3.5
76%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 5.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.51
Over 9.5
40%1.88
Over 10.5
33%2.38
Under 8.5
46%2.38
Under 9.5
60%1.80
Under 10.5
67%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

16'frigan jurajFoul
45'Kevin Custovic INFilip Braut out
50'Tom LacouxFoul
53'Bruno BogojevićAssist: frigan juraj
57'Tom Lacoux INOgnjen Bakic out
57'Patrik Mijic INFran Brodić out
57'luka mamicAssist: Stipe Jurić
62'Goncalo Costa INivan cvijanovic out
63'Ivan Canjuga INTomislav Duvnjak out
63'Stipe Jurić INValentin Akrap out
63'Iuri Tavares INEmmanuel Uchegbu Chimeroucheya out
78'Mario MarinaTime wasting
81'Domagoj Pavičić INLuka Vrzic out
85'Valentin Akrap
85'Aleksa Latkovic INIvan Posavec out
88'luka mamic INLuka Skaricic out
90+5'ivan cvijanovic

Lineups

HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Carević
NK Varazdin
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Šafarić
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.78
R. Josipović7.11R. Josipović
S. Perić6.145S. Perić
J. Filipović6.432J. Filipović
D. Stevanović6.015D. Stevanović
Gonçalo Costa6.35G. Costa
T. Lacoux5.86T. Lacoux
Juraj Frigan7.466J. Frigan
K. Čustović6.04K. Čustović
D. Pavičić6.024D. Pavičić
B. Bogojević6.525B. Bogojević
P. Mijić6.49P. Mijić
J. Silić6.133J. Silić
F. Maglica7.723F. Maglica
M. Mladenovski7.313M. Mladenovski
N. Tepšić6.816N. Tepšić
G. Sikošek6.420G. Sikošek
I. Canjuga6.528I. Canjuga
M. Marina6.524M. Marina
A. Latković6.910A. Latković
L. Mamić8.222L. Mamić
Iuri Tavares6.338I. Tavares
S. Jurić7.09S. Jurić

HNK Gorica Substitutes

50A. Erceg
2F. Braut45'for Kevin Custovic6.2
10F. Brodić57'for Patrik Mijic6.3
26Keenan Nino Carole
34I. Cvijanović62'for Goncalo Costa90+5'7.7
20L. Vrzić81'for Domagoj Pavičić6.6
30D. Žarkov
67Tomislav Prgomet
8J. Pranjić
71D. Matijaš
18B. Kardum
7O. Bakić57'for Tom Lacoux5.9

NK Varazdin Substitutes

11E. Uchegbu63'for Iuri Tavares6.6
4L. Škaričić88'for luka mamic6.2
30L. Posinkovic
21I. Posavec85'for Aleksa Latkovic5.9
1R. McCrorie
5Sven Lesjak
8T. Duvnjak63'for Ivan Canjuga6.4
3E. Duraković
12P. Bočkaj
44M. Barać
17V. Akrap63'for Stipe Jurić85'7.7

Match Stats

HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots20
4Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box12
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls12
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
404Total Passes550
300Passes Accurate473
74%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
1481Elo Rating 1619
0.87Attack 0.39
2.10Defense 2.35
17%Hit Rate 17%
11.4Shots per Game 12.5
4.0Shots on Target 2.4
6.3Corners per Game 3.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica1Wins · 10%
Draws660%
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL03/04/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
11
Cup04/03/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
13
HNL26/01/2026
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
12
HNL19/10/2025
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
13
HNL04/08/2025
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
11
HNL04/04/2025
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
00
HNL25/01/2025
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
11
Cup14/11/2024
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
11
HNL20/10/2024
NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
21
HNL03/08/2024
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
00

Recent Form

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
2W1D7L
09/09/2026
Uskok KlisHNK Gorica
1131
W
05/09/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
10
L
31/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Rijeka
00
D
22/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
20
L
16/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
12
L
08/08/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
31
L
01/08/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
02
L
23/07/2026
HNK GoricaShakhtar Donetsk
02
L
19/07/2026
FC St. PauliHNK Gorica
21
L
16/07/2026
HNK GoricaEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
10
W
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
7W1D2L
09/09/2026
ZagoraNK Varazdin
04
W
04/09/2026
NK VarazdinIstra 1961
00
D
29/08/2026
NK VarazdinRudes
20
W
22/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
31
L
16/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
20
W
09/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
14
W
02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
21
W
30/07/2026
FK JablonecNK Varazdin
20
L
23/07/2026
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
32
W
12/07/2026
Bihor OradeaNK Varazdin
13
W

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1052317:14+317LWLWD
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1017:1417
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HNK Gorica and NK Varazdin in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: NK Varazdin are 3rd in the HNL, while HNK Gorica sit 10th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: HNK Gorica 7-20, NK Varazdin 15-10. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.