Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula·Patrik Kolaric 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Istra 1961 Rest
9 days
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
3 days

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: result, form and history

Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split drew 2-2 in the HNL on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.14
X
24%3.80
2
54%1.72
Double Chance
1X
47%2.02
X2
78%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.47 = 2.57
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.22
Under 3.5
65%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.60
Over 9.5
45%1.98
Over 10.5
34%2.58
Under 8.5
43%2.18
Under 9.5
55%1.72
Under 10.5
66%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

7'Khalil FayadAssist: Dennis Hadzikadunić
13'Dennis HadzikadunićArgument
30'Demirel HodzicFoul
39'Hamza JaganjacArgument
39'Michele ŠegoArgument
51'Gustavo AlbarracinFoul
54'Michele ŠegoAssist: Khalil Fayad
60'Vinko Rozic INNik Skafar Zuzic out
60'Demirel Hodzic INMatija Kablar out
60'Isaac Aguiar Tomich INDukan Ahmeti out
66'Hamza JaganjacAssist: Emil Frederiksen
69'Dario Marešić INAlec Van Hoorenbeeck out
70'Matija KablarFoul
76'Abdoulie Sanyang INCarlos Martín Domínguez out
76'Mathieu Acapandie INRoko Gabric out
81'Emil Frederiksen(Penalty)
83'Marin Šotiček INAdam Huram out
83'Dalisson De Almeida Leite INLeander Dendoncker out
89'Gustavo Albarracin INMutari Momoh out

Lineups

Istra 1961
4-4-2Coach: Javier Cabello
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo García
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.68
F. Kolić6.71F. Kolić
R. Hrvatin6.044R. Hrvatin
R. Kumar6.94R. Kumar
M. Nasraoui6.63M. Nasraoui
Niko Šepić6.513N. Šepić
E. Frederiksen6.922E. Frederiksen
D. Hodzic6.05D. Hodzic
G. Albarracín6.325G. Albarracín
V. Rozić5.97V. Rozić
H. Jaganjac8.294H. Jaganjac
Isaac6.69Isaac
T. Silić6.433T. Silić
M. Acapandié5.922M. Acapandié
D. Hadžikadunić6.76D. Hadžikadunić
D. Marešić6.715D. Marešić
Š. Hrgović7.432Š. Hrgović
Alberto del Moral6.620A. del Moral
K. Fayad9.08K. Fayad
A. Sanyang6.87A. Sanyang
Dali6.09Dali
M. Šotiček6.223M. Šotiček
M. Šego7.711M. Šego

Istra 1961 Substitutes

30N. Skafar Zuzic60'for Vinko Rozic6.9
23S. Ukich
40J. Paus-Kunšt
66M. Momoh89'for Gustavo Albarracin6.1
97A. Kadušić
34M. Kablar60'for Demirel Hodzic70'5.9
11S. Goričan
27D. Celija
39T. Brajkovic
20D. Ahmeti60'for Isaac Aguiar Tomich5.8

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

99D. Fesyuk
18L. Dendoncker83'for Dalisson De Almeida Leite6.1
3Roko Gabrić76'for Mathieu Acapandie6.3
26A. Guram83'for Marin Šotiček6.3
10M. Livaja
77Carlos Martín76'for Abdoulie Sanyang6.4
17D. Melnjak
14R. Raci
44D. Stipica
5A. Van Hoorenbeeck69'for Dario Marešić6.5
16A. Sutalo
19E. Brruti

Match Stats

Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box9
0Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
21Fouls14
1Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
363Total Passes473
286Passes Accurate407
14Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

Istra 1961Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
1589Elo Rating 1756
1.49Attack 1.58
1.85Defense 2.15
44%Hit Rate 73%
13.3Shots per Game 13.8
6.6Shots on Target 5.5
4.7Corners per Game 3.7
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Istra 1961Istra 1961
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Istra 1961Istra 19612Wins · 20%
Draws550%
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL09/08/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
22
HNL07/04/2026
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
13
HNL25/01/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
12
HNL19/10/2025
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
03
HNL03/08/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
21
HNL23/04/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
01
HNL15/02/2025
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
11
HNL09/11/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
11
HNL25/08/2024
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
11
HNL12/05/2024
Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
11

Referee Profile

Patrik Kolaric143 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patrik Kolaric4.40
Other referees4.45

4.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).

Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1071225:13+1222WWLWL
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1052317:14+317LWLWD
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9RudesRudes1131714:27-1310WLWDL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1025:1322
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1017:1417
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9RudesRudes1114:2710
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
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About the Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split in the HNL table

In the HNL table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st and Istra 1961 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Istra 1961 21-18, HNK Hajduk Split 26-11. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.