HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Prediction

Stadion Poljud, Split·Filip Dragasevic 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
4 days
HNK Gorica Rest
7 days

HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica: the result in context

HNK Hajduk Split beat HNK Gorica 5-0 in the HNL on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: HNK Hajduk Split had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for HNK Gorica.

HNK Hajduk Split have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. HNK Gorica tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.7 for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.30
X
16%5.00
2
9%8.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.06
X2
24%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 0.78 = 3.05
Over 1.5
81%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
38%2.62
Under 1.5
19%4.30
Under 2.5
41%2.18
Under 3.5
62%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.51
Over 9.5
50%1.95
Over 10.5
39%2.42
Under 8.5
38%2.35
Under 9.5
50%1.81
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.5 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

17'Jakov FilipovićFoul
22'Adam HuramAssist: Mathieu Acapandie
33'Abdoulie SanyangAssist: Carlos Martín Domínguez
33'Goal confirmedAbdoulie Sanyang
38'Carlos Martín Domínguez
45'Ante Erceg INPatrik Mijic out
50'Carlos Martín DomínguezAssist: Adam Huram
59'Ivan CvijanovićFoul
59'Jakov Pranjić INAnte Kavelj out
59'Juraj Frigan INOgnjen Bakic out
63'Abdoulie Sanyang
64'Mathieu Acapandie INLuka Hodak out
64'Abdoulie Sanyang INAndelo Šutalo out
64'Adam Huram INMarin Šotiček out
68'Simun Hrgovic INDario Melnjak out
70'Andelo Šutalo
73'Domagoj Pavičić INFran Brodić out
75'Carlos Martín Domínguez INEtnik Brruti out
84'Tom Lacoux INHadji Moustapha out
90'Dennis HadzikadunićFoul

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo García
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Carević
Avg rating7.39
Avg rating5.83
T. Silić7.033T. Silić
M. Acapandié7.722M. Acapandié
D. Hadžikadunić7.46D. Hadžikadunić
A. Van Hoorenbeeck7.45A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Š. Hrgović7.032Š. Hrgović
Alberto del Moral6.820A. del Moral
L. Dendoncker7.218L. Dendoncker
A. Sanyang7.87A. Sanyang
M. Livaja6.410M. Livaja
A. Guram8.926A. Guram
Carlos Martín9.477C. Martín
R. Josipović5.71R. Josipović
F. Braut4.42F. Braut
J. Filipović5.032J. Filipović
D. Stevanović5.315D. Stevanović
I. Cvijanović5.234I. Cvijanović
Juraj Frigan6.466J. Frigan
T. Lacoux6.56T. Lacoux
B. Bogojević6.325B. Bogojević
D. Pavičić6.024D. Pavičić
J. Pranjić5.88J. Pranjić
A. Erceg6.450A. Erceg

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

8K. Fayad
99D. Fesyuk
3Roko Gabrić
38L. Hodak64'for Mathieu Acapandie6.7
17D. Melnjak68'for Simun Hrgovic6.9
14R. Raci
44D. Stipica
11M. Šego
23M. Šotiček64'for Adam Huram6.8
16A. Sutalo64'for Abdoulie Sanyang70'7.9
19E. Brruti75'for Carlos Martín Domínguez6.9

HNK Gorica Substitutes

10F. Brodić73'for Domagoj Pavičić6.3
26Keenan Nino Carole
18B. Kardum
36Ante Kavelj59'for Jakov Pranjić6.2
71D. Matijaš
9P. Mijić45'for Ante Erceg6.3
21H. Moustapha84'for Tom Lacoux5.6
45S. Perić
30D. Žarkov
20L. Vrzić
7O. Bakić59'for Juraj Frigan6.1

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
16Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
498Total Passes346
416Passes Accurate250
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1756Elo Rating 1481
1.58Attack 0.87
2.15Defense 2.10
73%Hit Rate 17%
13.8Shots per Game 11.4
5.5Shots on Target 4.0
3.7Corners per Game 6.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+275 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL16/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
12
HNL12/04/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
10
HNL31/01/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
10
HNL24/10/2025
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
13
HNL10/08/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
20
HNL11/05/2025
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
11
HNL09/03/2025
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
21
HNL07/12/2024
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
10
HNL21/09/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
41
HNL19/05/2024
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
21

Recent Form

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
2W6D2L
24/10/2026
HNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
00
D
17/10/2026
NK OsijekHNK Gorica
11
D
09/10/2026
HNK GoricaRudes
12
L
02/10/2026
HNK GoricaBravo
33
D
28/09/2026
MariborHNK Gorica
11
D
19/09/2026
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
01
W
14/09/2026
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
22
D
09/09/2026
Uskok KlisHNK Gorica
1131
W
05/09/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
10
L
31/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Rijeka
00
D

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1254316:11+519DLLWD
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1153318:15+318DLWLW
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1216:1119
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1118:1518
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
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About the HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Gorica in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st in the HNL, while HNK Gorica sit 10th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: HNK Hajduk Split 26-11, HNK Gorica 7-20. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.