NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica Prediction

NK Osijek
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
Opus Arena, Osijek·Ante Culina 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
NK Osijek Rest
7 days
HNK Gorica Rest
8 days

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica: the result in context

NK Osijek and HNK Gorica drew 1-1 in the HNL on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.64
X
24%3.80
2
20%4.58
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
44%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.11 = 2.72
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.72
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
46%2.07
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.6 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.46
Over 9.5
58%1.80
Over 10.5
46%2.27
Under 8.5
31%2.48
Under 9.5
42%1.90
Under 10.5
54%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

23'Jakov PranjićAssist: Domagoj Pavičić
29'Simun Mikolcic INIvan Dolček out
31'Izak JežićFoul
34'Armando LeónFoul
35'frigan jurajFoul
45'Izak Ježić INMarcel Heister out
45'Álejandro Cantero INAdmir ljatifi out
60'Goncalo CostaFoul
66'Luka Tunjic INIvan Barić out
68'frigan juraj INOgnjen Bakic out
68'Jakov Pranjić INStefan Perić out
68'Armando LeónAssist: Admir ljatifi
73'Goal cancelledOgnjen Bakic
75'Mario CarevićAbusive Language
76'Jay Kruiver INLuka Posavec out
80'Bruno Bogojević INivan cvijanovic out
86'Domagoj Pavičić INKevin Custovic out
90+3'Filip BrautFoul

Lineups

NK Osijek
4-2-3-1Coach: Fede Bessone
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Carević
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.62
M. Malenica6.531M. Malenica
J. Kruiver6.122J. Kruiver
9898I. Ježić
Ivano Kolarik7.149I. Kolarik
D. Kalem7.147D. Kalem
Š. Mikolčić6.38Š. Mikolčić
L. Vrbancic7.223L. Vrbancic
D. Bukvić6.639D. Bukvić
Luka Tunjic7.211L. Tunjic
Cantero6.221Cantero
A. León8.279A. León
R. Josipović7.41R. Josipović
F. Braut5.82F. Braut
J. Filipović6.732J. Filipović
D. Stevanović6.315D. Stevanović
Gonçalo Costa6.55G. Costa
T. Lacoux6.66T. Lacoux
Juraj Frigan6.466J. Frigan
B. Bogojević6.625B. Bogojević
D. Pavičić7.024D. Pavičić
J. Pranjić7.98J. Pranjić
A. Erceg6.250A. Erceg

NK Osijek Substitutes

67B. Bakti
12Jan Adžić
99Balelo
9I. Barić66'for Luka Tunjic6.7
1N. Curcija
7I. Dolček29'for Simun Mikolcic7.1
18Niko Farkaš
2M. Heister45'replaced by Izak Ježić6.8
26L. Jelenić
30A. Ljatifi45'for Álejandro Cantero6.9
16O. Petrusenko
24L. Posavec76'for Jay Kruiver6.6

HNK Gorica Substitutes

4K. Čustović86'for Domagoj Pavičić6.3
20L. Vrzić
30D. Žarkov
45S. Perić68'for Jakov Pranjić6.5
21H. Moustapha
9P. Mijić
71D. Matijaš
18B. Kardum
34I. Cvijanović80'for Bruno Bogojević6.7
7O. Bakić68'for frigan juraj6.4

Match Stats

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
59%Ball Possession41%
11Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
28Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box1
9Blocked Shots1
11Fouls13
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
468Total Passes245
406Passes Accurate163
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NK OsijekNK Osijek
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1537Elo Rating 1481
0.99Attack 0.87
1.64Defense 2.10
14%Hit Rate 17%
17.3Shots per Game 11.4
4.8Shots on Target 4.0
7.0Corners per Game 6.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK OsijekNK Osijek
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK OsijekNK Osijek4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL01/08/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
02
HNL16/05/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
20
HNL14/03/2026
NK OsijekHNK Gorica
00
HNL13/12/2025
NK OsijekHNK Gorica
11
HNL28/09/2025
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
01
HNL19/04/2025
NK OsijekHNK Gorica
01
HNL08/02/2025
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
10
HNL02/11/2024
NK OsijekHNK Gorica
20
HNL18/08/2024
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
22
HNL28/04/2024
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
03

Referee Profile

Ante Culina128 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ante Culina4.70
Other referees4.40

4.70 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526WDWWL
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122LWWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1254316:11+519DLLWD
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1153318:15+318DLWLW
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611244421:18+316WDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113LWLWD
8RudesRudes1241715:27-1213WWLWD
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica121477:20-137LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1226:1126
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1125:1422
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1216:1119
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1118:1518
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
6Istra 1961Istra 19611221:1816
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1214:2513
8RudesRudes1215:2713
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica127:207
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Osijek and HNK Gorica in the HNL table

In the HNL table, NK Osijek are 5th and HNK Gorica 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: NK Osijek 19-16, HNK Gorica 7-20. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.