Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: the result in context
Leones Negros UDG beat Tepatitlán 3-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Leones Negros UDG had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tepatitlán.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Leones Negros UDG
TepatitlánAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leones Negros UDG- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tepatitlán- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Leones Negros UDG4Wins · 40%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
15/02/2026Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán08/09/2025TepatitlánLeones Negros UDG27/04/2025Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán25/04/2025TepatitlánLeones Negros UDG01/03/2025TepatitlánLeones Negros UDG16/09/2024Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán11/04/2024Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán13/08/2023TepatitlánLeones Negros UDG28/04/2023TepatitlánLeones Negros UDG19/02/2023TepatitlánLeones Negros UDGRecent Form
Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Venados FCLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Dorados
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros UDG
MonarcasLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
CA La Paz
TapatíoLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Piratas
DurangoLeones Negros UDGTepatitlánTepatitlán
CancúnPiratasTepatitlánTapatíoTepatitlánTepatitlánMonarcasTepatitlán
CDS Tampico MaderoTepatitlánMineros de ZacatecasVenados FCTepatitlánTepatitlánDoradosCruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlánTepatitlán
TlaxcalaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | +18 | 30 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 30 | WWLDW |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 26 | LWLDD |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | +12 | 25 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | +10 | 25 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | +6 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | +2 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 | WWWWL |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 11:44 | 7 |
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About the Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán forecast
The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leones Negros UDG and Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tepatitlán sit 16th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Leones Negros UDG 34-20, Tepatitlán 11-44. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.