Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero·A. Rodriguez 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Venados FC Rest
7 days
Leones Negros UDG Rest
6 days

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG: result, form and history

Venados FC and Leones Negros UDG drew 1-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.92
X
24%3.80
2
29%3.25
Double Chance
1X
71%1.29
X2
53%1.77
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

60'K. Amador INA. Dominguez out
66'L. Razo INK. Loera out
73'P. Kilani INE. Torres out
77'J. Brigido INJ. Perez out
77'A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago INA. Carreon out
79'J. Reyes
83'O. GilAssist: J. Perez
85'O. Gil INJ. Cazares out
87'D. Tejeda INOchoa Brandon out
87'J. Reyes INL. Macias out
87'M. Aguilar INM. Torres out

Team Comparison

Venados FCVenados FC
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
1553Elo Rating 1572
1.85Attack 2.24
1.73Defense 1.71
58%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Venados FCVenados FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Venados FCVenados FC3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX12/04/2026
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
21
Liga de Expansión MX02/11/2025
Leones Negros UDGVenados FC
10
Liga de Expansión MX19/04/2025
Leones Negros UDGVenados FC
31
Liga de Expansión MX02/11/2024
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
30
Liga de Expansión MX25/01/2024
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
11
Liga de Expansión MX18/08/2023
Leones Negros UDGVenados FC
41
Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2023
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
11
Liga de Expansión MX29/10/2022
Leones Negros UDGVenados FC
30
Liga de Expansión MX26/10/2022
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
20
Liga de Expansión MX08/08/2022
Leones Negros UDGVenados FC
40

Recent Form

Venados FCVenados FC
5W1D4L
03/10/2026
CA La PazVenados FC
12
W
27/09/2026
Venados FCMonarcas
21
W
19/09/2026
PiratasVenados FC
21
L
13/09/2026
Venados FCTepatitlán
50
W
06/09/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoVenados FC
43
L
30/08/2026
TlaxcalaVenados FC
31
L
21/08/2026
Venados FCDorados
42
W
15/08/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasVenados FC
51
L
09/08/2026
Venados FCTapatío
32
W
01/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoVenados FC
11
D
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
6W2D2L
04/10/2026
Leones Negros UDGDorados
63
W
26/09/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros UDG
12
W
20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
L
13/09/2026
Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz
22
D
07/09/2026
TapatíoLeones Negros UDG
13
W
30/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGPiratas
11
D
23/08/2026
DurangoLeones Negros UDG
12
W
16/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
40
W
07/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
02/08/2026
CancúnLeones Negros UDG
02
W

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1593336:18+1830WWDWL
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1593334:20+1430WWLDW
3MonarcasMonarcas1582526:19+726LWLDD
4PiratasPiratas1574427:15+1225DWWLW
5CancúnCancún1574428:18+1025WWDDW
6Venados FCVenados FC1574431:25+625DWDDW
7DurangoDurango1573521:15+624WLWDW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1564529:27+222WWDWD
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1571715:25-1022WWWWL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1553726:26018LLLDL
11TapatíoTapatío1553725:28-318DLLWL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1545621:24-317DLLLD
13DoradosDorados1544723:32-916LLWLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1543815:25-1015LLWDL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1535717:24-714LLWWD
16TepatitlánTepatitlán15211211:44-337LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1536:1830
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1534:2030
3MonarcasMonarcas1526:1926
4PiratasPiratas1527:1525
5CancúnCancún1528:1825
6Venados FCVenados FC1531:2525
7DurangoDurango1521:1524
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1529:2722
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1515:2522
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1526:2618
11TapatíoTapatío1525:2818
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1521:2417
13DoradosDorados1523:3216
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1515:2515
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1517:2414
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1511:447
Promotion

About the Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Venados FC and Leones Negros UDG in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Leones Negros UDG are 2nd and Venados FC 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Venados FC 31-25, Leones Negros UDG 34-20. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.