Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat Prediction

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-10.0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Rest
5 days
Correcaminos Uat Rest
6 days

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat: the result in context

Alebrijes de Oaxaca beat Correcaminos Uat 2-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.20
X
21%4.13
2
58%1.64
Double Chance
1X
42%2.10
X2
79%1.17
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'J. BustosFoul
21'B. Fadika INS. Gallinar out
30'J. ReyesFoul
33'A. JustoFoul
45'E. TorresFoul
46'G. Moreno IND. Barron out
48'W. GuzmanFoul
58'T. Sandoval INR. Arce out
63'I. BarredaUnsportsmanlike conduct
63'O. PerezFoul
64'A. JustoAssist: Andrey Marcos
68'J. Bustos IND. Ayala out
68'J. Estopier INN. Gomez Del Rosal out
70'A. CatalanFoul
79'I. BarredaAssist: S. Gallinar
81'W. Ortega INY. Uribe out
81'D. Mina INJ. Cantu out
85'P. Villa INT. Jaimes Rodriguez out
85'I. Barreda IND. Martinez out
85'S. Gallinar IND. Collazo out
88'R. ArceAssist: Y. Uribe
90+1'L. JeffusSerious foul

Team Comparison

Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
1443Elo Rating 1434
1.53Attack 0.81
1.22Defense 1.58
69%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX18/04/2026
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
13
Liga de Expansión MX08/11/2025
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
11
Liga de Expansión MX01/03/2025
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
01
Liga de Expansión MX13/09/2024
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
13
Liga de Expansión MX07/02/2024
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
10
Liga de Expansión MX30/08/2023
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
70
Liga de Expansión MX25/02/2023
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
40
Liga de Expansión MX27/07/2022
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
00
Liga de Expansión MX13/04/2022
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
01
Liga de Expansión MX04/11/2021
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
21

Recent Form

Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
3W1D6L
04/10/2026
PiratasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
40
L
25/09/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaCA La Paz
13
L
20/09/2026
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
30
L
11/09/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaDurango
10
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
L
28/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
11
D
23/08/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoAlebrijes de Oaxaca
21
L
14/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlán
10
W
07/08/2026
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
02
W
31/07/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaDorados
02
L
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
4W3D3L
03/10/2026
Correcaminos UatCruz Azul Hidalgo
00
D
26/09/2026
Correcaminos UatCDS Tampico Madero
10
W
19/09/2026
CA La PazCorrecaminos Uat
31
L
12/09/2026
Correcaminos UatCancún
22
D
06/09/2026
PiratasCorrecaminos Uat
41
L
29/08/2026
Correcaminos UatDurango
00
D
21/08/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
13
W
15/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTapatío
23
L
07/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
13
W
01/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
31
W

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
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About the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat forecast

The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Correcaminos Uat in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th and Correcaminos Uat 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14-25, Correcaminos Uat 21-24. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.