Piratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Piratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: the result in context
Piratas beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Piratas
Alebrijes de OaxacaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Piratas- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.1 in first half)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Piratas
Mineros de ZacatecasPiratasPiratas
Venados FC
Cruz Azul HidalgoPiratasPiratas
Correcaminos Uat
Leones Negros UDGPiratasPiratas
Cancún
CA La PazPiratas
DurangoPiratasPiratas
Monarcas
CDS Tampico MaderoPiratasAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCA La PazCancúnAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaDurangoMonarcasAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
TapatíoCDS Tampico MaderoAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Tepatitlán
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
DoradosVenados FCAlebrijes de OaxacaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | +18 | 30 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | +12 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Monarcas | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | +9 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 4 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Piratas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 | WDDWL |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | +2 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 | WWWWL |
| 9 | Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 11 | Tapatío | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 | LLLDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 14 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 15 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 5 | Piratas | 14 | 26:14 | 24 |
| 6 | Cancún | 14 | 26:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Durango | 14 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 14 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 14 | 15:23 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 10:41 | 7 |
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This match
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About the Piratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca forecast
The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Piratas and Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansión MX table
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Piratas are 5th and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Piratas 26-14, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15-25. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Piratas have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Piratas and Alebrijes de Oaxaca have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.