Tepatitlán vs Monarcas Prediction

Tepatitlán
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Monarcas
J. Gil 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.42
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Tepatitlán Rest
7 days
Monarcas Rest
6 days

Tepatitlán vs Monarcas: result, form and history

Tepatitlán and Monarcas drew 1-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 10 Oct 2026. Monarcas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Tepatitlán.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%5.75
X
19%4.53
2
65%1.42
Double Chance
1X
36%2.54
X2
84%1.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'M. NamboFoul
6'R. del Campo INA. Flores out
20'J. Martinez INA. Andrade out
24'S. HernandezFoul
36'J. Cruz(Penalty)
39'J. SanchezFoul
45+1'G. BaezUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'S. Hernandez INJ. Van Rankin out
46'V. Lopez INP. Romero out
49'G. BaezFoul
49'G. BaezFoul
55'J. Godinez INN. Martinez out
63'A. FloresAssist: A. Andrade
67'J. Cruz INB. Casas out
76'M. Rodriguez INA. Izarra out
79'L. Egurrola INT. Arevalo out
79'V. Valencia INI. Contreras out
82'D. ZamoraSerious foul
90+3'A. AndradeDiving

Team Comparison

TepatitlánTepatitlán
MonarcasMonarcas
1409Elo Rating 1553
0.78Attack 1.14
0.15Defense 1.71
14%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TepatitlánTepatitlán
  • No tendency data available
MonarcasMonarcas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TepatitlánTepatitlán5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
MonarcasMonarcas3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX15/03/2026
MonarcasTepatitlán
32
Liga de Expansión MX04/10/2025
TepatitlánMonarcas
32
Liga de Expansión MX01/02/2025
TepatitlánMonarcas
31
Liga de Expansión MX18/08/2024
MonarcasTepatitlán
21
Liga de Expansión MX04/02/2024
TepatitlánMonarcas
21
Liga de Expansión MX03/11/2023
MonarcasTepatitlán
10
Liga de Expansión MX03/02/2023
TepatitlánMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX01/10/2022
MonarcasTepatitlán
11
Liga de Expansión MX01/04/2022
TepatitlánMonarcas
21
Liga de Expansión MX25/10/2021
MonarcasTepatitlán
22

Recent Form

TepatitlánTepatitlán
2W0D8L
03/10/2026
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
31
W
19/09/2026
TepatitlánMineros de Zacatecas
01
L
13/09/2026
Venados FCTepatitlán
50
L
04/09/2026
TepatitlánDorados
14
L
29/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlán
60
L
21/08/2026
TepatitlánTlaxcala
32
W
14/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlán
10
L
08/08/2026
TepatitlánCA La Paz
05
L
01/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
31
L
25/07/2026
TepatitlánDurango
01
L
MonarcasMonarcas
6W1D3L
04/10/2026
MonarcasTlaxcala
11
D
27/09/2026
Venados FCMonarcas
21
L
20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
W
13/09/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
01
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
W
29/08/2026
DoradosMonarcas
01
W
21/08/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
15/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas
12
W
09/08/2026
MonarcasCancún
41
W
02/08/2026
PiratasMonarcas
10
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
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About the Tepatitlán vs Monarcas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tepatitlán and Monarcas in the Liga de Expansión MX table

The table shows a wide gap: Monarcas are 3rd in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tepatitlán sit 16th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Tepatitlán 10-41, Monarcas 25-16. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monarcas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.