Northampton vs Tranmere Prediction

Northampton
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Tranmere
Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Northampton Rest
3 days
Tranmere Rest
3 days

Northampton vs Tranmere: the result in context

Tranmere beat Northampton 1-0 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Northampton have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
29%3.23
2
29%3.10
Double Chance
1X
71%1.32
X2
58%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.82
No
47%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.13 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.92
Under 2.5
53%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.53
Over 9.5
51%1.92
Over 10.5
39%2.45
Under 8.5
37%2.32
Under 9.5
49%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

37'B. FaulknerAssist: Will Vaulks
42'Ryan WatsonFoul
70'Connor Lemonheigh-Evans INElliott List out
70'M. Warhurst INNathaniel Opoku out
70'josh powell INJames Maxwell out
76'Janoi Donacien INSam Hoskins out
90+1'Lee O'ConnorFoul

Lineups

Northampton
4-4-2Coach: C. Hogg
Tranmere
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Clarke
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating7.00
Z. Jeacock5.81Z. Jeacock
J. Donacien6.044J. Donacien
E. Moore7.16E. Moore
J. Guthrie6.25J. Guthrie
Joshua Alan Powell6.522J. Alan Powell
J. Wormleighton6.716J. Wormleighton
C. Lemonheigh-Evans6.624C. Lemonheigh-Evans
L. Evans7.28L. Evans
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh6.34J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
O. Dale6.419O. Dale
Matthew Warhurst5.99M. Warhurst
L. McGee7.21L. McGee
L. O'Connor6.422L. O'Connor
B. Faulkner8.516B. Faulkner
G. Nevett7.230G. Nevett
J. Slater7.13J. Slater
W. Vaulks7.76W. Vaulks
R. Watson6.544R. Watson
D. Jones6.629D. Jones
T. Ince6.910T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker6.57C. Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside6.49J. Ironside

Northampton Substitutes

35M. Dyche
14T. Fornah
7S. Hoskins76'for Janoi Donacien6.2
10E. List70'for Connor Lemonheigh-Evans6.1
3J. Maxwell70'for josh powell6.3
31J. Dadge
17N. Opoku70'for M. Warhurst6.4

Tranmere Substitutes

4J. Turnbull
20Charlie Veevers
24David Kamara
5N. Smith
13C. Boyce-Clarke
14O. Scott
11T. Conlon

Match Stats

NorthamptonTranmere
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box1
10Blocked Shots3
12Fouls9
0Goalkeeper Saves4
486Total Passes277
401Passes Accurate202
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NorthamptonNorthampton
TranmereTranmere
1421Elo Rating 1465
1.24Attack 1.14
2.32Defense 1.61
46%Hit Rate 23%
14.0Shots per Game 10.3
4.1Shots on Target 3.4
6.7Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 1.8

Game State Tendencies

NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
TranmereTranmere
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

NorthamptonNorthampton3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
TranmereTranmere0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two08/05/2023
TranmereNorthampton
01
League Two03/12/2022
NorthamptonTranmere
00
League Two05/03/2022
NorthamptonTranmere
32
League Two23/10/2021
TranmereNorthampton
02

Recent Form

NorthamptonNorthampton
2W3D5L
17/10/2026
GrimsbyNorthampton
02
W
10/10/2026
YorkNorthampton
11
D
06/10/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
21
L
19/09/2026
NorthamptonRotherham
01
L
12/09/2026
ShrewsburyNorthampton
20
L
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
W
01/09/2026
NorthamptonCrawley Town
11
D
29/08/2026
GillinghamNorthampton
11
D
22/08/2026
CreweNorthampton
10
L
18/08/2026
NorthamptonBrighton U21
03
L
TranmereTranmere
2W5D3L
17/10/2026
TranmereBarnet
12
L
10/10/2026
TranmereRochdale
11
D
03/10/2026
ChesterfieldTranmere
42
L
26/09/2026
TranmereWalsall
11
D
22/09/2026
TranmereShrewsbury
10
W
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
GillinghamTranmere
20
L
05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
20
W
01/09/2026
TranmereRotherham
22
D
29/08/2026
Newport CountyTranmere
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the Northampton vs Tranmere forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Northampton and Tranmere in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Tranmere are 13th and Northampton 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Northampton 8-8, Tranmere 16-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Northampton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Tranmere have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.