Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne Prediction

Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne 11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Oakleigh Cannons Rest
13 days
South Melbourne Rest
5 days

Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne: the result in context

Oakleigh Cannons beat South Melbourne 2-1 in the Victoria NPL on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Oakleigh Cannons have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%2.05
X
22%3.35
2
23%3.10
Double Chance
1X
76%1.30
X2
45%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.56
No
39%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 1.2 = 3.41
Over 1.5
88%1.19
Over 2.5
70%1.65
Over 3.5
50%2.56
Under 1.5
12%4.05
Under 2.5
30%2.10
Under 3.5
50%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'
28'
63'
90+4'(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
1639Elo Rating 1569
1.53Attack 1.39
1.95Defense 2.63
39%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.4 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL24/07/2026
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
12
Victoria NPL19/04/2026
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
03
Victoria NPL23/08/2025
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
30
Victoria NPL11/05/2025
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
12
Victoria NPL07/09/2024
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
01
Victoria NPL30/06/2024
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
12
Victoria NPL22/03/2024
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
00
Victoria NPL01/09/2023
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
21
Victoria NPL02/07/2023
South MelbourneOakleigh Cannons
02
Victoria NPL01/04/2023
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
01

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Avondale2
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons
Seeded
Hume City
Seeded

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne forecast

As a knockout tie in the Victoria NPL, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Oakleigh Cannons and South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, Oakleigh Cannons are 1st and South Melbourne 5th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Oakleigh Cannons 56-24, South Melbourne 39-36. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.