Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Piast Gliwice Rest
5 days
Pogon Szczecin Rest
6 days
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: the result in context
Pogon Szczecin beat Piast Gliwice 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 20 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Piast Gliwice had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Pogon Szczecin.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.30
X28%3.45
232%2.80
Double Chance
1X67%1.38
X260%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.53
No42%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.14 = 2.50
Over 1.577%1.20
Over 2.554%1.67
Over 3.533%2.62
Under 1.523%4.05
Under 2.546%2.13
Under 3.567%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.565%1.50
Over 9.554%1.90
Over 10.544%2.34
Under 8.535%2.35
Under 9.546%1.83
Under 10.556%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.550%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.550%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
26'Jordi SánchezAssist: Kellyn Acosta
31'Samuel Ntamack NdimbaAssist: Jakub Lewicki
48'Leandro Mário Baldé SancaFoul
57'Darko ChurlinovAssist: Paul Omo Mukairu
61'Ivan Lima INJason Lokilo out
71'Kellyn Acosta INJan Bieganski out
73'Samuel Ntamack Ndimba INAndreas Katsantonis out
73'Jakub Labojko INOskar·Lesniak out
82'Darko Churlinov INMusa Juwara out
83'Alessandro Riccio INHussein Ali out
83'Paul Omo Mukairu INAttila Szalai out
83'Jakub Czerwiński INLevis Pitan out
83'Hugo Vallejo INJorge Félix out
90+4'Jakub LewickiFoul
Lineups
Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin
4-4-2Coach: Óscar GarcíaAvg ratingAvg rating
75D. Gril
99E. Twumasi
5J. Rivas
4J. Czerwiński
36J. Lewicki
90I. Lima
27J. Łabojko
17Q. Boisgard
80H. Vallejo
19S. Ntamack Ndimba
11L. Sanca
77V. Cojocaru
4A. Riccio
13D. Keramitsis
29L. Willen
23B. Mendy
21D. Churlinov
16P. Dziczek
3K. Acosta
35M. Wojciechowski
18P. Mukairu
22J. SánchezPiast Gliwice Substitutes
98J. Lokilo61'for Ivan Lima
47J. Grelich
10A. Katsantonis73'for Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
91Maciej Kucharski
31O. Leśniak73'for Jakub Labojko
18O. Maziarz
12Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
77S. Mucha
7Jorge Félix83'for Hugo Vallejo
15L. Pitan83'for Jakub Czerwiński
28F. Borowski
Pogon Szczecin Substitutes
15Hussein Ali83'for Alessandro Riccio
6J. Biegański71'for Kellyn Acosta
30J. Czaplinski
98M. Dabrowski
11K. Grosicki
7M. Juwara82'for Darko Churlinov
47N. Lawa
17J. Nsame
41A. Szalai83'for Paul Omo Mukairu
79Hubert Renka
Match Stats
Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin 68%Ball Possession32%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots2
16Fouls15
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
608Total Passes293
521Passes Accurate206
15Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin1604Elo Rating 1634
1.87Attack 2.31
1.98Defense 2.03
61%Hit Rate 100%
14.6Shots per Game 11.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.6
3.4Corners per Game 2.7
2.3Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Piast Gliwice- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
Pogon Szczecin- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Piast Gliwice2Wins · 20%Draws440%
Pogon Szczecin4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
13/04/2026Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin02
03/10/2025Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice21
13/04/2025Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin21
26/02/2025Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice2000
06/10/2024Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice10
20/04/2024Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice02
20/10/2023Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin00
29/04/2023Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin00
15/10/2022Pogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice11
05/02/2022Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin02
Recent Form
Piast Gliwice5W1D4L
14/09/2026
Radomiak RadomPiast GliwicePiast Gliwice
GKS Katowice
Motor LublinPiast GliwicePiast Gliwice
Legia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
Wieczysta Kraków
Lech PoznanPiast GliwicePiast Gliwice
Wisla Krakow
Zaglebie LubinPiast Gliwice
Radomiak RadomPiast Gliwice02
W04/09/2026Piast GliwiceGKS Katowice30
W01/09/2026
Chemik BydgoszczPiast Gliwice
29/08/2026Chemik BydgoszczPiast Gliwice03
WMotor LublinPiast Gliwice02
W22/08/2026Piast GliwiceLegia Warszawa11
D15/08/2026Piast GliwiceWieczysta Kraków34
L09/08/2026Lech PoznanPiast Gliwice30
L01/08/2026Piast GliwiceWisla Krakow43
W27/07/2026Zaglebie LubinPiast Gliwice20
L18/07/2026Piast Gliwice
Odra Opole
Piast GliwiceOdra Opole02
LPogon Szczecin3W3D4L
13/09/2026Pogon SzczecinWieczysta KrakówPogon Szczecin
Wisla PlockZaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinWisla KrakowPogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
Cracovia KrakowPogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
Pogon SzczecinWieczysta Kraków20
W07/09/2026Pogon SzczecinWisla Plock11
D03/09/2026
Slask WroclawPogon Szczecin
29/08/2026Slask WroclawPogon Szczecin21
LZaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin00
D23/08/2026Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow22
D08/08/2026Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin31
W03/08/2026Cracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin02
W24/07/2026Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa01
L15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin10
L11/07/2026
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin40
LReferee Profile
4.69Cards per match
4.48Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.69 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 145 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29:10 | +19 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 27 | DDWDW |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 23 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 21 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | DWLLW |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22:17 | +5 | 18 | LLWWW |
| 9 |  Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 | DDLDD |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 6 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 12:28 | 8 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 16:28 | 6 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Ekstraklasa matches
- Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź 13/09/26
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice 14/09/26
- Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze 15/09/26
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow 19/09/26
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock 20/09/26
- Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa 20/09/26
- Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom 20/09/26
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock 09/10/26
About the Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin forecast
The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa table
In the Ekstraklasa table, Pogon Szczecin are 3rd and Piast Gliwice 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Piast Gliwice 22-18, Pogon Szczecin 19-9. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.