Real Sociedad vs Levante Prediction

Real Sociedad
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Levante
Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian·Javier Alberola Rojas 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
89%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Real Sociedad Rest
2 days
Levante Rest
3 days

Real Sociedad vs Levante: the result in context

Real Sociedad beat Levante 2-1 in the La Liga on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Sociedad had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Levante.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Javier Alberola Rojas averages 3.68 cards a game, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.58
X
19%4.61
2
16%5.00
Double Chance
1X
84%1.17
X2
35%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.55
No
39%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.18 = 3.02
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
64%1.46
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
17%5.45
Under 2.5
36%2.62
Under 3.5
57%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4.1 = 10.6
Over 8.5
69%1.34
Over 9.5
59%1.60
Over 10.5
48%2.02
Under 8.5
31%2.83
Under 9.5
41%2.18
Under 10.5
52%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.62
Over 4.5
45%2.17
Under 3.5
36%2.20
Under 4.5
55%1.64

Match Events

6'Orri Steinn Óskarsson
22'Nacho Pérez GómezAssist: Thiago Cruz Fernandez
27'Benat TurrientesAssist: Gonçalo Guedes
45'Roger Brugué INVíctor García out
62'Luka Sučić INAnder Barrenetxea out
62'Hector Fort INJon Aramburu out
62'Iván Romero INAxel Tape-Kobrissa out
62'Petar Ratkov INKarl Etta Eyong out
64'Jon MartinFoul
71'Benat Turrientes INYangel Herrera out
75'Manu SánchezFoul
80'Daniel Requena Sánchez INYanis Musuayi out
80'Thiago Cruz Fernandez INPaco Cortés out
81'Yanis MusuayiFoul
85'Gonçalo Guedes INJob Ochieng out
85'Orri Steinn Óskarsson INArsen Zakharyan out
87'Víctor GarcíaFoul

Lineups

Real Sociedad
4-4-2Coach: P. Matarazzo
Levante
4-4-2Coach: Luís Castro
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.22
Álex Remiro6.21Á. Remiro
Héctor Fort7.022H. Fort
Jon Martín6.66J. Martín
M. Sarr6.719M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez6.717S. Gómez
L. Sučić6.924L. Sučić
Jon Gorrotxategi7.24J. Gorrotxategi
Beñat Turrientes8.28B. Turrientes
Gonçalo Guedes7.011G. Guedes
Mikel Oyarzabal5.910M. Oyarzabal
O. Óskarsson7.79O. Óskarsson
M. Ryan5.613M. Ryan
Nacho Pérez6.929N. Pérez
A. Mandi6.52A. Mandi
Ifeanyi Ndukwe6.53I. Ndukwe
Manu Sánchez6.023M. Sánchez
Brugui6.07Brugui
Jon Ander Olasagasti6.38J. Ander Olasagasti
Reque6.66Reque
T. Fernández6.924T. Fernández
Iván Romero6.29I. Romero
P. Ratkov6.110P. Ratkov

Real Sociedad Substitutes

7Barrenetxea62'for Luka Sučić7.2
21Y. Herrera71'for Benat Turrientes6.2
14T. Kubo
13Unai Marrero
15Pablo Marín
3Aihen Muñoz
12J. Ochieng85'for Gonçalo Guedes6.6
16Jon Pacheco
18Carlos Soler
23A. Zakharyan85'for Orri Steinn Óskarsson6.3
5Zubeldia
2J. Aramburu62'for Hector Fort6.3

Levante Substitutes

27Paco Cortés80'for Thiago Cruz Fernandez6.4
14Jorge Cabello
1Pablo Cuñat
21Etta Eyong62'for Petar Ratkov6.1
17Víctor García45'for Roger Brugué87'6.2
11Yanis Musuayi80'for Daniel Requena Sánchez81'5.7
32Primo
20Oriol Rey
33M. Santos
5Hugo Sotelo
16A. Tape62'for Iván Romero5.6
22J. Toljan

Match Stats

Real SociedadLevante
62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
14Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
613Total Passes365
564Passes Accurate305
92%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
LevanteLevante
1833Elo Rating 1720
3.48Attack 1.79
1.89Defense 1.12
83%Hit Rate 23%
15.0Shots per Game 10.7
5.1Shots on Target 4.4
3.5Corners per Game 3.4
1.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LevanteLevante
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Real SociedadReal Sociedad3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
LevanteLevante2Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

La Liga04/04/2026
Real SociedadLevante
20
La Liga20/12/2025
LevanteReal Sociedad
11
La Liga06/05/2022
LevanteReal Sociedad
21
La Liga28/08/2021
Real SociedadLevante
10
La Liga07/03/2021
Real SociedadLevante
10
La Liga19/12/2020
LevanteReal Sociedad
21

Referee Profile

Javier Alberola Rojas153 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Javier Alberola Rojas3.68
Other referees4.90

3.68 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
2BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
13EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
14OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
16ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
17LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LWDDL
18GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
2BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
13EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
14OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
16ElcheElche1014:1710
17LevanteLevante1116:2110
18GetafeGetafe105:159
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Real Sociedad vs Levante forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Sociedad and Levante in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Levante 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Sociedad 19-18, Levante 16-21. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.