Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers Prediction

Premier Sports Campus 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Sarasota Paradise Rest
7 days
Richmond Kickers Rest
3 days

Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers: result, form and history

Sarasota Paradise beat Richmond Kickers 3-2 in the USL League One on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.44
X
20%4.30
2
17%5.20
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
37%2.40
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Lucca DouradoAssist: T. Pannholzer
29'A. AmerAssist: Lucca Dourado
36'K. KiingiAssist: E. Bryant
45+4'T. PannholzerFoul
46'A. Rodriguez INE. Terzaghi out
50'J. Bolanos IND. Brulinski out
54'R. Gall
61'D. Barnathan INS. Layton out
61'S. LaytonFoul
61'H. Hanson INM. Bolduc out
67'S. VinbergFoul
68'A. Amer INA. Sasankhah out
73'D. BrulinskiFoul
78'A. GallegosFoul
80'S. Roed ING. McLaughlin out
85'E. Terzaghi(Penalty missed)
85'E. Terzaghi
86'T. Freeman INZ. Vazquez out
86'E. TerzaghiUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'Lucca Dourado INL. Johnson out
90+2'K. Kiingi INR. Valentine out
90+2'R. Gall INR. Burlew out

Team Comparison

Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
1511Elo Rating 1361
2.71Attack 2.58
0.93Defense 0.90
56%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+150 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
4W3D3L
04/10/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCharlotte Independence
23
L
26/09/2026
Portland Hearts of PineSarasota Paradise
14
W
20/09/2026
Sarasota ParadiseGreenville Triumph
60
W
13/09/2026
Forward MadisonSarasota Paradise
11
D
06/09/2026
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
11
D
03/09/2026
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
12
W
23/08/2026
Union OmahaSarasota Paradise
11
D
20/08/2026
Sarasota ParadiseChattanooga Red Wolves
32
W
16/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
31
L
09/08/2026
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
21
L
Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
1W2D7L
08/10/2026
NaplesRichmond Kickers
20
L
04/10/2026
Richmond KickersOne Knoxville
32
W
27/09/2026
NY CosmosRichmond Kickers
32
L
20/09/2026
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
12
L
17/09/2026
Westchester SCRichmond Kickers
52
L
13/09/2026
Richmond KickersChattanooga Red Wolves
11
D
03/09/2026
Fort WayneRichmond Kickers
20
L
30/08/2026
Richmond KickersForward Madison
12
L
23/08/2026
Richmond KickersPortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
17/08/2026
Union OmahaRichmond Kickers
51
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarasota Paradise and Richmond Kickers in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th and Richmond Kickers 17th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarasota Paradise 49-51, Richmond Kickers 37-65. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarasota Paradise and Richmond Kickers have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.