Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction

Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul·Copur Muhammet Alperen 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Sarıyer Rest
7 days
Fatih Karagümrük Rest
5 days

Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük: result, form and history

Fatih Karagümrük beat Sarıyer 2-0 in the 1. Lig on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.42
X
29%3.10
2
33%2.75
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
62%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.23 = 2.76
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.05
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.69
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.3 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.91
Over 9.5
40%2.40
Over 10.5
29%3.23
Under 8.5
48%1.85
Under 9.5
60%1.49
Under 10.5
71%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%-

Match Events

28'Ahmed Traore
39'Efecan KaracaFoul
45'André Poko INTunahan Ergul out
58'Penalty confirmedEmre Akbaba
60'Cenk Tosun(Penalty)
60'Barış Alıcı INEren Karadağ out
60'Dogan Can Davas INMamadou Thiam out
67'Emre AkbabaFoul
67'J. Esen INRamazan Civelek out
74'Cenk Tosun INTiago Cukur out
74'Manolis Siopis INRobin Yalçın out
74'Yaya Onogo INMarius Tresor Doh out
77'Efecan Karaca INBatuhan Kor out
90+1'Emre Akbaba INDorukhan Toköz out

Lineups

Sarıyer
4-4-2Coach: Umut Eskiköy
Fatih Karagümrük
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Stanojević
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating7.07
I. Šehić6.613I. Šehić
Ü. Ergün6.323Ü. Ergün
K. Arslan5.924K. Arslan
J. Attamah6.53J. Attamah
E. Korkmazoğlu7.05E. Korkmazoğlu
B. Alici6.17B. Alici
H. Yeşilyurt6.828H. Yeşilyurt
A. Biyogo Poko6.053A. Biyogo Poko
E. Karaca5.410E. Karaca
E. Eze6.590E. Eze
D. Davas6.417D. Davas
M. Silvestri6.71M. Silvestri
M. Sarıkaya6.925M. Sarıkaya
D. Biraschi6.94D. Biraschi
A. Çınar7.328A. Çınar
Candan Baskale7.821C. Baskale
Y. Onogo7.119Y. Onogo
M. Siopis7.020M. Siopis
Traore Ahmed8.226T. Ahmed
E. Akbaba6.55E. Akbaba
4141J. Esen
C. Tosun7.69C. Tosun

Sarıyer Substitutes

1F. Akyüz
4E. Dikmen
14T. Ergül45'for André Poko6.2
41F. Gedik
11E. Karadağ60'for Barış Alıcı6.7
35H. Kayalı
9B. Kör77'for Efecan Karaca6.3
8Marcos Silva
93M. Thiam60'for Dogan Can Davas6.3
19Yagiz Sen

Fatih Karagümrük Substitutes

22R. Civelek67'replaced by J. Esen7.0
14Marius Tresor Doh74'for Yaya Onogo7.2
24B. Ersoy
7Baris Kalayci
33Ç. Kurukalıp
3A. Nukan
8D. Toköz90+1'for Emre Akbaba
6R. Yalçın74'for Manolis Siopis6.8
11T. Çukur74'for Cenk Tosun6.6
23B. Şen

Match Stats

SarıyerFatih Karagümrük
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots3
22Fouls17
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
344Total Passes402
257Passes Accurate316
16Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

SarıyerSarıyer
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
1608Elo Rating 1630
0.77Attack 0.79
1.54Defense 2.30
27%Hit Rate 23%
14.8Shots per Game 15.4
3.3Shots on Target 4.3
3.6Corners per Game 3.3
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SarıyerSarıyer
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SarıyerSarıyer0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Türkiye Kupası04/12/2024
Fatih KaragümrükSarıyer
30
Türkiye Kupası01/12/2021
Fatih KaragümrükSarıyer
20

Recent Form

SarıyerSarıyer
3W4D3L
17/10/2026
SivassporSarıyer
11
D
13/10/2026
SarıyerBodrum FK
14
L
09/10/2026
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
11
D
19/09/2026
SarıyerBoluspor
21
W
11/09/2026
SarıyerBandırmaspor
11
D
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
L
01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
20
W
28/08/2026
AntalyasporSarıyer
12
W
23/08/2026
SarıyerBatman Petrolspor
12
L
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
3W4D3L
19/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
12
L
15/10/2026
Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
10
L
11/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor
11
D
19/09/2026
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
02
W
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
06/09/2026
Batman PetrolsporFatih Karagümrük
43
L
02/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKayserispor
11
D
29/08/2026
İstanbulsporFatih Karagümrük
11
D
21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
21
W
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
W

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor13101229:11+1831WWWWL
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1383218:10+827DWWDW
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691373318:12+624WWLWW
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1372426:23+323LWDWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1355325:18+720LLWDW
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1361619:20-119DLWLW
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1346316:12+418DWWWL
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1344516:16016LWLLD
11SarıyerSarıyer1344514:18-416LLDLD
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1336415:18-315WLWDW
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1335517:13+414LLLDW
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1235414:11+314WWLDW
15PendiksporPendikspor1335515:23-814WDLLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1334621:23-213WLLDL
17SivassporSivasspor1327416:20-413LLDDW
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1343614:22-813WWLWL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor13121010:33-235LLLLL
20BolusporBoluspor1211105:26-214LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1329:1131
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1318:1027
4Mardin 1969Mardin 19691318:1224
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1326:2323
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1325:1820
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1319:2019
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1316:1218
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1316:1616
11SarıyerSarıyer1314:1816
12Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1315:1815
13BandırmasporBandırmaspor1317:1314
14ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1214:1114
15PendiksporPendikspor1315:2314
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1321:2313
17SivassporSivasspor1316:2013
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1314:2213
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor1310:335
20BolusporBoluspor125:264
PromotionRelegation

About the Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Sarıyer (11th) and Fatih Karagümrük (10th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Sarıyer 14-18, Fatih Karagümrük 16-16. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.