Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction

Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan·Ma Ning, China 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+14.5%
Shandong Luneng Rest
4 days
Qingdao Jonoon Rest
6 days

Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon: result, form and history

Shandong Luneng beat Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 in the Super League on 14 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Shandong Luneng had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Qingdao Jonoon.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Ma Ning averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.40
X
14%5.00
2
6%6.13
Double Chance
1X
94%1.10
X2
20%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.50
No
51%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.11 + 0.71 = 2.82
Over 1.5
82%1.09
Over 2.5
56%1.36
Over 3.5
36%1.91
Under 1.5
18%6.50
Under 2.5
44%3.00
Under 3.5
64%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
47%1.42
Over 9.5
42%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.19
Under 8.5
53%2.63
Under 9.5
58%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

8'CryzanAssist: V. Qazaishvili
12'Liu Yang
13'Jin YonghaoAssist: Lin Chuangyi
21'ZecaFoul
46'Mijit Mewlan INXie Wenneng out
46'P. Alvaro INYang Ruiqi out
62'Song Long INSun Zheng'ao out
62'Song Wenjie INLiu Xinyu out
62'Li Hailong INWang Qiao out
64'Huang Zhengyu INMemet Imran out
64'Zeca INR. Merkies out
65'R. Merkies
67'Luo SenwenFoul
68'Jin Yangyang INLiu Jiashen out
76'Cryzan INShi Songchen out
81'Luo Senwen INGong Ruicong out

Team Comparison

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
1647Elo Rating 1352
2.85Attack 0.31
1.41Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 0%
16.2Shots per Game 12.5
6.8Shots on Target 3.2
3.6Corners per Game 5.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+295 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng4Wins · 50%
Draws338%
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon1Wins · 12%
2.9Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Super League26/04/2026
Qingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
41
Super League20/09/2025
Qingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
22
Super League01/05/2025
Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon
11
Super League13/07/2024
Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon
11
Super League05/04/2024
Qingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
01
Super League15/09/2023
Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon
42
Super League28/05/2023
Qingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
01
FA Cup17/11/2022
Qingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
02

Recent Form

Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
2W1D7L

Referee Profile

Ma Ning114 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ma Ning4.43
Other referees3.75

4.43 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shandong Luneng and Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Shandong Luneng are 4th in the Super League, while Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Shandong Luneng 57-47, Qingdao Jonoon 34-62. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.