Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan·Alexander George King, Australia 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Shandong Luneng Rest
8 days
Tianjin Teda Rest
8 days

Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda: the result in context

Shandong Luneng beat Tianjin Teda 2-1 in the Super League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Shandong Luneng have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.70
X
30%3.88
2
21%4.30
Double Chance
1X
79%1.19
X2
52%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.54
No
35%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.28 = 3.07
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.55
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
18%4.76
Under 2.5
42%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.40
Over 9.5
48%1.65
Over 10.5
37%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.70
Under 9.5
52%2.08
Under 10.5
63%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

32'Wang QiumingFoul
39'Yang RuiqiFoul
46'Yang Ruiqi INYin Jiaxi out
46'R. Merkies INV. Qazaishvili out
66'Guilherme Schettine INJi Shengpan out
66'Wang Qiuming INChen Zhexuan out
69'P. Alvaro INY. Peng out
75'Sun Ming-HimFoul
79'XadasAssist: A. Quiles
79'Wang Zhenghao INXie Weijun out
79'Ba Dun INShi Yan out
82'Gao Zhunyi INMemet Imran out
84'Liu YangAssist: V. Qazaishvili
89'Huang Jiahui INWang Xianjun out
90+2'Memet ImranFoul
90+3'CryzanAssist: Y. Peng
90+6'Xie Wenneng INJ. Lu out

Lineups

Shandong Luneng
3-4-1-2Coach: Tian Tang
Tianjin Teda
5-3-2Coach: Genwei Yu
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.72
Yu Jinyong6.61Y. Jinyong
Yang Ruiqi6.52Y. Ruiqi
Peng Xiao6.93P. Xiao
Pedro Álvaro7.223P. Álvaro
Maiwulang Mijiti6.528M. Mijiti
Guilherme Madruga7.68G. Madruga
Zhunyi Gao7.233Z. Gao
Yang Liu8.511Y. Liu
Wenneng Xie6.27W. Xie
CryzanC8.29Cryzan
Raphaël Merkies6.217R. Merkies
Yan Bingliang6.725Y. Bingliang
Dun Ba6.229D. Ba
Jiahui Huang6.714J. Huang
Aitor Córdoba6.918A. Córdoba
Zhenghao Wang7.03Z. Wang
Ming-Him Sun6.531M. Sun
Qiuming WangC6.530Q. Wang
Cristian Salvador7.010C. Salvador
Bruno Xadas7.98B. Xadas
Alberto Quiles7.29A. Quiles
Guilherme Schettine6.37G. Schettine

Shandong Luneng Substitutes

34Jiaxi Yin46'for Yang Ruiqi7.0
10Valeri Qazaishvili46'for R. Merkies6.6
42Yixiang Peng69'for P. Alvaro6.3
36Qiwei Liu
32Qihang Sun
5Zheng Zheng
6Tong Wang
29Chen Pu
38Memet Imran82'for Gao Zhunyi90+2'6.7
41Junwei Lu90+6'for Xie Wenneng
19Zeca

Tianjin Teda Substitutes

24Chen Zhexuan66'for Wang Qiuming5.9
20Shengpan Ji66'for Guilherme Schettine6.9
21Qi Yuxi
16Shuai Liu
38Shuaiqi Li
11Xie Weijun79'for Wang Zhenghao6.6
6Xianjun Wang89'for Huang Jiahui
40Shi Yan79'for Ba Dun6.5
22Li Yongjia
28Hao Guo
19Junxian Liu

Match Stats

Shandong LunengTianjin Teda
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
10Fouls6
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
640Total Passes353
556Passes Accurate265
87%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda
1647Elo Rating 1620
2.85Attack 1.14
1.41Defense 2.05
50%Hit Rate 73%
14.7Shots per Game 7.2
5.9Shots on Target 3.4
3.6Corners per Game 3.3
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng6Wins · 67%
Draws222%
Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda1Wins · 11%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Super League21/04/2026
Tianjin TedaShandong Luneng
12
Super League01/11/2025
Shandong LunengTianjin Teda
21
Super League14/06/2025
Tianjin TedaShandong Luneng
10
Super League18/10/2024
Shandong LunengTianjin Teda
41
Super League21/05/2024
Tianjin TedaShandong Luneng
11
Super League18/08/2023
Shandong LunengTianjin Teda
10
Super League20/05/2023
Tianjin TedaShandong Luneng
33
Super League03/11/2022
Shandong LunengTianjin Teda
41
Super League06/08/2022
Tianjin TedaShandong Luneng
01

Recent Form

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
5W1D4L
01/08/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
01
W
26/07/2026
Shandong LunengHenan Jianye
12
L
21/07/2026
Wuhan Three TownsShandong Luneng
3141
W
18/07/2026
Dalian ZhixingShandong Luneng
31
L
10/07/2026
Shandong LunengYunnan Yukun
43
W
04/07/2026
Beijing GuoanShandong Luneng
20
L
27/06/2026
Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng
15
W
20/06/2026
Guangxi HengchenShandong Luneng
05
W
30/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
10
L
24/05/2026
Shandong LunengWuhan Three Towns
33
D
Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda
5W1D4L
01/08/2026
Tianjin TedaYunnan Yukun
32
W
25/07/2026
Qingdao JonoonTianjin Teda
02
W
18/07/2026
Shanghai ShenhuaTianjin Teda
02
W
04/07/2026
Tianjin TedaSichuan Jiuniu
30
W
27/06/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongTianjin Teda
10
L
19/06/2026
Rizhao YuqiTianjin Teda
5131
L
31/05/2026
Tianjin TedaDalian Zhixing
10
W
23/05/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin Teda
11
D
19/05/2026
Tianjin TedaHenan Jianye
12
L
15/05/2026
Tianjin TedaChengdu Better City
12
L

Referee Profile

Alexander George King159 matches

4.24Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexander George King4.24
Other referees4.09

4.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shandong Luneng and Tianjin Teda in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Shandong Luneng are 4th and Tianjin Teda 12th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Shandong Luneng 57-47, Tianjin Teda 39-35. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.