Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction
England · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sheffield Utd vs Derby: result, form and history
Sheffield Utd and Derby drew 1-1 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. Sheffield Utd had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Derby.
Sheffield Utd have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sheffield Utd
Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. Cooper
8H. Choudhury
5J. Tanganga
15L. Kitching
14H. Burrows
27K. Phillips
4O. Arblaster
19T. Chong
9T. Cannon
22B. Brereton
45P. Bamford
1J. Widell Zetterström
23J. Ward
24R. Nyambe
28D. Sanderson
26R. Hedges
8B. Clark
4D. Ozoh
10R. Brewster
11S. Szmodics
19H. Meister
9C. MorrisSheffield Utd Substitutes
Derby Substitutes
Match Stats
Sheffield UtdDerby Team Comparison
Sheffield UtdDerbyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sheffield Utd- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Derby- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Sheffield Utd5Wins · 71%2Wins · 29%Previous meetings
02/05/2026DerbySheffield Utd01/11/2025Sheffield UtdDerby01/02/2025DerbySheffield Utd21/09/2024Sheffield UtdDerby15/01/2022DerbySheffield Utd25/09/2021Sheffield UtdDerby
24/08/2021Sheffield UtdDerbyRecent Form
Sheffield Utd
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
PortsmouthSheffield UtdSheffield Utd
Lincoln
Stoke CitySheffield Utd
Fleetwood TownSheffield UtdSheffield Utd
Wolves
BlackburnSheffield UtdSheffield Utd
NorwichSheffield Utd
Bolton
CardiffSheffield UtdDerbyDerbyStoke City
QPRDerbyDerby
Wrexham
BurnleyDerbyDerby
BirminghamDerby
West Brom
West HamDerbyPortsmouthDerbyDerby
SwanseaDerbyCardiffReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 51% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 5 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 6 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 7 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 13 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 15 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 20 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 4 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 5 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 6 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 13 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Sheffield Utd vs Derby forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sheffield Utd and Derby in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Sheffield Utd are 10th and Derby 23rd, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Sheffield Utd 17-15, Derby 10-21. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sheffield Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.