Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction
England · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Bolton vs Middlesbrough: the result in context
Middlesbrough beat Bolton 5-1 in the Championship on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Middlesbrough tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.7 for Bolton.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Bolton
Avg ratingAvg rating
31G. Bazunu
22G. Larrazabal
18E. Toal
5L. Brunt
14A. Famewo
8J. Sheehan
21E. Erhahon
7K. Dong
20R. Rodrigues
11T. Gale
9T. Bair
1R. Vítek
2C. Brittain
4A. Phillips
29A. Malanda
30N. Borges
10A. Morris
6S. Berhalter
11A. Cozier-Duberry
8R. McGree
9T. Conway
7W. LankshearBolton Substitutes
Middlesbrough Substitutes
Match Stats
BoltonMiddlesbrough Team Comparison
BoltonMiddlesbroughAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Bolton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Middlesbrough- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Bolton0Wins · 0%1Wins · 100%Previous meetings
29/08/2023BoltonMiddlesbroughRecent Form
Bolton
SouthamptonBolton
WolvesBoltonBolton
Stoke City
NorwichBoltonBolton
CardiffBolton
West Ham
MillwallBolton
Sheffield UtdBoltonBolton
Lincoln
QPRBoltonMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughCardiffStoke CityMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughWolves
BirminghamMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughMillwallMiddlesbroughNorwich
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbroughQPRMiddlesbrough
BurnleyMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
West BromReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.83).
Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Bolton vs Middlesbrough forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bolton and Middlesbrough in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 1st and Bolton 19th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Bolton 18-26, Middlesbrough 30-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bolton and Middlesbrough have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.