Wolves vs Bolton Prediction

Wolves
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Bolton
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton·Tim Robinson 13/10/2026
WolvesWolves
1-3
Finished
BoltonBolton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Wolves Rest
3 days
Bolton Rest
3 days

Wolves vs Bolton: result, form and history

Bolton beat Wolves 3-1 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Wolves tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 3.7 for Bolton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.38
X
20%4.80
2
12%7.45
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
32%2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.79 = 2.44
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.54
Over 3.5
33%2.42
Under 1.5
23%5.00
Under 2.5
45%2.38
Under 3.5
67%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 4.1 = 10.8
Over 8.5
74%1.33
Over 9.5
64%1.60
Over 10.5
49%2.00
Under 8.5
26%2.92
Under 9.5
36%2.20
Under 10.5
51%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.6 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.62
Over 4.5
42%2.29
Under 3.5
38%2.20
Under 4.5
58%1.58

Match Events

26'Mateus ManeFoul
28'Atsuki Ito
45+1'Gaizka LarrazabalTime wasting
50'Jean-Ricner BellegardeAssist: Ladislav Krejčí
63'Mateus Mane INRafiki Said Ahamada out
63'Samuel Iling INJayden Nelson out
66'Atsuki Ito INRuben Rodrigues out
66'Thelonius Bair INSam Dalby out
72'Sam DalbyAssist: Gaizka Larrazabal
76'Ethan ErhahonFoul
78'Thierry Gale INMax Conway out
78'Ethan Erhahon INXavier Simons out
80'Hugo Bueno INGhislain Konan out
80'Jordan James INMarshall Munetsi out
82'Josh Sheehan
85'André INSean Neave out
89'Kieran TrippierFoul
90+3'Sean NeaveFoul

Lineups

Wolves
4-2-3-1Coach: César Peixoto
Bolton
4-4-2Coach: S. Schumacher
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.71
José Sá6.01J. Sá
K. Trippier7.12K. Trippier
N. Djiga6.634N. Djiga
L. Krejčí7.237L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno6.63H. Bueno
André6.47André
J. James6.18J. James
J. Bellegarde7.327J. Bellegarde
Fer López6.228F. López
M. Mane6.136M. Mane
A. Armstrong6.410A. Armstrong
G. Bazunu5.831G. Bazunu
Gaizka Larrazabal6.222G. Larrazabal
E. Toal7.218E. Toal
L. Brunt7.35L. Brunt
A. Famewo6.114A. Famewo
S. Iling-Junior6.416S. Iling-Junior
J. Sheehan8.08J. Sheehan
E. Erhahon6.021E. Erhahon
T. Gale6.211T. Gale
T. Bair6.49T. Bair
A. Ito7.717A. Ito

Wolves Substitutes

13João Virgínia
24Toti Gomes
38J. Tchatchoua
19R. Saïd63'for Mateus Mane6.9
14S. Neave85'for André90+3'6.3
5M. Munetsi80'for Jordan James5.7
33G. Konan80'for Hugo Bueno5.9
20T. Doyle
23T. Chirewa

Bolton Substitutes

4X. Simons78'for Ethan Erhahon6.3
20Ruben Rodrigues66'for Atsuki Ito6.7
26J. Nelson63'for Samuel Iling6.6
39R. Hardie
6B. Davies
10S. Dalby66'for Thelonius Bair72'7.9
25M. Conway78'for Thierry Gale6.5
1J. Bonham
35Max Lott

Match Stats

WolvesBolton
61%Ball Possession39%
9Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
6Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
515Total Passes342
458Passes Accurate261
89%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

WolvesWolves
BoltonBolton
1689Elo Rating 1618
1.05Attack 1.58
1.94Defense 0.70
46%Hit Rate 34%
18.6Shots per Game 14.6
3.6Shots on Target 4.5
8.7Corners per Game 3.7
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

WolvesWolves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BoltonBolton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

BoltonBolton
3W1D6L
10/10/2026
BoltonStoke City
12
L
20/09/2026
NorwichBolton
34
W
12/09/2026
BoltonCardiff
10
W
08/09/2026
BoltonWest Ham
23
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
L
01/09/2026
Sheffield UtdBolton
32
L
29/08/2026
BoltonLincoln
01
L
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
15/08/2026
BoltonPreston
21
W
08/08/2026
Sheffield WednesdayBolton
10
L

Referee Profile

Tim Robinson219 matches

4.14Cards per match
4.01Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tim Robinson4.14
Other referees3.78

4.14 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Wolves vs Bolton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wolves and Bolton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Wolves are 4th and Bolton 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Wolves 20-16, Bolton 16-23. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Wolves and Bolton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.