Burnley vs Charlton Prediction

Burnley
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Charlton
Turf Moor, Burnley·Anthony Backhouse 13/10/2026
BurnleyBurnley
2-2
Finished
CharltonCharlton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseHighGap-3.3%
Burnley Rest
3 days
Charlton Rest
3 days

Burnley vs Charlton: result, form and history

Burnley and Charlton drew 2-2 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.63
X
25%3.88
2
18%5.22
Double Chance
1X
82%1.15
X2
43%2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.13 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.82
Over 3.5
31%3.05
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
49%1.94
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.47
Over 9.5
55%1.81
Over 10.5
45%2.30
Under 8.5
33%2.55
Under 9.5
45%1.92
Under 10.5
55%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.60
Over 4.5
41%2.13
Under 3.5
40%2.27
Under 4.5
59%1.66

Match Events

36'Jacob Bruun LarsenAssist: Josh Laurent
50'Kayne RamsayAssist: Lloyd Jones
57'Largie RamazaniAssist: Igor Júlio
62'Conor CoventryFoul
66'Igor JúlioFoul
71'Jamie Vardy INArmando Broja out
71'Jacob Bruun Larsen INMarcus Edwards out
74'Miles Leaburn INMicah Mbick out
74'Dan McNamara INHarvey Knibbs out
75'Amari Bell INIvan Mesik out
75'Oliver Skipp INCharlie Kelman out
80'Largie Ramazani INAndréas Hountondji out
86'Tyreece Campbell INMillenic Alli out
90'Anel Ahmedhodzic INHjalmar Ekdal out
90+4'Max AlleyneFoul
90+6'Ivan MesikAssist: Harvey Knibbs

Lineups

Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Hayen
Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Jones
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.54
G. Coudert6.137G. Coudert
K. Walker6.62K. Walker
A. Ahmedhodžić6.515A. Ahmedhodžić
Igor6.844Igor
Lucas Pires6.223L. Pires
Max Alleyne6.63M. Alleyne
R. Hatate6.35R. Hatate
L. Ramazani7.719L. Ramazani
J. Laurent6.829J. Laurent
J. Bruun Larsen7.37J. Bruun Larsen
J. Vardy6.79J. Vardy
A. Okonkwo5.913A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay7.32K. Ramsay
L. Jones7.25L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio6.112B. Dawson Koumetio
A. Bell6.417A. Bell
O. Skipp6.234O. Skipp
C. Coventry6.36C. Coventry
D. McNamara6.620D. McNamara
K. Ahearne-Grant5.89K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell6.47T. Campbell
M. Leaburn6.811M. Leaburn

Burnley Substitutes

1M. Weiß
8U. Raghouber
22O. Sonne
14C. Roberts
27A. Broja71'for Jamie Vardy6.1
30L. Castell
10M. Edwards71'for Jacob Bruun Larsen7.0
18H. Ekdal90'for Anel Ahmedhodzic
17A. Hountondji80'for Largie Ramazani6.5

Charlton Substitutes

18I. Mesík75'for Amari Bell90+6'7.5
33Micah Mbick74'for Miles Leaburn6.5
25W. Mannion
8H. Knibbs74'for Dan McNamara6.2
14S. Carey
44Tyler Bindon
19M. Alli86'for Tyreece Campbell6.9
32A. Mwamba
23C. Kelman75'for Oliver Skipp6.5

Match Stats

BurnleyCharlton
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots1
4Fouls12
2Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total Passes432
281Passes Accurate348
75%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

BurnleyBurnley
CharltonCharlton
1582Elo Rating 1534
1.69Attack 0.97
0.93Defense 0.76
17%Hit Rate 0%
12.8Shots per Game 10.0
4.4Shots on Target 3.6
4.3Corners per Game 3.8
1.7Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

BurnleyBurnley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
1W4D5L
10/10/2026
WatfordBurnley
04
W
19/09/2026
BurnleyDerby
11
D
12/09/2026
SwanseaBurnley
31
L
08/09/2026
WrexhamBurnley
11
D
05/09/2026
BurnleyBristol City
12
L
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
L
26/08/2026
BradfordBurnley
4020
L
23/08/2026
West BromBurnley
31
L
16/08/2026
BurnleyWest Ham
22
D
CharltonCharlton
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
CharltonBristol City
11
D
19/09/2026
CardiffCharlton
31
L
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
Stoke CityCharlton
40
L
02/09/2026
West BromCharlton
11
D
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
W
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
L
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
W
15/08/2026
CharltonDerby
21
W

Referee Profile

Anthony Backhouse187 matches

3.88Cards per match
3.80Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anthony Backhouse3.88
Other referees3.70

3.88 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).

Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
3Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
4SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
5West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
6WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
7West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
8SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
9QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
14MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
15Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
20CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
3Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
4SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
5West HamWest Ham1232:1522
6WolvesWolves1220:1621
7West BromWest Brom1216:1321
8SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
9QPRQPR1220:1220
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13NorwichNorwich1323:2415
14MillwallMillwall1219:2015
15Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1219:1714
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1216:2314
20CharltonCharlton1211:1814
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1310:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Burnley vs Charlton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burnley and Charlton in the Championship table

Charlton and Burnley are close in the Championship table, 20th and 22nd, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Burnley 17-25, Charlton 11-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Burnley and Charlton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.