Bristol City vs Blackburn Prediction

Bristol City
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Blackburn
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol·David Webb 13/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Bristol City Rest
3 days
Blackburn Rest
3 days

Bristol City vs Blackburn: the result in context

Blackburn beat Bristol City 1-0 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee David Webb averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.06
X
27%3.40
2
30%3.52
Double Chance
1X
70%1.28
X2
57%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.72
No
47%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.09 = 2.56
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.90
Over 3.5
29%3.20
Under 1.5
27%3.40
Under 2.5
50%1.86
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
70%1.29
Over 9.5
58%1.53
Over 10.5
47%1.93
Under 8.5
30%3.17
Under 9.5
42%2.24
Under 10.5
53%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%2.10
Over 4.5
44%3.15
Under 3.5
37%1.68
Under 4.5
56%1.32

Match Events

38'Oladapo AfolayanAssist: Sean McLoughlin
45'Sam Greenwood INYu Hirakawa out
62'Ryoya Morishita INAugustus Kargbo out
62'Todd Cantwell INMoussa·Baradji out
63'Oladapo Afolayan INJ. Fevrier out
67'Scott Twine INTomi Horvat out
67'Jason Knight INBrian de Keersmaecker out
73'Kristi Montgomery INAndri Guðjohnsen out
75'Jed Wallace INElijah Adebayo out
75'George Tanner INRio Cardines out

Lineups

Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Blackburn
3-4-2-1Coach: Tony Mowbray
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.89
S. Tickle5.91S. Tickle
G. Tanner6.619G. Tanner
L. Eissat7.42L. Eissat
R. Atkinson6.95R. Atkinson
C. Pring6.03C. Pring
J. Knight6.312J. Knight
G. Yah6.227G. Yah
J. Wallace6.517J. Wallace
S. Greenwood6.920S. Greenwood
S. Twine6.310S. Twine
D. Ballard6.523D. Ballard
B. Tóth7.522B. Tóth
Tom Atcheson6.96T. Atcheson
H. Carter7.017H. Carter
S. McLoughlin7.715S. McLoughlin
R. Alebiosu6.52R. Alebiosu
Sam Morsy6.88S. Morsy
Kristi Montgomery6.631K. Montgomery
H. Pickering6.73H. Pickering
R. Morishita6.425R. Morishita
O. Afolayan8.021O. Afolayan
T. Cantwell6.310T. Cantwell

Bristol City Substitutes

45E. Adebayo75'for Jed Wallace6.8
11S. Bell
21Rio Cardines75'for George Tanner6.2
40B. Collins
6B. De Keersmaecker67'for Jason Knight6.1
7Y. Hirakawa45'for Sam Greenwood6.7
14T. Horvat67'for Scott Twine6.4
15L. McNally
4A. Randell

Blackburn Substitutes

30J. Garrett
9A. Guðjohnsen73'for Kristi Montgomery6.6
29M. Jørgensen
7A. Kargbo62'for Ryoya Morishita6.3
1A. Pears
11J. Fevrier63'for Oladapo Afolayan6.8
14D. De Neve
27Gady Beyuku
24M. Baradji62'for Todd Cantwell7.2

Match Stats

Bristol CityBlackburn
56%Ball Possession44%
10Corner Kicks5
20Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots1
8Fouls7
3Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves7
428Total Passes349
336Passes Accurate268
79%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Bristol CityBristol City
BlackburnBlackburn
1587Elo Rating 1637
0.31Attack 1.81
2.41Defense 1.87
14%Hit Rate 63%
12.2Shots per Game 11.1
3.1Shots on Target 4.0
5.4Corners per Game 6.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BlackburnBlackburn
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bristol CityBristol City5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
BlackburnBlackburn3Wins · 30%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship24/02/2026
BlackburnBristol City
12
Championship04/11/2025
Bristol CityBlackburn
01
Championship25/01/2025
Bristol CityBlackburn
21
Championship14/09/2024
BlackburnBristol City
30
Championship10/04/2024
Bristol CityBlackburn
50
Championship12/12/2023
BlackburnBristol City
21
Championship21/01/2023
Bristol CityBlackburn
11
Championship03/09/2022
BlackburnBristol City
23
Championship12/03/2022
BlackburnBristol City
01
Championship20/11/2021
Bristol CityBlackburn
11

Recent Form

Bristol CityBristol City
5W2D3L
10/10/2026
CharltonBristol City
11
D
03/10/2026
Crystal PalaceBristol City
02
W
18/09/2026
Bristol CityWatford
10
W
15/09/2026
Bristol CityLincoln
01
L
12/09/2026
SouthamptonBristol City
41
L
05/09/2026
BurnleyBristol City
12
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
W
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
W
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
L
BlackburnBlackburn
3W3D4L
10/10/2026
BlackburnCardiff
21
W
19/09/2026
PortsmouthBlackburn
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
W
08/09/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
05/09/2026
PrestonBlackburn
21
L
01/09/2026
LincolnBlackburn
00
D
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
L
25/08/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
W
14/08/2026
WolvesBlackburn
22
D

Referee Profile

David Webb211 matches

3.06Cards per match
2.97Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

David Webb3.06
Other referees3.81

3.06 cards a match, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.81).

Cards come from 206 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol City vs Blackburn forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol City and Blackburn in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Blackburn are 10th and Bristol City 14th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol City 12-15, Blackburn 19-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Blackburn have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.