Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Southampton vs Portsmouth: the result in context
Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 in the Championship on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Southampton
Avg ratingAvg rating
1D. Peretz
14J. Bree
5J. Stephens
13K. Schlotterbeck
3R. Manning
4F. Downes
30J. Ward-Prowse
26C. Bragg
10F. Azaz
7L. Scienza
9C. Larin
1N. Schmid
22Z. Swanson
5R. Poole
55M. Dia
16J. Meghoma
7M. Pack
38E. Adams
25R. Kavuma McQueen
11A. Kamara
17T. Shade
9C. BishopSouthampton Substitutes
Portsmouth Substitutes
Match Stats
SouthamptonPortsmouth Team Comparison
SouthamptonPortsmouthAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Southampton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Portsmouth- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Southampton0Wins · 0%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
25/01/2026PortsmouthSouthampton14/09/2025SouthamptonPortsmouthRecent Form
Southampton
WrexhamSouthamptonSouthampton
Bristol CitySouthampton
Swansea
LincolnSouthampton
BirminghamSouthamptonSouthampton
MillwallSouthampton
West HamSouthampton
Stoke City
WatfordSouthampton
ColchesterSouthamptonPortsmouthPortsmouth
Blackburn
CharltonPortsmouthPortsmouth
CardiffPortsmouth
DerbyBristol CityPortsmouthLincolnPortsmouthPortsmouth
QPRWest HamPortsmouth
SV Darmstadt 98Portsmouth
FarnboroughPortsmouthReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.53 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).
Cards come from 124 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Southampton vs Portsmouth forecast
As a derby, this Championship meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Southampton and Portsmouth in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Southampton are 5th and Portsmouth 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Southampton 28-13, Portsmouth 16-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Southampton and Portsmouth have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.