Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Portsmouth
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Sheffield Utd
Fratton Park, Portsmouth·Oliver Langford 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Portsmouth Rest
3 days
Sheffield Utd Rest
4 days

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd: result, form and history

Portsmouth beat Sheffield Utd 3-2 in the Championship on 14 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sheffield Utd have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.30
X
28%3.35
2
33%3.02
Double Chance
1X
67%1.36
X2
61%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.72
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.14 = 2.44
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.96
Over 3.5
25%3.35
Under 1.5
29%3.35
Under 2.5
53%1.82
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.25
Over 9.5
48%1.45
Over 10.5
37%1.80
Under 8.5
42%3.46
Under 9.5
52%2.50
Under 10.5
63%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.83
Over 4.5
44%2.65
Under 3.5
37%1.86
Under 4.5
56%1.44

Match Events

27'Jayden MeghomaFoul
35'Hamza ChoudhuryFoul
41'Zak Swanson
44'Hamza Choudhury
45'Patrick Bamford INMark McGuinness out
45'Ben Brereton INKalvin Phillips out
54'Adrian SegecicAssist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
59'Japhet TangangaAssist: Tahith Chong
60'Nicolas SchmidArgument
60'Sam McCallumArgument
60'Joe Rothwell INOliver Arblaster out
62'Marko Milovanović INColby·Bishop out
67'Thomas CannonAssist: Kalvin Phillips
68'Abu Kamara INKeshi Anderson out
69'Iyad Mohamed INEbou Adams out
69'Zak Swanson INTerry Devlin out
79'Tahith Chong INRomelle Donovan out
79'Thomas Cannon INTyrese Campbell out
82'Ebou AdamsFoul
87'Keshi Anderson INOdin Bailey out
89'Ebou Adams

Lineups

Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Coach: John Mousinho
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2Coach: Chris Wilder
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.21
N. Schmid6.61N. Schmid
Z. Swanson7.222Z. Swanson
R. Poole6.75R. Poole
M. Dia7.455M. Dia
J. Meghoma6.816J. Meghoma
M. Pack6.67M. Pack
I. Mohamed6.437I. Mohamed
A. Kamara6.311A. Kamara
A. Segecic8.210A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen7.425R. Kavuma McQueen
M. Milovanović6.429M. Milovanović
M. Cooper6.31M. Cooper
H. Choudhury5.28H. Choudhury
J. Tanganga6.85J. Tanganga
L. Kitching6.115L. Kitching
S. McCallum5.53S. McCallum
T. Chong6.319T. Chong
Sydie Peck6.442S. Peck
J. Rothwell6.57J. Rothwell
B. Brereton5.922B. Brereton
T. Cannon7.59T. Cannon
P. Bamford6.045P. Bamford

Portsmouth Substitutes

38E. Adams69'for Iyad Mohamed82'89'7.0
21K. Anderson68'for Abu Kamara87'for Odin Bailey6.2
27O. Bailey87'replaced by Keshi Anderson6.1
31D. Bielica
9C. Bishop62'for Marko Milovanović6.6
24T. Devlin69'for Zak Swanson6.1
32E. Kenny
19R. Shein
30B. Killip

Sheffield Utd Substitutes

14H. Burrows
23T. Campbell79'for Thomas Cannon6.2
17A. Davies
11R. Donovan79'for Tahith Chong5.8
25M. McGuinness45'for Patrick Bamford6.3
27K. Phillips45'for Ben Brereton6.6
44J. Riedewald
10J. Ayew
4O. Arblaster60'for Joe Rothwell6.0

Match Stats

PortsmouthSheffield Utd
67%Ball Possession33%
10Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
24Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots4
6Fouls7
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
479Total Passes232
402Passes Accurate156
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

PortsmouthPortsmouth
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
1624Elo Rating 1656
1.46Attack 1.45
2.03Defense 2.27
63%Hit Rate 61%
11.7Shots per Game 15.6
2.6Shots on Target 5.1
4.2Corners per Game 5.7
2.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PortsmouthPortsmouth
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PortsmouthPortsmouth0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd3Wins · 75%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Championship14/02/2026
PortsmouthSheffield Utd
01
Championship26/11/2025
Sheffield UtdPortsmouth
30
Championship08/02/2025
Sheffield UtdPortsmouth
21
Championship28/09/2024
PortsmouthSheffield Utd
00

Recent Form

PortsmouthPortsmouth
2W3D5L
11/10/2026
SouthamptonPortsmouth
10
L
19/09/2026
PortsmouthBlackburn
22
D
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
05/09/2026
PortsmouthCardiff
20
W
01/09/2026
PortsmouthDerby
02
L
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
L
22/08/2026
LincolnPortsmouth
13
W
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
L
01/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Portsmouth
00
D
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
4W2D4L

Referee Profile

Oliver Langford198 matches

3.66Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Langford3.66
Other referees3.78

3.66 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 195 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Portsmouth (11th) and Sheffield Utd (10th) are level on 19 points. League goal record so far: Portsmouth 16-15, Sheffield Utd 17-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sheffield Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.