Burnley vs Wolves Prediction

Burnley
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Wolves
Turf Moor, Burnley·Lewis Smith 16/10/2026
BurnleyBurnley
1-2
Finished
WolvesWolves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Burnley Rest
3 days
Wolves Rest
3 days

Burnley vs Wolves: result, form and history

Wolves beat Burnley 2-1 in the Championship on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Wolves tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 4.3 for Burnley.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.10
X
28%3.52
2
41%2.20
Double Chance
1X
59%1.62
X2
69%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.2 = 2.40
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.80
Over 3.5
28%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.75
Under 2.5
50%2.00
Under 3.5
72%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.51
Over 9.5
55%1.87
Over 10.5
43%2.40
Under 8.5
34%2.37
Under 9.5
45%1.85
Under 10.5
57%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.85
Over 4.5
40%2.79
Under 3.5
41%1.85
Under 4.5
60%1.41

Match Events

20'Jamie VardyAssist: Jacob Bruun Larsen
39'Fer LópezAssist: Sean Neave
61'Jean-Ricner Bellegarde INMateus Mane out
61'Jamie Vardy INArmando Broja out
61'Jacob Bruun Larsen INDastan Satpaev out
63'Reo HatateFoul
70'Sean NeaveFoul
71'Fer López INThomas Doyle out
72'Sean Neave INTawanda Chirewa out
72'Tawanda ChirewaAssist: Mateus Mane
75'Reo Hatate INMarcus Edwards out
87'Ghislain Konan INLadislav Krejčí out
87'Rafiki Said Ahamada INHugo Bueno out
87'Max Alleyne INUgo Raghouber out
90'Kyle WalkerFoul

Lineups

Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Hayen
Wolves
4-2-3-1Coach: César Peixoto
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.86
G. Coudert6.837G. Coudert
K. Walker6.42K. Walker
H. Ekdal6.118H. Ekdal
Igor6.644Igor
Lucas Pires6.523L. Pires
Max Alleyne6.13M. Alleyne
R. Hatate6.45R. Hatate
L. Ramazani6.519L. Ramazani
J. Laurent6.329J. Laurent
J. Bruun Larsen7.77J. Bruun Larsen
J. Vardy7.69J. Vardy
José Sá6.51J. Sá
J. Tchatchoua7.138J. Tchatchoua
N. Djiga6.734N. Djiga
Toti Gomes6.824T. Gomes
G. Konan6.933G. Konan
M. Munetsi6.75M. Munetsi
André6.57André
J. Bellegarde6.427J. Bellegarde
Fer López7.828F. López
R. Saïd6.619R. Saïd
S. Neave7.214S. Neave

Burnley Substitutes

27A. Broja61'for Jamie Vardy6.2
30L. Castell
10M. Edwards75'for Reo Hatate6.7
17A. Hountondji
8U. Raghouber87'for Max Alleyne6.0
14C. Roberts
12D. Satpaev61'for Jacob Bruun Larsen6.9
22O. Sonne
1M. Weiß

Wolves Substitutes

2K. Trippier
15Y. Mosquera
13João Virgínia
36M. Mane61'for Jean-Ricner Bellegarde7.4
37L. Krejčí87'for Ghislain Konan6.2
8J. James
20T. Doyle71'for Fer López7.0
23T. Chirewa72'for Sean Neave72'7.6
3Hugo Bueno87'for Rafiki Said Ahamada6.3

Match Stats

BurnleyWolves
47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots20
4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots3
13Fouls9
7Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total Passes482
350Passes Accurate417
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

BurnleyBurnley
WolvesWolves
1582Elo Rating 1689
1.69Attack 1.05
0.93Defense 1.94
17%Hit Rate 46%
12.8Shots per Game 18.6
4.4Shots on Target 3.6
4.3Corners per Game 8.7
1.7Cards per Game 2.9

Game State Tendencies

BurnleyBurnley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WolvesWolves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

BurnleyBurnley4Wins · 45%
Draws333%
WolvesWolves2Wins · 22%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Premier League24/05/2026
BurnleyWolves
11
Premier League26/10/2025
WolvesBurnley
23
League Cup28/08/2024
WolvesBurnley
20
Premier League02/04/2024
BurnleyWolves
11
Premier League05/12/2023
WolvesBurnley
10
Premier League24/04/2022
BurnleyWolves
10
Premier League01/12/2021
WolvesBurnley
00
Premier League25/04/2021
WolvesBurnley
04
Premier League21/12/2020
BurnleyWolves
21

Referee Profile

Lewis Smith35 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lewis Smith4.00
Other referees3.86

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Burnley vs Wolves forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burnley and Wolves in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Wolves are 4th in the Championship, while Burnley sit 22nd, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Burnley 17-25, Wolves 20-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.