Watford vs Charlton Prediction

Watford
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Charlton
Vicarage Road, Watford·Thomas Bramall 17/10/2026
WatfordWatford
2-0
Finished
CharltonCharlton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-0.7%
Watford Rest
3 days
Charlton Rest
3 days

Watford vs Charlton: the result in context

Watford beat Charlton 2-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.50
X
28%3.30
2
37%2.76
Double Chance
1X
63%1.40
X2
65%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.26 = 2.38
Over 1.5
71%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.91
Over 3.5
27%3.25
Under 1.5
29%3.45
Under 2.5
52%1.88
Under 3.5
73%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.8 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.40
Over 9.5
53%1.69
Over 10.5
41%2.13
Under 8.5
35%2.71
Under 9.5
47%2.06
Under 10.5
59%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.62
Over 4.5
40%2.36
Under 3.5
40%2.20
Under 4.5
60%1.56

Match Events

10'Dan McNamaraFoul
17'Myron BoaduFoul
31'Iker BravoFoul
32'Oliver SkippFoul
44'Tyreece CampbellFoul
45'Oliver Skipp INAlan Mwamba out
47'Conor CoventryFoul
58'Luca Kjerrumgaard
62'Conor Coventry INsonny carey out
63'Karlan Grant INHarvey Knibbs out
63'Dan McNamara INCharlie Kelman out
66'Krépin Diatta INJordan Zemura out
66'Myron Boadu INMartin Payero out
76'Marc Bola INBranimir Mlacic out
76'Luca Kjerrumgaard INMamadou Doumbia out
77'Tyreece Campbell INMillenic Alli out
79'Jordan ZemuraFoul
86'Iker Bravo INRocco Vata out
90+2'Alan MwambaFoul
90+4'Jordan ZemuraAssist: Rocco Vata

Lineups

Watford
5-3-2Coach: A. Dionisi
Charlton
3-4-2-1Coach: N. Jones
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.30
F. Ravaglia6.71F. Ravaglia
K. Diatta7.715K. Diatta
K. Keben6.94K. Keben
M. Pollock7.56M. Pollock
S. Coulibaly7.73S. Coulibaly
M. Bola6.916M. Bola
E. Kayembe7.239E. Kayembe
H. Kyprianou6.65H. Kyprianou
Iker Bravo7.217I. Bravo
L. Kjerrumgaard8.29L. Kjerrumgaard
M. Boadu6.510M. Boadu
A. Okonkwo7.213A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay6.62K. Ramsay
L. Jones7.05L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio6.512B. Dawson Koumetio
D. McNamara6.320D. McNamara
O. Skipp6.034O. Skipp
C. Coventry5.96C. Coventry
I. Mesík6.418I. Mesík
K. Ahearne-Grant5.59K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell5.97T. Campbell
M. Leaburn6.511M. Leaburn

Watford Substitutes

20M. Doumbia76'for Luca Kjerrumgaard6.6
7O. Maamma
45S. Mavididi
29Branimir Mlačić76'for Marc Bola7.0
26D. Bachmann
21Amin Nabizada
22M. Payero66'for Myron Boadu7.1
11R. Vata86'for Iker Bravo7.0
33J. Zemura66'for Krépin Diatta79'90+4'7.6

Charlton Substitutes

19M. Alli77'for Tyreece Campbell6.3
17A. Bell
44Tyler Bindon
14S. Carey62'for Conor Coventry6.4
23C. Kelman63'for Dan McNamara6.6
8H. Knibbs63'for Karlan Grant6.1
25W. Mannion
33Micah Mbick
32A. Mwamba45'for Oliver Skipp90+2'5.8

Match Stats

WatfordCharlton
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards5
22Total Shots14
10Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots4
10Fouls21
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
360Total Passes359
277Passes Accurate258
21Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

WatfordWatford
CharltonCharlton
1505Elo Rating 1534
0.65Attack 0.97
0.95Defense 0.76
23%Hit Rate 0%
12.6Shots per Game 10.0
4.3Shots on Target 3.6
3.3Corners per Game 3.8
3.0Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WatfordWatford
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

WatfordWatford0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
CharltonCharlton1Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Championship06/04/2026
WatfordCharlton
11
Championship09/08/2025
CharltonWatford
10

Recent Form

WatfordWatford
1W2D7L
13/10/2026
CardiffWatford
51
L
10/10/2026
WatfordBurnley
04
L
18/09/2026
Bristol CityWatford
10
L
12/09/2026
WatfordStoke City
12
L
08/09/2026
WatfordPreston
21
W
05/09/2026
West BromWatford
10
L
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
L
29/08/2026
WatfordWest Ham
11
D
25/08/2026
WatfordPeterborough
15
L
22/08/2026
WrexhamWatford
11
D
CharltonCharlton
2W5D3L
13/10/2026
BurnleyCharlton
22
D
10/10/2026
CharltonBristol City
11
D
19/09/2026
CardiffCharlton
31
L
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
Stoke CityCharlton
40
L
02/09/2026
West BromCharlton
11
D
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
W
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
L
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Bramall183 matches

3.61Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Bramall3.61
Other referees3.79

3.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Watford vs Charlton forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Watford and Charlton in the Championship table

Charlton and Watford are close in the Championship table, 20th and 21st, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Watford 12-23, Charlton 11-21. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Watford and Charlton have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.