Birmingham vs Preston Prediction

Birmingham
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Preston
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham·Sam Allison 13/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Birmingham Rest
3 days
Preston Rest
3 days

Birmingham vs Preston: result, form and history

Birmingham beat Preston 4-0 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.47
X
18%4.50
2
13%6.45
Double Chance
1X
87%1.11
X2
31%2.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.83 = 2.66
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.73
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.05
Under 2.5
46%2.11
Under 3.5
66%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
70%1.26
Over 9.5
58%1.51
Over 10.5
47%1.83
Under 8.5
30%3.23
Under 9.5
42%2.40
Under 10.5
53%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%2.20
Over 4.5
34%3.04
Under 3.5
47%1.62
Under 4.5
66%1.34

Match Events

24'Liam Gibbs INDelano Burgzorg out
34'Liam MillarAssist: Patrick Roberts
45'Callum Lang INAndrew Moran out
45+2'August PriskeAssist: Alex Cochrane
45+4'August PriskeAssist: Jay Stansfield
47'Stanley MillsFoul
50'Liam MillarFoul
56'Stanley Mills
61'Jhon Elmer Solís Romero INMax Bird out
61'Liam Millar INDemarai Gray out
61'Alfie Devine INLewis Gibson out
75'Patrick Roberts INCarlos Vicente out
75'Tomoki Iwata INTaylor·Gardner Hickman out
76'Demarai GrayAssist: Max Bird
84'Jay Stansfield INMarvin Ducksch out

Lineups

Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
Preston
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Alexander
Avg rating7.34
Avg rating5.82
J. Beadle6.41J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel7.426B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann7.55P. Neumann
C. Klarer8.04C. Klarer
A. Cochrane8.420A. Cochrane
T. Iwata6.624T. Iwata
J. Solis6.714J. Solis
P. Roberts7.716P. Roberts
J. Stansfield7.428J. Stansfield
L. Millar8.117L. Millar
A. Priske8.89A. Priske
D. Iversen5.51D. Iversen
O. Offiah6.024O. Offiah
J. Storey6.414J. Storey
A. Hughes5.216A. Hughes
S. Mills5.017S. Mills
L. Leroy5.927L. Leroy
J. Thompson5.915J. Thompson
T. Small5.411T. Small
A. Devine6.17A. Devine
L. Gibbs5.820L. Gibbs
C. Lang6.510C. Lang

Birmingham Substitutes

21R. Allsop
18M. Bird61'for Jhon Elmer Solís Romero7.1
33M. Ducksch84'for Jay Stansfield6.5
23D. Fry
19T. Gardner-Hickman75'for Tomoki Iwata6.9
10D. Gray61'for Liam Millar76'7.6
2E. Laird
7Carlos Vicente75'for Patrick Roberts6.4
32L. Vázquez

Preston Substitutes

9J. Erabi
19L. Gibson61'for Alfie Devine5.7
30G. Gryba
6L. Lindsay
23A. Moran45'for Callum Lang5.8
21L. Nicholls
2Pol Valentín
3A. Vukčević
37D. Burgzorg24'for Liam Gibbs6.5

Match Stats

BirminghamPreston
76%Ball Possession24%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box0
9Blocked Shots2
9Fouls13
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
663Total Passes201
580Passes Accurate130
87%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

BirminghamBirmingham
PrestonPreston
1686Elo Rating 1492
1.91Attack 0.78
2.45Defense 0.59
59%Hit Rate 0%
12.7Shots per Game 12.5
4.9Shots on Target 2.1
3.9Corners per Game 3.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+194 Elo

Game State Tendencies

BirminghamBirmingham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PrestonPreston
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BirminghamBirmingham5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
PrestonPreston3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship22/04/2026
BirminghamPreston
21
Championship21/10/2025
PrestonBirmingham
01
Championship01/04/2024
BirminghamPreston
10
Championship19/09/2023
PrestonBirmingham
21
Championship21/01/2023
BirminghamPreston
12
Championship03/09/2022
PrestonBirmingham
01
Championship15/01/2022
PrestonBirmingham
11
Championship25/09/2021
BirminghamPreston
00
Championship20/01/2021
BirminghamPreston
01
Championship31/10/2020
PrestonBirmingham
12

Recent Form

PrestonPreston
1W1D8L
10/10/2026
PrestonMillwall
01
L
19/09/2026
QPRPreston
22
D
12/09/2026
PrestonLincoln
01
L
08/09/2026
WatfordPreston
21
L
05/09/2026
PrestonBlackburn
21
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
L
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
L
26/08/2026
PrestonEverton
04
L
22/08/2026
PrestonWolves
13
L
15/08/2026
BoltonPreston
21
L

Referee Profile

Sam Allison184 matches

3.79Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sam Allison3.79
Other referees3.78

3.79 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 174 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Birmingham vs Preston forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Birmingham and Preston in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Birmingham are 7th and Preston 24th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Birmingham 20-12, Preston 10-25. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.