Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec Prediction

Sparta Praha
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
FK Jablonec
epet ARENA, Prague 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Sparta Praha Rest
2 days
FK Jablonec Rest
3 days

Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec: the result in context

Sparta Praha beat FK Jablonec 2-0 in the Czech Liga on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sparta Praha have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.55
X
25%4.10
2
25%5.20
Double Chance
1X
75%1.14
X2
50%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.13 = 2.84
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.64
Over 3.5
33%2.63
Under 1.5
16%4.30
Under 2.5
40%2.17
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Penalty cancelledAdam Karabec
8'Martin SuchomelDissent
19'Josimar AlcocerAssist: Jonatan Braut Brunes
40'Nelson OkekeFoul
45'Matej Polidar INSaidou Alioum Moubarak out
45'Nelson Okeke INSebastian·Nebyla out
45'Lamin Jawo INAntonín Růsek out
56'John MercadoAssist: Adam Karabec
61'Josimar AlcocerFoul
62'Saidou Alioum MoubarakFoul
63'Hugo Sochurek INSantiago Eneme out
71'Richard Sedláček INDaniel Soucek out
72'Josimar Alcocer INEbrima Singhateh out
72'John Mercado INMatej Jurasek out
79'Martin Suchomel INPavel Kadeřábek out
79'Jonatan Braut Brunes INMatyáš Vojta out
79'Filip Zorvan INFilip Vecheta out

Lineups

Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Priske
FK Jablonec
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Kozel
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.23
J. Surovčík6.644J. Surovčík
M. Suchomel6.62M. Suchomel
L. Mbe Soh7.722L. Mbe Soh
T. Guddal7.86T. Guddal
M. Ryneš7.911M. Ryneš
R. Macek7.228R. Macek
H. Sochurek6.738H. Sochurek
J. Mercado8.217J. Mercado
A. Karabec7.710A. Karabec
J. Alcócer8.27J. Alcócer
J. Braut Brunes6.914J. Braut Brunes
J. Hanuš6.91J. Hanuš
M. Cedidla6.518M. Cedidla
N. Tekijaški7.14N. Tekijaški
D. Pavlović5.815D. Pavlović
J. Sláma5.620J. Sláma
R. Sedláček6.613R. Sedláček
N. Okeke5.96N. Okeke
V. Tchanturishvili6.07V. Tchanturishvili
F. Zorvan6.18F. Zorvan
M. Polidar5.921M. Polidar
L. Jawo6.444L. Jawo

Sparta Praha Substitutes

47K. Hegyi
18A. Irving
31M. Jurásek72'for John Mercado6.8
3P. Kadeřábek79'for Martin Suchomel7.0
27E. Singhateh72'for Josimar Alcocer6.7
15V. Vitályos
29M. Vojta79'for Jonatan Braut Brunes6.5
26P. Vydra
30J. Zelený
19A. Ševínský
5Santiago Eneme63'for Hugo Sochurek7.0

FK Jablonec Substitutes

27F. Vecheta79'for Filip Zorvan6.3
14D. Souček71'for Richard Sedláček6.0
23E. Sobol
9A. Růsek45'for Lamin Jawo6.3
57F. Novák
25S. Nebyla45'for Nelson Okeke6.2
33M. Kukučka
22Roman Horák
19J. Chramosta
17S. Alioum45'for Matej Polidar62'6.3
16H. Ahl

Match Stats

Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls15
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
512Total Passes317
461Passes Accurate247
90%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
FK JablonecFK Jablonec
1709Elo Rating 1651
1.29Attack 1.40
1.90Defense 1.65
23%Hit Rate 41%
17.8Shots per Game 15.3
6.2Shots on Target 5.7
3.9Corners per Game 5.5
3.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK JablonecFK Jablonec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
FK JablonecFK Jablonec1Wins · 10%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga03/05/2026
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
20
Czech Liga18/04/2026
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
31
Czech Liga19/07/2025
FK JablonecSparta Praha
11
Czech Liga04/05/2025
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
13
Czech Liga15/12/2024
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
21
Czech Liga17/08/2024
FK JablonecSparta Praha
12
Czech Liga09/12/2023
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
30
Czech Liga12/08/2023
FK JablonecSparta Praha
15
Czech Liga19/02/2023
Sparta PrahaFK Jablonec
30
Czech Liga30/08/2022
FK JablonecSparta Praha
11

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1394032:7+2531WDDWW
2Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1373322:15+724WDWLL
3Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1373322:15+724WDWDL
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1372425:13+1223DWDWW
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1272315:8+723WLLDW
6TepliceTeplice1363421:18+321WDLDW
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1362516:18-220LWLWD
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1362516:19-320LDWLL
9PlzenPlzen1354428:21+719WLWWL
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051245313:13017DDWWL
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1343612:18-615LLDLL
12PardubicePardubice1342715:19-414LWWLW
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava123277:22-1511LDLDL
14ArtisArtis1224613:22-910DDWDL
15SlováckoSlovácko1314812:26-147LLLWD
16ZlinZlin13031011:26-153DDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1332:731
2Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1322:1524
3Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1322:1524
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1325:1323
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1215:823
6TepliceTeplice1321:1821
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1316:1820
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1316:1920
9PlzenPlzen1328:2119
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051213:1317
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1312:1815
12PardubicePardubice1315:1914
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava127:2211
14ArtisArtis1213:2210
15SlováckoSlovácko1312:267
16ZlinZlin1311:263
Relegation

About the Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec forecast

The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec in the Czech Liga table

In the Czech Liga table, Sparta Praha are 4th and FK Jablonec 7th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 25-13, FK Jablonec 16-18. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.