Sporting Kansas City vs Austin Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 31
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+1.4%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
7 days
Austin Rest
7 days
Sporting Kansas City vs Austin: result, form and history
Austin beat Sporting Kansas City 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Austin have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.20
X25%3.85
234%2.90
Double Chance
1X66%1.36
X259%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.40
No35%2.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.5 = 3.06
Over 1.584%1.14
Over 2.564%1.46
Over 3.544%2.14
Under 1.516%5.62
Under 2.536%2.64
Under 3.556%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.9 = 10.3
Over 8.568%1.47
Over 9.556%1.80
Over 10.545%2.23
Under 8.532%2.55
Under 9.544%2.00
Under 10.555%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.552%1.67
Over 4.532%2.44
Under 3.548%2.10
Under 4.568%1.51
Match Events
21'Kwaku AgyabengFoul
32'Ervin Torres INBesard Sabovic out
37'Mikkel DeslerFoul
37'Jacob DavisFoul
45'Osvaldo Pedro Capemba INCalvin Harris out
46'Stephen AfrifaFoul
51'Ilie SánchezFoul
52'Zorhan BassongFoul
55'Stephen AfrifaAssist: André Luiz
64'Myrto Uzuni
68'Taylor Calheira INRuben Ramos Jr out
71'Mikkel Desler INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
74'Zorhan Bassong INJacob Bartlett out
74'André Luiz INOwen Wolff out
76'Brandon Vazquez INChristian Ramirez out
86'Myrto Uzuni
90'Kwaku Agyabeng INShapi Suleymanov out
90+5'Owen WolffFoul
Lineups
Sporting Kansas CityAustin
3-4-3Coach: D. ArnaudAvg ratingAvg rating
30S. Cleveland
8J. Davis
15J. Miller
28W. Meyer
18E. Karić
11A. Luiz
20K. Agyabeng
22Z. Bassong
7Capita
19T. Calheira
17S. Afrifa
12D. Las
3M. Desler
6I. Sánchez
29G. Biro
30J. Rosales
38E. Torres
24J. Alastuey
17J. Gallagher
10M. Uzuni
9B. Vázquez
11F. TorresSporting Kansas City Substitutes
93M. Suleymanov90'for Kwaku Agyabeng
99J. Reid
24R. Ramos68'for Taylor Calheira
1J. Pulskamp
2I. James
23E. Bartlow
33O. Wolff74'for André Luiz90+5'
14C. Harris45'for Osvaldo Pedro Capemba
16J. Bartlett74'for Zorhan Bassong
Austin Substitutes
21C. Ramirez76'for Brandon Vazquez
4B. Hines-Ike
14B. Šabović32'for Ervin Torres
1B. Stuver
5O. Svatok
77P. Płacheta71'for Mikkel Desler
32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
Match Stats
Sporting Kansas CityAustin 44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal8
11Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls11
5Goalkeeper Saves3
389Total Passes494
337Passes Accurate431
10Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityAustin1438Elo Rating 1542
1.30Attack 1.19
0.36Defense 0.50
14%Hit Rate 0%
11.6Shots per Game 11.1
4.4Shots on Target 4.7
5.4Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 0.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Kansas City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Austin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Kansas City3Wins · 30%Draws00%
Austin7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
17/05/2026AustinSporting Kansas City12
08/09/2025Sporting Kansas CityAustin12
23/02/2025AustinSporting Kansas City10
30/06/2024Sporting Kansas CityAustin20
19/05/2024AustinSporting Kansas City32
16/07/2023AustinSporting Kansas City21
11/06/2023Sporting Kansas CityAustin41
14/08/2022AustinSporting Kansas City43
31/07/2022Sporting Kansas CityAustin02
04/11/2021AustinSporting Kansas City31
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City2W1D7L
18/10/2026Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Nashville SCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Philadelphia UnionSporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
FC DallasSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake13
L15/10/2026Nashville SCSporting Kansas City40
L11/10/2026Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers33
D02/10/2026Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City21
L27/09/2026Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City02
W20/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityPhiladelphia Union34
L13/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC31
W06/09/2026FC DallasSporting Kansas City43
L30/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
LAustin2W4D4L
18/10/2026AustinVancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCAustinAustinNashville SCAustin
San DiegoFC DallasAustinVancouver WhitecapsAustinAustin
Colorado RapidsAustin
San Jose EarthquakesPortland TimbersAustin
AustinVancouver Whitecaps12
L15/10/2026Los Angeles FCAustin31
L11/10/2026AustinNashville SC14
L27/09/2026AustinSan Diego33
D20/09/2026FC DallasAustin00
D14/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsAustin12
W10/09/2026AustinColorado Rapids11
D06/09/2026AustinSan Jose Earthquakes11
D30/08/2026Portland TimbersAustin12
W27/08/2026
TolucaAustin
TolucaAustin20
LReferee Profile
3.92Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.92 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).
Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the Sporting Kansas City vs Austin forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sporting Kansas City and Austin in the Major League Soccer table
Austin and Sporting Kansas City are close in the Major League Soccer table, 14th and 15th, with 12 points between them. League goal record so far: Sporting Kansas City 38-80, Austin 41-59. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.