Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 31
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Atlanta United FC Rest
7 days
Chicago Fire Rest
7 days
Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: the result in context
Chicago Fire beat Atlanta United FC 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%2.63
X26%3.87
238%2.38
Double Chance
1X62%1.53
X264%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.40
No36%2.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.29 = 2.73
Over 1.583%1.11
Over 2.563%1.42
Over 3.541%2.10
Under 1.517%6.00
Under 2.537%2.75
Under 3.559%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.8 = 10
Over 8.565%1.45
Over 9.553%1.83
Over 10.542%2.29
Under 8.535%2.55
Under 9.547%1.87
Under 10.558%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.51
Over 4.549%2.00
Under 3.533%2.47
Under 4.551%1.73
Match Events
4'Tomás JacobAssist: Miguel Almirón
30'Anton Saletros
38'Djé D'AvillaFoul
46'Djé D'Avilla INAnzor Mekvabishvili out
51'Anzor Mekvabishvili
59'Lucas Hoyos
60'Philip ZinckernagelAssist: Anton Saletros
61'Ajani Fortune INFafà Picault out
62'Aleksey Miranchuk INTristan Muyumba out
67'Breel EmboloAssist: Elías Báez
69'Robert Lewandowski INJohan Arath Gomez out
69'Noah Allen INPuso Dithejane out
69'Philip Zinckernagel INAndrew Gutman out
74'Paulo Díaz
79'Anzor Mekvabishvili
80'Paulo Díaz INMatthew Edwards out
81'Mbekezeli Mbokazi
84'Johan Arath Gomez
84'Junior Alonso
87'Giuliano Galoppo INLuke Brennan out
90+1'Jonathan Bamba INLeonardo Barroso out
Lineups
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
4-3-3Coach: G. BerhalterAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Hoyos
55T. Jacob
27P. Díaz
6J. Alonso
3E. Báez
35A. Fortune
14M. Amaro
11G. Galoppo
59A. Miranchuk
36B. Embolo
10M. Almirón
1C. Brady
24J. Dean
21A. Hanche-Olsen
4M. Mbokazi
32N. Allen
6A. Salétros
42T. D'Avilla
7M. Haile-Selassie
11P. Zinckernagel
9R. Lewandowski
19J. BambaAtlanta United FC Substitutes
8T. Muyumba62'for Aleksey Miranchuk
7S. Alzate
20L. Brennan87'for Giuliano Galoppo
47Matthew Edwards80'for Paulo Díaz
42Jayden Hibbert
4E. Mihaj
22F. Picault61'for Ajani Fortune
48C. Sanchez
19Sergio Santos
Chicago Fire Substitutes
29D. Poręba
22M. Pineda
35S. Oregel
23A. Mekvabishvili46'for Djé D'Avilla51'79'
18J. Gómez69'for Robert Lewandowski84'
12P. Dithejane69'for Noah Allen
44J. Cohen
15A. Gutman69'for Philip Zinckernagel
2Leonardo Barroso90+1'for Jonathan Bamba
Match Stats
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire 39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box10
0Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots3
8Fouls14
5Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total Passes484
332Passes Accurate388
13Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire1520Elo Rating 1643
1.62Attack 1.26
1.28Defense 1.68
37%Hit Rate 50%
15.5Shots per Game 15.9
4.6Shots on Target 5.6
4.8Corners per Game 5.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atlanta United FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chicago Fire- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atlanta United FC3Wins · 30%Draws440%
Chicago Fire3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026Chicago FireAtlanta United FC10
17/07/2025Atlanta United FCChicago Fire22
10/05/2025Chicago FireAtlanta United FC21
28/04/2024Chicago FireAtlanta United FC00
31/03/2024Atlanta United FCChicago Fire30
21/05/2023Chicago FireAtlanta United FC33
23/04/2023Atlanta United FCChicago Fire21
30/07/2022Chicago FireAtlanta United FC00
08/05/2022Atlanta United FCChicago Fire41
04/07/2021Chicago FireAtlanta United FC30
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC3W3D4L
18/10/2026Atlanta United FC
Inter Miami
CF MontrealAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
New York City FC
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC
DC UnitedAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Orlando City SCInter MiamiAtlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Atlanta United FCInter Miami13
L15/10/2026CF MontrealAtlanta United FC03
W11/10/2026Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati13
L27/09/2026Atlanta United FCNew York City FC22
D20/09/2026Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC01
W13/09/2026DC UnitedAtlanta United FC00
D10/09/2026Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC23
L06/09/2026Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC22
D30/08/2026Atlanta United FCCharlotte02
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
WChicago Fire3W3D4L
18/10/2026
New England RevolutionChicago FireChicago Fire
Philadelphia UnionChicago FireNew York City FCChicago Fire
Vancouver WhitecapsCharlotteChicago Fire
Nashville SCChicago FireChicago FireNew England RevolutionChicago FireInter Miami
Toronto FCChicago Fire
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
New England RevolutionChicago Fire10
L15/10/2026Chicago FirePhiladelphia Union13
L10/10/2026Chicago FireNew York City FC21
W07/10/2026Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps31
W27/09/2026CharlotteChicago Fire01
W20/09/2026Nashville SCChicago Fire30
L13/09/2026Chicago FireNew England Revolution12
L10/09/2026Chicago FireInter Miami11
D06/09/2026Toronto FCChicago Fire44
D29/08/2026Seattle SoundersChicago Fire22
DReferee Profile
4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.77 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).
Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- FC Cincinnati vs DC United 22/10/26
- CF Montreal vs Nashville SC 24/10/26
- Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC 24/10/26
- New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami 24/10/26
- Orlando City SC vs New York City FC 25/10/26
- DC United vs FC Cincinnati 25/10/26
- Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution 25/10/26
- Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC 25/10/26
About the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: Chicago Fire are 4th in the Major League Soccer, while Atlanta United FC sit 14th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Atlanta United FC 40-56, Chicago Fire 57-48. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.