St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo Prediction

St. Truiden
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
KVC Westerlo
Stayen, Saint Redon·Massimiliano Ledda 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-10.0%
St. Truiden Rest
8 days
KVC Westerlo Rest
7 days

St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo: result, form and history

KVC Westerlo beat St. Truiden 2-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

St. Truiden have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Referee Massimiliano Ledda averages 5.02 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.66
X
24%4.02
2
22%4.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
46%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.45
No
37%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.32 = 3.10
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
64%1.40
Over 3.5
43%2.06
Under 1.5
16%6.00
Under 2.5
36%2.75
Under 3.5
57%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.32
Over 9.5
54%1.58
Over 10.5
44%2.00
Under 8.5
34%2.97
Under 9.5
46%2.23
Under 10.5
56%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%1.62
Over 4.5
28%2.25
Under 3.5
53%2.20
Under 4.5
72%1.60

Match Events

36'Norman BassetteAssist: Cisse Sandra
46'Cisse SandraAssist: Isa Sakamoto
60'Ryotaro Araki INNathanael Mbuku out
71'Shunsuke Saito INNikola Storm out
71'Isa Sakamoto INPape Daouda Diong out
73'Norman BassetteArgument
73'Visar MusliuArgument
75'Kaito Matsuzawa INOumar Diouf out
75'Abdoulaye Sissako INNelson Ishiwatari out
75'Taiga Hata INJoedrick Pupe out
78'Norman Bassette INDavid Amegnaglo out
78'Cameron Congreve INNaoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni out

Lineups

St. Truiden
4-2-3-1Coach: F. De Meyer
KVC Westerlo
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Charaï
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating7.22
L. Kokubo7.616L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael6.060R. Vanwesemael
S. Taniguchi6.45S. Taniguchi
V. Musliu6.326V. Musliu
T. Hata6.23T. Hata
R. Merlen6.414R. Merlen
A. Sissako6.78A. Sissako
K. Matsuzawa5.638K. Matsuzawa
R. Araki6.571R. Araki
I. Sebaoui7.110I. Sebaoui
S. Baždar6.49S. Baždar
A. Jungdal6.799A. Jungdal
L. Flø7.32L. Flø
S. Kimura7.55S. Kimura
A. Lapage7.44A. Lapage
D. Ourega7.228D. Ourega
I. Fofana7.145I. Fofana
C. Sandra9.014C. Sandra
C. Congreve7.120C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto7.713I. Sakamoto
S. Saito7.27S. Saito
N. Bassette7.69N. Bassette

St. Truiden Substitutes

21M. Lendfers
11N. Mbuku60'for Ryotaro Araki6.5
23J. Pupe75'for Taiga Hata6.2
99S. Shinkawa
4K. Takai
18N. Ishiwatari75'for Abdoulaye Sissako6.1
33A. Diriken
77O. Diouf75'for Kaito Matsuzawa6.1
22W. Janssens

KVC Westerlo Substitutes

17D. Amegnaglo78'for Norman Bassette6.6
40B. Balogh
11N. Bohamdi-Kamoni78'for Cameron Congreve6.4
26D. Diongu71'for Isa Sakamoto7.1
1B. Lathouwers
23L. Mbamba-Muanda
10N. Storm71'for Shunsuke Saito6.6
8S. Sydorchuk
39T. Van den Keybus

Match Stats

St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal8
11Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total Passes453
392Passes Accurate380
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
1675Elo Rating 1653
2.07Attack 3.41
1.83Defense 1.45
69%Hit Rate 73%
18.1Shots per Game 14.7
5.8Shots on Target 6.6
6.3Corners per Game 2.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

St. TruidenSt. Truiden6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League06/02/2026
KVC WesterloSt. Truiden
04
Jupiler Pro League14/09/2025
St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
03
Jupiler Pro League11/01/2025
KVC WesterloSt. Truiden
12
Jupiler Pro League26/10/2024
St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
20
Jupiler Pro League03/05/2024
KVC WesterloSt. Truiden
22
Jupiler Pro League31/03/2024
St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
20
Jupiler Pro League24/02/2024
St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
10
Jupiler Pro League10/11/2023
KVC WesterloSt. Truiden
33
Jupiler Pro League19/02/2023
St. TruidenKVC Westerlo
01
Jupiler Pro League29/10/2022
KVC WesterloSt. Truiden
23

Recent Form

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
SK BeverenSt. Truiden
20
L
05/09/2026
St. TruidenRAAL La Louvière
40
W
02/09/2026
St. TruidenUnion St. Gilloise
03
L
30/08/2026
AntwerpSt. Truiden
14
W
27/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaSt. Truiden
42
L
20/08/2026
St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
10
W
14/08/2026
Cercle BruggeSt. Truiden
33
D
08/08/2026
St. TruidenLommel United
11
D
02/08/2026
AEK Athens FCSt. Truiden
30
L
01/08/2026
Helmond SportSt. Truiden
10
L
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
2W3D5L
12/09/2026
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
42
W
05/09/2026
KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
04
W
30/08/2026
KVC WesterloZulte Waregem
22
D
23/08/2026
Lommel UnitedKVC Westerlo
40
L
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
L
08/08/2026
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
15
L
01/08/2026
KVC WesterloSamsunspor
12
L
29/07/2026
KVC WesterloKifisia
11
D
25/07/2026
DunkerqueKVC Westerlo
31
L
22/07/2026
KVC WesterloAl-Fayha
00
D

Referee Profile

Massimiliano Ledda62 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Massimiliano Ledda5.02
Other referees4.52

5.02 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, KVC Westerlo are 7th and St. Truiden 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Truiden 17-19, KVC Westerlo 24-21. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

St. Truiden have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. KVC Westerlo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.