Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
Broadhall Way, Stevenage 24/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Stevenage Rest
3 days
Milton Keynes Dons Rest
3 days
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: the result in context
Milton Keynes Dons beat Stevenage 1-0 in the League One on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.98
X28%3.35
226%3.77
Double Chance
1X74%1.25
X254%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.84
No48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.12 = 2.59
Over 1.572%1.33
Over 2.548%2.04
Over 3.528%3.45
Under 1.528%3.05
Under 2.552%1.73
Under 3.572%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.565%1.65
Over 9.553%2.10
Over 10.542%2.82
Under 8.535%2.11
Under 9.547%1.67
Under 10.558%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.560%-
Over 4.540%-
Under 3.540%-
Under 4.560%-
Match Events
7'Alex GilbeyFoul
9'Josh MagennisArgument
25'Aaron Collins
35'Carl PiergianniFoul
44'Jack SandersFoul
62'Luther Wildin INKaelan Casey out
63'Ben Broggio INO. Sanderson out
81'Sam NombeAssist: Aaron Collins
82'Dan Crowley INBen Wiles out
82'Sam Nombe INCallum Paterson out
84'Daniel Phillips INTerry·Taylor out
85'Michael Mellon INPhoenix Patterson out
90'Daniel Kemp INChem Campbell out
90+4'Samuel Silvera INGethin Jones out
90+4'Aaron Collins INibrahim fullah out
Lineups
StevenageMilton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2Coach: P. WarneAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Setford
2L. James-Wildin
15T. Vancooten
5C. Piergianni
14S. Earley
10D. Kemp
23L. Thompson
8D. Phillips
27B. Broggio
28M. Mellon
9J. Magennis
23W. Dennis
21M. Ekpiteta
5C. Goode
32J. Sanders
24R. Wintle
17S. Silvera
7D. Crowley
8A. Gilbey
20E. Xavier Campbell
9S. Nombe
10A. CollinsStevenage Substitutes
19T. Turhan
7T. Taylor84'for Daniel Phillips
18O. Sanderson63'for Ben Broggio
44P. Patterson85'for Michael Mellon
16K. Casey62'for Luther Wildin
20C. Campbell90'for Daniel Kemp
12D. Barden
Milton Keynes Dons Substitutes
26B. Wiles82'for Dan Crowley
13C. Paterson82'for Sam Nombe
2G. Jones90+4'for Samuel Silvera
22I. Fullah90+4'for Aaron Collins
15C. Bramall
4D. Barlaser
51S. Stacey
Match Stats
StevenageMilton Keynes Dons 60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls13
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
323Total Passes221
224Passes Accurate117
12Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
StevenageMilton Keynes Dons1608Elo Rating 1610
1.13Attack 1.78
2.20Defense 1.47
54%Hit Rate 66%
12.7Shots per Game 14.4
3.9Shots on Target 3.8
4.7Corners per Game 5.8
1.0Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Stevenage- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Milton Keynes Dons- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Stevenage0Wins · 0%Draws2100%
Milton Keynes Dons0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
16/11/2021StevenageMilton Keynes Dons2111
06/11/2021Milton Keynes DonsStevenage22
Recent Form
Stevenage6W2D2L
20/10/2026Stevenage
Plymouth
BradfordStevenageStevenage
Wigan
Leyton OrientStevenageStevenage
Luton
StevenagePlymouth30
W17/10/2026BradfordStevenage20
L10/10/2026StevenageWigan10
W06/10/2026Stevenage
Leicester
StevenageLeicester21
W22/09/2026
WalsallStevenage
19/09/2026WalsallStevenage16
WLeyton OrientStevenage10
L10/09/2026StevenageLuton21
W05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
BarnsleyStevenage15
W01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
PeterboroughStevenage00
D29/08/2026Stevenage
Doncaster
StevenageDoncaster22
DMilton Keynes Dons3W4D3L
20/10/2026
BlackpoolMilton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes DonsLuton
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
BlackpoolMilton Keynes Dons20
L17/10/2026Milton Keynes DonsLuton21
W10/10/2026Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
Milton Keynes DonsReading15
L06/10/2026Milton Keynes Dons
Brentford U21
Milton Keynes DonsBrentford U2171
W22/09/2026Milton Keynes Dons
Crawley Town
17/09/2026Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town41
WAFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons00
D12/09/2026Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough
Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough11
D05/09/2026
WycombeMilton Keynes Dons
WycombeMilton Keynes Dons33
D02/09/2026WiganMilton Keynes Dons
WiganMilton Keynes Dons31
L29/08/2026Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester00
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27:11 | +16 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:13 | +11 | 23 | LDWWW |
| 3 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 23 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:13 | +12 | 22 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Oxford United | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | +9 | 22 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 7 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Luton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 20 | WWWLW |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 19 | DLLWD |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Leicester | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 13 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | +4 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 15 | Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 16 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:19 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Doncaster | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | LWLLW |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 |  Bromley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 24 | Wigan | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 13 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | 24:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 14 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 4 | Reading | 13 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Oxford United | 11 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Bradford | 13 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 14 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Luton | 12 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Leicester | 12 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Burton Albion | 13 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 11 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 15 | Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 16:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Wycombe | 12 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 8:19 | 13 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 12 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 12 | 11:30 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 12 | 8:20 | 7 |
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About the Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons forecast
The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons in the League One table
In the League One table, Stevenage (14th) and Milton Keynes Dons (15th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: Stevenage 15-11, Milton Keynes Dons 16-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.