Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Prediction

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels·Wesli De Cremer, Belgium 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
3 days
Cercle Brugge Rest
8 days

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: the result in context

Union St. Gilloise beat Cercle Brugge 5-2 in the Jupiler Pro League on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union St. Gilloise had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cercle Brugge.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.30
X
16%5.50
2
10%8.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.07
X2
26%3.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.84 = 2.94
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.45
Over 3.5
41%2.20
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
38%2.60
Under 3.5
59%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.4 + 3.2 = 10.6
Over 8.5
70%1.36
Over 9.5
59%1.66
Over 10.5
48%2.10
Under 8.5
30%2.74
Under 9.5
41%2.08
Under 10.5
52%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.5 = 3.7
Over 3.5
52%1.78
Over 4.5
32%2.55
Under 3.5
48%1.98
Under 4.5
68%1.47

Match Events

24'S. Ngoura(Penalty)
40'N. ChibaniFoul
46'N. Chibani IND. De Roeve out
48'M. SyllaOG
49'R. FloruczAssist: D. De Roeve
57'V. KonateUnsportsmanlike conduct
62'M. SyllaAssist: N. Havenaar
63'T. Akinsola INErick Nunes out
64'D. VanzeirSerious foul
66'D. Aquino INK. Rodriguez out
71'I. Diakite INT. Adaramola out
71'A. Manneh INL. Mondele out
74'E. KakouOG
76'H. van der BruggenFoul
80'R. MofokengAssist: L. Patris
81'R. Florucz INA. Zorgane out
85'L. Le Roux INK. Kouassi out
85'V. Konate ING. Magnee out
89'L. Patris INR. Sykes out
89'K. Van De Perre INI. Pavlic out
90'K. RodriguezAssist: R. Mofokeng
90+2'S. NgouraUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'Goal Disallowed - offsideN. Havenaar

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2
Cercle Brugge
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.52
Hervé Koffi6.512H. Koffi
Nohim Chibani6.04N. Chibani
Massire Sylla8.029M. Sylla
Nikki Havenaar7.055N. Havenaar
Kamiel Van de PerreC7.36K. Van de Perre
Louis Patris7.327L. Patris
Besfort Zeneli7.523B. Zeneli
Dylan Aquino6.920D. Aquino
Guilherme Smith7.211G. Smith
Raul Florucz7.230R. Florucz
Relebohile Mofokeng7.638R. Mofokeng
Gaëtan Coucke7.91G. Coucke
Ibrahim Diakité6.22I. Diakité
Emmanuel Kakou5.25E. Kakou
Royer Caicedo7.533R. Caicedo
Valy Konaté5.912V. Konaté
Luke Le Roux6.918L. Le Roux
Hannes Van Der BruggenC6.628H. Van Der Bruggen
Tunde Akinsola6.530T. Akinsola
Abdoulie Manneh6.920A. Manneh
Dante Vanzeir6.313D. Vanzeir
Steve Ngoura6.99S. Ngoura

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

21Denzel De Roeve46'for N. Chibani7.0
1Vic Chambaere
26Ross Sykes89'for L. Patris
14Ivan Pavlić89'for K. Van De Perre
8Adem Zorgane81'for R. Florucz
28Darius Olaru
13Kevin Rodriguez66'for D. Aquino90'6.6
32Sekou Keita
10Anouar Ait El Hadj

Cercle Brugge Substitutes

21Yann Lienard
82Louis Colman
15Gary Magnee85'for V. Konate
8Erick Nunes63'for T. Akinsola6.3
42Lukas Mondele71'for A. Manneh6.2
71Viggo Martens
45Tayo Adaramola71'for I. Diakite6.0
22Lucas Michal
41Krys Kouassi85'for L. Le Roux

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
66%Ball Possession34%
13Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
23Total Shots5
12Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
9Fouls15
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
510Total Passes263
419Passes Accurate174
82%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
1881Elo Rating 1530
2.41Attack 1.32
2.64Defense 1.10
64%Hit Rate 27%
21.9Shots per Game 10.6
8.9Shots on Target 4.7
5.6Corners per Game 6.1
1.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+351 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League26/12/2025
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
11
Jupiler Pro League22/11/2025
Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
20
Jupiler Pro League08/12/2024
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
00
Jupiler Pro League27/10/2024
Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
13
Jupiler Pro League19/05/2024
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
12
Jupiler Pro League07/04/2024
Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
23
Jupiler Pro League03/12/2023
Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
21
Jupiler Pro League24/09/2023
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
02
Jupiler Pro League18/01/2023
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
11
Jupiler Pro League09/10/2022
Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
21

Recent Form

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
1W4D5L
16/10/2026
Sporting HasseltCercle Brugge
12
W
10/10/2026
Cercle BruggeAnderlecht
12
L
19/09/2026
CharleroiCercle Brugge
32
L
12/09/2026
OH LeuvenCercle Brugge
11
D
06/09/2026
Cercle BruggeGent
03
L
29/08/2026
Cercle BruggeLommel United
01
L
23/08/2026
Club Brugge KVCercle Brugge
10
L
14/08/2026
Cercle BruggeSt. Truiden
33
D
08/08/2026
Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
22
D
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D

Referee Profile

Wesli De Cremer129 matches

4.15Cards per match
3.92Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wesli De Cremer4.15
Other referees4.22

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Union St. Gilloise are 3rd in the Jupiler Pro League, while Cercle Brugge sit 18th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 27-6, Cercle Brugge 11-21. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.