Vaprus vs Nõmme United Prediction

Vaprus
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Nõmme United
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu·J. Jakobson 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseHighGap+0.8%
Vaprus Rest
2 days
Nõmme United Rest
2 days

Vaprus vs Nõmme United: result, form and history

Vaprus beat Nõmme United 1-0 in the Meistriliiga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.25
X
24%3.50
2
25%2.72
Double Chance
1X
75%1.38
X2
49%1.53
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'I. Krasnov INO. Dacosta out
51'T. Pajo
59'K. Matas
64'M. Villota
68'A. Alteberg INH. Jarvelaid out
68'K. Oostenbrink INN. Vassiljev out
74'S. Viidas INV. Vallik out
78'K. Aloe
81'S. Kapper INJ. Poder out
81'M. Villota INR. Orm out
82'M. Limberg
87'T. Pajo INU. Nomm out
90'B. Chisala INK. Laanelaid out
90+3'J. Poder
90+4'H. Jarvelaid

Team Comparison

VaprusVaprus
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
1485Elo Rating 1535
1.54Attack 1.91
0.32Defense 0.99
0%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

VaprusVaprus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

VaprusVaprus3Wins · 43%
Draws00%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United4Wins · 57%
4.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Cup02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
Meistriliiga02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
Meistriliiga14/03/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
71
Meistriliiga19/10/2024
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
02
Meistriliiga13/07/2024
VaprusNõmme United
20
Meistriliiga31/05/2024
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
21
Meistriliiga26/04/2024
VaprusNõmme United
21

Recent Form

VaprusVaprus
3W2D5L
02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
L
29/08/2026
KuressaareVaprus
22
D
23/08/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
16/08/2026
Kalju NommeVaprus
31
L
12/08/2026
PhoenixVaprus
05
W
02/08/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
11
D
21/07/2026
Tabasalu UlasabatVaprus
14
W
18/07/2026
Trans NarvaVaprus
31
L
11/07/2026
VaprusTammeka
51
W
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
L
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
5W0D5L
02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
W
29/08/2026
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
12
L
23/08/2026
PaideNõmme United
41
L
19/08/2026
HiiumaaNõmme United
02
W
14/08/2026
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
01
L
09/08/2026
FC Levadia TallinnNõmme United
50
L
31/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedTrans Narva
12
L
23/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedRaplamaa
120
W
17/07/2026
Flora TallinnNõmme United
12
W
11/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
32
W

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn34276191:24+6787WWWWW
2PaidePaide341861053:41+1260LWWWL
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn341911464:49+1558LLWLL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme341761158:34+2457WWLDL
5TammekaTammeka341621648:54-650LWLLW
6LaagriLaagri341521749:50-147LWWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United341212155:76-2137WWWLL
8VaprusVaprus341071746:68-2237DLLDD
9KuressaareKuressaare341061835:53-1836DLLWW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva34552426:76-5020LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3491:2487
2PaidePaide3453:4160
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3464:4958
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3458:3457
5TammekaTammeka3448:5450
6LaagriLaagri3449:5047
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3455:7637
8VaprusVaprus3446:6837
9KuressaareKuressaare3435:5336
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3426:7620
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Vaprus vs Nõmme United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vaprus and Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga table

In the Meistriliiga table, Vaprus (8th) and Nõmme United (7th) are level on 37 points. League goal record so far: Vaprus 46-68, Nõmme United 55-76. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.