York United vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction

Canadian Premier LeagueCanada Canada · Group Stage
York United
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Atlético Ottawa
York Lions Stadium, Toronto 25/10/2026
York UnitedYork United
2-1
Finished
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
York United Rest
8 days
Atlético Ottawa Rest
8 days

York United vs Atlético Ottawa: the result in context

York United beat Atlético Ottawa 2-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Atlético Ottawa had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York United.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.92
X
25%4.03
2
45%1.93
Double Chance
1X
55%1.74
X2
70%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.25
No
31%3.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.66 = 3.03
Over 1.5
86%1.05
Over 2.5
69%1.25
Over 3.5
49%1.70
Under 1.5
14%7.90
Under 2.5
31%3.42
Under 3.5
51%2.02
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

36'Jorge Ariel Almagro AlbánAssist: Beni Badibanga
45'Beni Badibanga INKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke out
45'Jonatan Villal INRalph Khoury out
67'Reinaldo Abraham INJean-Aniel Assi out
67'Juan Castro INRony Mbomio out
71'Nicolas Andrada INDavid Peraza out
74'Tim ArnaudFoul
80'Card upgrade cancelledTyr Walker
81'Tim Arnaud INWesley Thomas Lanca Timoteo out
90'Julian AltobelliAssist: Ollie Bassett
90+1'Julian Altobelli INJason Brown out
90+1'G. Antinoro INSergei Kozlovskiy out
90+4'Jason BrownFoul
90+4'Penalty confirmedNicolas Fleuriau Chateau
90+7'Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau(Penalty)

Lineups

York United
4-3-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Atlético Ottawa
4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo Leal
Avg rating7.34
Avg rating6.37
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio6.917C. Ralston Kai Antonio
N. Andrada7.137N. Andrada
L. Singh8.03L. Singh
O. León8.04O. León
K. Kibato6.921K. Kibato
L. Accettola7.213L. Accettola
S. Yeates6.77S. Yeates
O. Bassett7.710O. Bassett
J. Almagro7.811J. Almagro
J. Altobelli8.118J. Altobelli
B. Badibanga7.039B. Badibanga
C. Kalongo5.931C. Kalongo
T. Arnaud6.537T. Arnaud
J. Dunn-Johnson6.73J. Dunn-Johnson
T. Walker7.04T. Walker
Joaquim Coulanges6.720J. Coulanges
M. Aparicio6.010M. Aparicio
J. Castro6.32J. Castro
R. Abraham6.477R. Abraham
J. Villal6.08J. Villal
G. Antinoro6.311G. Antinoro
N. Fleuriau Chateau6.221N. Fleuriau Chateau

York United Substitutes

48Jason Brown90+1'replaced by Julian Altobelli90+4'
36K. Clarke45'for Beni Badibanga7.2
19Shola Jimoh
6R. López
35C. Onyeocha
12I. Pavela
38David Peraza71'for Nicolas Andrada7.0

Atlético Ottawa Substitutes

18Rony Mbomio67'for Juan Castro6.1
27W. Timóteo81'for Tim Arnaud6.1
84Sergei Kozlovskiy90+1'for G. Antinoro
19R. Khoury45'for Jonatan Villal6.8
1T. Crampton
28Loïc Cloutier
14J. Assi67'for Reinaldo Abraham6.6

Match Stats

York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots0
10Fouls14
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
486Total Passes510
422Passes Accurate438
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

York UnitedYork United
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
1399Elo Rating 1519
1.11Attack 1.48
0.00Defense 1.79
17%Hit Rate 59%
11.5Shots per Game 8.0
3.2Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 5.7
2.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

York UnitedYork United1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
Canadian Premier League18/07/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
11
Canadian Premier League02/05/2026
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
41
Canadian Premier League14/09/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
22
Canadian Premier League03/08/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
00
Canadian Championship09/07/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
34
Canadian Premier League22/06/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
00
Canadian Championship12/06/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
Canadian Premier League19/04/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
32
Canadian Premier League27/10/2024
Atlético OttawaYork United
5141

Recent Form

York UnitedYork United
2W3D5L
17/10/2026
Supra du QuebecYork United
30
L12/10/2026
ForgeYork United
50
L
07/10/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
12
L
03/10/2026
York UnitedCavalry FC
31
W27/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
34
L
24/09/2026
Vancouver FCYork United
33
D
20/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
41
L13/09/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
31
W10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
D
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
5W1D4L
17/10/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
12
L12/10/2026
Pacific FCAtlético Ottawa
02
W01/10/2026
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
32
W26/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
01
W
20/09/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
02
L
13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
L
05/09/2026
Atlético OttawaPacific FC
00
D29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
W22/08/2026
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
31
L20/08/2026
Atlético OttawaVancouver FC
40
W

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

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About the York United vs Atlético Ottawa forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York United and Atlético Ottawa in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd and York United 6th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: York United 42-65, Atlético Ottawa 42-45. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.