Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: result, form and history
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 10 Oct 2026. Ajax had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for NEC Nijmegen.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 4.8 for Ajax.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Ajax
Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. ter Stegen
2L. Rosa
6T. Kehrer
15Y. Baas
5O. Wijndal
24J. Mokio
4S. Amrabat
8J. Brandt
11V. Tsygankov
99T. Arokodare
10O. Gloukh
1G. Crettaz
73G. Brás
4P. Schuurs
24D. Fonville
21T. Storm
6D. Nejašmić
20N. Lebreton
34K. Kers
9T. Chery
10D. Tadić
30B. LinssenAjax Substitutes
NEC Nijmegen Substitutes
Match Stats
AjaxNEC Nijmegen Team Comparison
AjaxNEC NijmegenAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Ajax- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
NEC Nijmegen- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Ajax5Wins · 50%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
21/02/2026AjaxNEC Nijmegen20/12/2025NEC NijmegenAjax11/05/2025AjaxNEC Nijmegen01/12/2024NEC NijmegenAjax18/02/2024AjaxNEC Nijmegen03/12/2023NEC NijmegenAjax05/03/2023AjaxNEC Nijmegen08/01/2023NEC NijmegenAjax23/04/2022NEC NijmegenAjax14/08/2021AjaxNEC NijmegenRecent Form
Ajax
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
JuventusNEC Nijmegen
CambuurNEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
ExcelsiorNEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Bodo/GlimtNEC NijmegenNEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt
Willem IINEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos PiraeusReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.98 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).
Cards come from 258 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | +21 | 25 | DDWWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | +22 | 23 | WDLWL |
| 3 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 | DWDDW |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 | LDDDD |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | -29 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Ajax | 10 | 29:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 19:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 10 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 17:24 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 12:21 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | 13:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 10:39 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, Ajax are 3rd and NEC Nijmegen 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Ajax 29-13, NEC Nijmegen 17-19. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.