Ajax vs Willem II Prediction

Ajax
5-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Willem II
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam 15/09/2026
AjaxAjax
5-1
Finished
Willem IIWillem II

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Ajax Rest
3 days
Willem II Rest
4 days

Ajax vs Willem II: result, form and history

Ajax beat Willem II 5-1 in the Eredivisie on 15 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ajax had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Willem II.

Ajax have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
84%1.10
X
14%10.25
2
2%19.50
Double Chance
1X
98%1.02
X2
16%6.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.82
No
45%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.7 + 0.83 = 3.53
Over 1.5
86%1.05
Over 2.5
74%1.20
Over 3.5
54%1.56
Under 1.5
14%9.00
Under 2.5
26%4.20
Under 3.5
46%2.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.1 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
42%1.83
Under 8.5
37%3.24
Under 9.5
48%2.42
Under 10.5
58%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1 + 1.7 = 2.8
Over 3.5
30%2.87
Over 4.5
15%-
Under 3.5
70%1.38
Under 4.5
85%-

Match Events

41'Davy KlaassenAssist: Kasper Dolberg
45'Julian BrandtAssist: Lucas Oliveira·Rosa
45'Per van Loon INAlessandro Ciranni out
45'Tonny Vilhena INMats Lemmens out
57'Steven Berghuis INViktor Tsygankov out
57'Davy Klaassen INSofyan Amrabat out
61'Hidde ter Avest INA. Et-Taibi out
67'Owen Wijndal INCaio Henrique out
67'Julian Brandt INAbdellah Ouazane out
69'Viktor TsygankovAssist: Oscar Gloukh
70'Jaden Slory INChido Obi out
74'Oscar GloukhAssist: Kasper Dolberg
76'Alessandro CiranniAssist: Uriël van Aalst
77'Thilo Kehrer INDies Janse out
84'Maxim Dekker INEser Gürbüz out
87'Kasper Dolberg

Lineups

Ajax
4-3-3Coach: Míchel
Willem II
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Stegeman
Avg rating7.26
Avg rating6.10
M. Paes6.626M. Paes
Lucas Rosa7.02L. Rosa
T. Kehrer6.96T. Kehrer
Y. Baas7.515Y. Baas
O. Wijndal6.25O. Wijndal
D. Klaassen8.118D. Klaassen
J. Mokio6.724J. Mokio
J. Brandt8.28J. Brandt
S. Berghuis6.823S. Berghuis
K. Dolberg9.29K. Dolberg
O. Gloukh9.010O. Gloukh
M. Delanghe6.726M. Delanghe
H. ter Avest5.45H. ter Avest
F. Stam6.03F. Stam
M. Dekker5.823M. Dekker
N. Tjoe-A-On6.224N. Tjoe-A-On
C. Twigt6.16C. Twigt
T. Vilhena6.052T. Vilhena
Per van Loon5.922P. van Loon
Uriel van Aalst7.219U. van Aalst
J. Slory5.97J. Slory
D. Haen6.49D. Haen

Ajax Substitutes

99T. Arokodare
1M. ter Stegen
20O. Edvardsen
3A. Gaaei
36D. Janse77'for Thilo Kehrer6.6
12Caio Henrique67'for Owen Wijndal6.4
68A. Ouazane67'for Julian Brandt6.5
38Marcos Leonardo
51C. Setford
21Jofre Torrents
11V. Tsygankov57'for Steven Berghuis69'7.6
4S. Amrabat57'for Davy Klaassen7.0

Willem II Substitutes

83M. Lemmens45'for Tonny Vilhena5.5
2A. Ciranni45'for Per van Loon76'6.3
15A. Et-Taïbi61'for Hidde ter Avest5.5
50E. Gürbüz84'for Maxim Dekker6.5
14Jens Mathijsen
17O. Martin70'for Jaden Slory6.2
10J. Schuurman
28T. Verheydt
18Anass Zarrouk
31K. de Leeuw
21W. van der Steen

Match Stats

AjaxWillem II
70%Ball Possession30%
14Corner Kicks2
33Total Shots10
12Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal4
26Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box3
10Blocked Shots2
6Fouls3
3Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves7
759Total Passes328
692Passes Accurate266
3Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

AjaxAjax
Willem IIWillem II
1855Elo Rating 1506
2.33Attack 1.06
1.70Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 0%
19.1Shots per Game 11.8
7.1Shots on Target 2.9
6.0Corners per Game 6.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+349 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals

Game State Tendencies

AjaxAjax
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AjaxAjax5Wins · 83%
Draws117%
Willem IIWillem II0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Eredivisie13/04/2025
Willem IIAjax
12
Eredivisie27/10/2024
AjaxWillem II
10
Eredivisie19/02/2022
Willem IIAjax
01
Eredivisie02/12/2021
AjaxWillem II
50
Eredivisie28/01/2021
AjaxWillem II
31
Eredivisie23/12/2020
Willem IIAjax
11

Recent Form

Willem IIWillem II
3W3D4L
11/09/2026
AZ AlkmaarWillem II
11
D
05/09/2026
Willem IIExcelsior
03
L
30/08/2026
Willem IIHeerenveen
22
D
15/08/2026
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
14
L
08/08/2026
GO Ahead EaglesWillem II
41
L
01/08/2026
Willem IIOFI
21
W
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
W
11/07/2026
Willem IIFC Eindhoven
22
D
04/07/2026
Willem IIQuick Boys
12
L
23/05/2026
FC VolendamWillem II
4152
W

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Ajax vs Willem II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ajax and Willem II in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie, while Willem II sit 18th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Ajax 29-13, Willem II 10-32. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.