PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Philips Stadion, Eindhoven·D. Makkelie 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
PSV Eindhoven Rest
3 days
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
9 days

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam: result, form and history

PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 in the Eredivisie on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: PSV Eindhoven had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sparta Rotterdam.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
84%1.16
X
14%8.50
2
2%13.25
Double Chance
1X
98%1.03
X2
17%5.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.55
No
47%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.96 + 0.77 = 3.73
Over 1.5
86%1.04
Over 2.5
74%1.18
Over 3.5
63%1.46
Under 1.5
14%11.00
Under 2.5
26%4.70
Under 3.5
37%2.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 2.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.16
Over 9.5
52%1.29
Over 10.5
42%1.53
Under 8.5
37%4.30
Under 9.5
48%3.10
Under 10.5
58%2.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 0.8 + 1.9 = 2.7
Over 3.5
30%2.27
Over 4.5
14%3.10
Under 3.5
70%1.57
Under 4.5
86%1.30

Match Events

15'Milan ZonneveldAssist: Bas Kuipers
23'Sven MijnansAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
30'Bruno Martins IndiFoul
39'Kodai SanoAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
60'Esmir Bajraktarević INIvan Perišić out
60'Guus Til INRicardo Pepi out
60'Amir Bouhamdi INRuben van Bommel out
63'Casper Terho INTeo Quintero León out
63'Julian Baas INIsaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi out
74'Sven Mijnans
75'Armando ObispoFoul
77'Paul Wanner INNoah Fernandez out
77'Milan Zonneveld INAndrej Kostić out
77'Mitchell Van Bergen INRobin van Cruijsen out
82'Bruno Martins Indi INJoel Ideho out
88'Sven MijnansAssist: Lutsharel Geertruida
90'Sven Mijnans INAyoni Santos out

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3Coach: P. Bosz
Sparta Rotterdam
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Meijer
Avg rating7.36
Avg rating6.25
M. Kovář7.232M. Kovář
S. Dest7.38S. Dest
L. Geertruida7.62L. Geertruida
A. Obispo6.74A. Obispo
Mauro Júnior7.417M. Júnior
G. Til7.120G. Til
P. Wanner7.210P. Wanner
K. Sano8.224K. Sano
E. Bajraktarevic8.319E. Bajraktarevic
S. Mijnans9.421S. Mijnans
A. Bouhamdi6.937A. Bouhamdi
M. Brouwer6.71M. Brouwer
M. Young6.33M. Young
N. Verschuren5.96N. Verschuren
B. Martins Indi5.54B. Martins Indi
L. Martes6.62L. Martes
J. Baas6.28J. Baas
Cedric Hatenboer6.010C. Hatenboer
B. Kuipers6.55B. Kuipers
C. Terho6.47C. Terho
M. van Bergen5.911M. van Bergen
M. Zonneveld8.09M. Zonneveld

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

3Yarek Gasiorowski
6R. Flamingo
9R. Pepi60'for Guus Til6.9
5I. Perišić60'for Esmir Bajraktarević6.7
35A. Santos90'for Sven Mijnans
1N. Olij
38F. Merién
51T. Smolenaars
27D. Man
18F. Kostić
31N. Fernandez77'for Paul Wanner6.4
7R. van Bommel60'for Amir Bouhamdi7.0

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

15G. Vianello
17Robin van Cruijsen77'for Mitchell Van Bergen5.8
18J. Toornstra
16A. Roaldsøy
12B. Reith
30P. Kuiper
19Andrej Kostić77'replaced by Milan Zonneveld
22Joel Ideho82'for Bruno Martins Indi6.3
20F. Bednarek
21I. Babadi63'for Julian Baas6.1
14Teo Quintero63'for Casper Terho5.9

Match Stats

PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
76%Ball Possession24%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
28Total Shots10
10Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box2
11Blocked Shots1
6Fouls3
5Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
771Total Passes236
715Passes Accurate174
93%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1903Elo Rating 1601
1.11Attack 1.94
1.92Defense 0.05
44%Hit Rate 27%
14.6Shots per Game 16.8
3.6Shots on Target 6.1
5.0Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+302 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.73 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven9Wins · 90%
Draws110%
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie11/04/2026
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
02
Eredivisie09/08/2025
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
61
Eredivisie18/05/2025
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
13
Eredivisie05/10/2024
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
21
Eredivisie05/05/2024
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
42
Eredivisie08/10/2023
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
04
Eredivisie06/05/2023
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
01
KNVB Beker10/01/2023
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie07/01/2023
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
00
Eredivisie27/02/2022
Sparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
12

Recent Form

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
6W2D2L
10/09/2026
PSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk
11
D
05/09/2026
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
13
W
30/08/2026
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
16
W
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
W
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
2W4D4L
04/09/2026
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
22
D
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
21
L
22/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
33
D
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
W
09/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
01
L
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
25/07/2026
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam
32
L
18/07/2026
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam
32
L
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
W

Referee Profile

D. Makkelie206 matches

3.39Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Makkelie3.39
Other referees3.24

3.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1073032:11+2124DWWWW
2AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1062228:13+1520DLWLW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1053217:17018WDDWL
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1043318:13+515WWLWD
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1025317:18-111DDDDL
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1002810:32-222LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1032:1124
2AjaxAjax1029:1321
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1028:1320
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1017:1718
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1018:1315
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1017:1811
13ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1010:322
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven are 3rd and Sparta Rotterdam 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: PSV Eindhoven 28-13, Sparta Rotterdam 17-24. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.