Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Groningen
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
PEC Zwolle
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen·Martin Van den Kerkhof 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Groningen Rest
6 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
5 days

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: result, form and history

Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3-0 in the Eredivisie on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.50
X
21%4.49
2
13%5.60
Double Chance
1X
87%1.14
X2
34%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.46
No
47%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.95 = 2.63
Over 1.5
76%1.10
Over 2.5
53%1.36
Over 3.5
30%1.96
Under 1.5
24%6.50
Under 2.5
47%3.02
Under 3.5
70%1.85
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
65%1.40
Over 9.5
56%1.73
Over 10.5
44%2.16
Under 8.5
35%2.58
Under 9.5
44%1.97
Under 10.5
56%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.7 = 2.8
Over 3.5
31%2.72
Over 4.5
15%-
Under 3.5
69%1.42
Under 4.5
85%-

Match Events

20'Thom Van BergenAssist: David van der Werff
28'Ibrahim Cissoko INElias Sörensen out
43'Jorg Schreuders
61'Dylan Mbayo INGabriel Reiziger out
61'Thijs Oosting INSydney van Hooijdonk out
66'Jacob Ondrejka INTygo Land out
66'Marco Rente INHans Hateboer out
68'Tygo LandAssist: David van der Werff
79'Sherel FloranusDissent
79'Koen KostonsFoul
80'Olivier Aertssen INjan burger out
80'Koen Kostons INGilles Van Der Wal out
85'David van der Werff INNils Eggens out
85'Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson INAlvin Vilhelm Valdemar Nordin out
90'Mark Csinger INJesper Mosselaar out

Lineups

Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Lukkien
PEC Zwolle
4-1-4-1Coach: Henry van der Vegt
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.03
E. Vaessen6.71E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders8.514J. Schreuders
T. Blokzijl7.33T. Blokzijl
M. Rente7.55M. Rente
M. Csinger7.64M. Csinger
T. de Jonge6.78T. de Jonge
P. Clement6.524P. Clement
D. van der Werff8.617D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen8.226T. van Bergen
J. Ondrejka6.311J. Ondrejka
B. Willumsson6.69B. Willumsson
J. Schendelaar6.01J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen5.93O. Aertssen
S. Graves6.628S. Graves
N. Viergever6.224N. Viergever
S. Floranus5.82S. Floranus
N. Fichtinger6.134N. Fichtinger
D. Mbayo5.511D. Mbayo
T. Oosting6.425T. Oosting
T. Sommer5.88T. Sommer
I. Cissoko5.722I. Cissoko
K. Kostons6.510K. Kostons

Groningen Substitutes

13L. Štubljar
20Nils Eggens85'for David van der Werff6.5
44Besnik Mashuku
30P. Boevink
53J. Hall
33H. Hateboer66'for Marco Rente7.1
18T. Land66'for Jacob Ondrejka68'7.8
42J. Mosselaar90'for Mark Csinger
16A. Nordin85'for Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson6.8
19O. Zawada

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

6Jan Bürger80'for Olivier Aertssen6.0
9E. Sørensen28'for Ibrahim Cissoko6.2
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
20G. Reiziger61'for Dylan Mbayo5.7
42Dylan Ruward
37Gilles van der Wal80'for Koen Kostons5.9
33D. van der Haar
17S. van Hooijdonk61'for Thijs Oosting6.4
16T. de Graaff
41D. Verduin
4T. Velthuis
18O. Velanas

Match Stats

GroningenPEC Zwolle
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots6
7Fouls11
1Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes450
414Passes Accurate368
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

GroningenGroningen
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1683Elo Rating 1564
2.10Attack 1.28
0.86Defense 1.45
31%Hit Rate 19%
15.0Shots per Game 13.3
6.0Shots on Target 5.7
5.9Corners per Game 5.3
1.8Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GroningenGroningen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GroningenGroningen1Wins · 13%
Draws562%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle2Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Eredivisie13/03/2026
PEC ZwolleGroningen
11
Eredivisie23/11/2025
GroningenPEC Zwolle
22
Eredivisie18/05/2025
PEC ZwolleGroningen
20
Eredivisie08/12/2024
GroningenPEC Zwolle
00
Eredivisie20/02/2022
PEC ZwolleGroningen
11
Eredivisie03/12/2021
GroningenPEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie16/05/2021
PEC ZwolleGroningen
10
Eredivisie13/02/2021
GroningenPEC Zwolle
10

Recent Form

GroningenGroningen
3W3D4L
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
2W1D7L
13/09/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
07
L
04/09/2026
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
22
D
29/08/2026
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
13
L
22/08/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
W
16/08/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L

Referee Profile

Martin Van den Kerkhof170 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.52Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
19.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Van den Kerkhof2.65
Other referees3.22

2.65 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.22).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
3AjaxAjax1063129:13+1621WWDDW
4TwenteTwente1062219:10+920WLDWW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1062220:12+820LDLWD
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1043324:21+315DLWWD
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014WLDDD
10CambuurCambuur1033419:22-312WDWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1033417:27-1012DWWLW
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1032516:19-311LLLDL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79LWDLL
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1022611:23-128DWLLL
16TelstarTelstar1013612:21-96LLDLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013613:23-106LWDDL
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
3AjaxAjax1029:1321
4TwenteTwente1019:1020
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1020:1220
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1024:2115
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1023:2314
10CambuurCambuur1019:2212
11UtrechtUtrecht1017:2712
12ExcelsiorExcelsior1016:1911
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1017:249
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1011:238
16TelstarTelstar1012:216
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1013:236
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Groningen vs PEC Zwolle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Groningen and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Groningen are 8th and PEC Zwolle 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Groningen 24-21, PEC Zwolle 11-23. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Groningen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.