Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Atalanta
-
02/11/2026
20:45
Parma
New Balance Arena, Bergamo·Valerio Crezzini
AtalantaAtalanta
02/11/202620:45
ParmaParma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Value Analysis
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Atalanta Rest
4 days
Parma Rest
5 days

Atalanta vs Parma: what the numbers say

Both Atalanta and Parma have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Serie A on 2 Nov 2026.

Atalanta have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game. Referee Valerio Crezzini averages 3.75 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.51
X
4.50
2
6.00
Double Chance
1X
1.12
X2
2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
Goals
Over 1.5
1.20
Over 2.5
1.65
Over 3.5
2.61
Under 1.5
4.50
Under 2.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.49
Corners
Over 8.5
1.50
Over 9.5
1.91
Over 10.5
2.40
Under 8.5
2.40
Under 9.5
1.87
Under 10.5
1.50
Cards
Over 3.5
2.38
Over 4.5
3.35
Under 3.5
1.55
Under 4.5
1.29
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

AtalantaAtalanta
ParmaParma
1783Elo Rating 1634
2.21Attack 0.51
0.52Defense 1.32
14%Hit Rate 14%
15.7Shots per Game 11.5
5.3Shots on Target 3.6
5.3Corners per Game 3.1
1.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtalantaAtalanta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ParmaParma
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AtalantaAtalanta4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
ParmaParma1Wins · 17%
4.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A25/01/2026
AtalantaParma
40
Serie A30/08/2025
ParmaAtalanta
11
Serie A25/05/2025
AtalantaParma
23
Serie A23/11/2024
ParmaAtalanta
13
Serie A09/05/2021
ParmaAtalanta
25
Serie A06/01/2021
AtalantaParma
30

Referee Profile

Valerio Crezzini91 matches

3.75Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Valerio Crezzini3.75
Other referees4.47

3.75 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
9JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
10TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
11CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
12AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
17FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8BolognaBologna1014:1314
9JuventusJuventus911:1014
10TorinoTorino914:1413
11CagliariCagliari98:1313
12AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza1017:247
17FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
18ParmaParma95:155
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Atalanta vs Parma forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atalanta and Parma in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atalanta are 12th and Parma 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Atalanta 16-17, Parma 5-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atalanta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.