Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Fiorentina
-
29/10/2026
20:45
Atalanta
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence·Federico La Penna
FiorentinaFiorentina
29/10/202620:45
AtalantaAtalanta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Fiorentina Rest
4 days
Atalanta Rest
4 days

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: what the numbers say

There is little to separate the two on recent form: Fiorentina have won 1 of their last five and Atalanta 2. The match is played in the Serie A on 29 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.30
X
3.65
2
2.94
Double Chance
1X
1.36
X2
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.48
No
2.50
Goals
Over 1.5
1.17
Over 2.5
1.58
Over 3.5
2.42
Under 1.5
4.85
Under 2.5
2.43
Under 3.5
1.57
Corners
Over 8.5
1.65
Over 9.5
2.07
Over 10.5
2.77
Under 8.5
2.08
Under 9.5
1.64
Under 10.5
1.36
Cards
Over 3.5
1.82
Over 4.5
2.71
Under 3.5
1.92
Under 4.5
1.43
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
AtalantaAtalanta
1712Elo Rating 1785
1.75Attack 1.54
1.26Defense 1.13
31%Hit Rate 36%
16.2Shots per Game 16.2
5.9Shots on Target 4.7
5.7Corners per Game 6.1
2.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AtalantaAtalanta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FiorentinaFiorentina4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
AtalantaAtalanta4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
Serie A30/11/2025
AtalantaFiorentina
20
Serie A30/03/2025
FiorentinaAtalanta
10
Serie A15/09/2024
AtalantaFiorentina
32
Serie A02/06/2024
AtalantaFiorentina
23
Coppa Italia24/04/2024
AtalantaFiorentina
41
Coppa Italia03/04/2024
FiorentinaAtalanta
10
Serie A17/09/2023
FiorentinaAtalanta
32
Serie A17/04/2023
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
Serie A02/10/2022
AtalantaFiorentina
10

Referee Profile

Federico La Penna98 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Federico La Penna4.86
Other referees4.48

4.86 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.48).

Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Fiorentina vs Atalanta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fiorentina and Atalanta in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atalanta are 12th and Fiorentina 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Fiorentina 9-19, Atalanta 14-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.