Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Fiorentina vs Napoli: the result in context
Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Napoli have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Daniele Doveri averages 3.68 cards a game, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Fiorentina
Avg ratingAvg rating
C43D. De Gea
20Á. Jiménez
3R. Drăguşin
6L. Ranieri
33Viery
27C. Ndour
44N. Fagioli
14A. Atta
30F. Mastantuono
32M. Pellegrino
25A. Njie
32V. Milinković-Savić
C22G. Di Lorenzo
13A. Rrahmani
16R. Marín
17M. Olivera
6B. Gilmour
68S. Lobotka
21M. Politano
11K. De Bruyne
70N. Lang
19R. HøjlundFiorentina Substitutes
Napoli Substitutes
Match Stats
FiorentinaNapoli Team Comparison
FiorentinaNapoliAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Fiorentina- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Napoli- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Fiorentina2Wins · 20%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
31/01/2026NapoliFiorentina13/09/2025FiorentinaNapoli09/03/2025NapoliFiorentina04/01/2025FiorentinaNapoli17/05/2024FiorentinaNapoli
18/01/2024NapoliFiorentina08/10/2023NapoliFiorentina07/05/2023NapoliFiorentina28/08/2022FiorentinaNapoli10/04/2022NapoliFiorentinaRecent Form
FiorentinaFiorentina
Pisa
VeneziaFiorentinaFiorentina
TorinoFiorentina
Frosinone
AS RomaFiorentinaFiorentina
BeneventoFiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
Real MadridFiorentina
WatfordFiorentina
QPRFiorentinaNapoliNapoli
BolognaNapoli
Arsenal
InterNapoliNapoli
Como
GenoaNapoliNapoli
Aris ThessalonikisNapoli
Celta VigoNapoli
OsasunaNapoli
CarrareseNapoli
ArezzoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.68 cards a match, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).
Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 20 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 9 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 6:20 | 3 |
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This match
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About the Fiorentina vs Napoli forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fiorentina and Napoli in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Napoli are 7th and Fiorentina 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Fiorentina 11-21, Napoli 17-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.