AC Milan vs Inter Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 10
Derby
AC Milan
-
31/10/2026
20:45
Inter
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan·Marco Guida
AC MilanAC Milan
31/10/202620:45
InterInter

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Value Analysis
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AC Milan Rest
3 days
Inter Rest
3 days

AC Milan vs Inter preview: form and head-to-head

Both sides arrive in good form: AC Milan have won 3 of their last five and Inter 4. It is a derby, played in the Serie A on 31 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Inter tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 2.8 for AC Milan.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
3.60
X
3.52
2
2.01
Double Chance
1X
1.77
X2
1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
Goals
Over 1.5
1.22
Over 2.5
1.75
Over 3.5
2.82
Under 1.5
4.05
Under 2.5
2.12
Under 3.5
1.43
Corners
Over 8.5
1.79
Over 9.5
2.25
Over 10.5
3.12
Under 8.5
1.95
Under 9.5
1.56
Under 10.5
1.29
Cards
Over 3.5
1.59
Over 4.5
2.13
Under 3.5
2.29
Under 4.5
1.67
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Team Comparison

AC MilanAC Milan
InterInter
1838Elo Rating 1987
2.06Attack 2.11
1.01Defense 2.04
54%Hit Rate 86%
11.0Shots per Game 21.4
4.8Shots on Target 7.0
2.8Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

AC MilanAC Milan
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AC MilanAC Milan5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
InterInter2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
Serie A08/03/2026
AC MilanInter
10
Serie A23/11/2025
InterAC Milan
01
Coppa Italia23/04/2025
InterAC Milan
03
Coppa Italia02/04/2025
AC MilanInter
11
Serie A02/02/2025
AC MilanInter
11
Super Cup06/01/2025
InterAC Milan
23
Serie A22/09/2024
InterAC Milan
12
Serie A22/04/2024
AC MilanInter
12
Serie A16/09/2023
InterAC Milan
51
Derby della MadonninaFull head-to-head record

Recent Form

AC MilanAC Milan
4W3D3L
28/10/2026
AC MilanBologna
24
L25/10/2026
UdineseAC Milan
02
W22/10/2026
BournemouthAC Milan
30
L18/10/2026
AC MilanAtalanta
32
W15/10/2026
Red Bull SalzburgAC Milan
04
W11/10/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
11
D20/09/2026
AC MilanLecce
30
W16/09/2026
AC MilanBenfica
02
L12/09/2026
LazioAC Milan
22
D06/09/2026
JuventusAC Milan
11
D
InterInter
7W1D2L
28/10/2026
VeneziaInter
02
W25/10/2026
InterFiorentina
21
W
21/10/2026
InterShakhtar Donetsk
10
W
17/10/2026
BolognaInter
13
W13/10/2026
InterClub Brugge KV
34
L10/10/2026
InterParma
30
W
03/10/2026
InterLumezzane
20
W
19/09/2026
AS RomaInter
22
D14/09/2026
InterUdinese
53
W08/09/2026
Real MadridInter
21
L

Referee Profile

Marco Guida163 matches

3.97Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Guida3.97
Other referees4.44

3.97 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).

Cards come from 153 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
9TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
10CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza921616:22-67LLWLW
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
19ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8JuventusJuventus911:1014
9TorinoTorino914:1413
10CagliariCagliari98:1313
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza916:227
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
19ParmaParma95:155
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
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About the AC Milan vs Inter forecast

As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AC Milan and Inter in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Inter are 1st and AC Milan 5th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: AC Milan 18-11, Inter 25-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. AC Milan have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.