AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction

AC Milan
2-4
Finished
HT 2-1
Bologna
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan·Juan Luca Sacchi 28/10/2026
AC MilanAC Milan
2-4
Finished
BolognaBologna

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.73
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
AC Milan Rest
2 days
Bologna Rest
4 days

AC Milan vs Bologna: result, form and history

Bologna beat AC Milan 4-2 in the Serie A on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.73
X
25%3.71
2
19%5.15
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
44%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.93
No
49%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.06 = 2.73
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.06
Over 3.5
27%3.60
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.79
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.6 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.95
Over 9.5
40%2.55
Over 10.5
30%3.46
Under 8.5
48%1.79
Under 9.5
60%1.44
Under 10.5
70%1.23
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.82
Over 4.5
47%2.41
Under 3.5
34%1.92
Under 4.5
53%1.53

Match Events

8'Samuel Mbangula TshifundaAssist: Nadir Zortea
14'Alphadjo Cissè
27'Alphadjo CissèAssist: Fikayo Tomori
45'Fikayo Tomori INLuka Modrić out
58'Pervis Estupinan INSankhoun Diawara out
58'Omari Hutchinson INChristian Pulisic out
58'Matteo Darmian INMartin Vitik out
59'Rahim Alhassane INJuan Miranda out
59'Federico Bernardeschi INNicolo Cambiaghi out
60'Davide BartesaghiOG
62'Samuel Mbangula TshifundaAssist: Juan Miranda
63'Davide Bartesaghi INFrancesco Camarda out
70'Arthur Theate INTorbjørn Heggem out
76'Tommaso PobegaFoul
79'Nicolo Casale INEivind Helland out
84'Torbjørn HeggemFoul
86'Samuel Mbangula TshifundaAssist: Jens Odgaard
87'Gonçalo Ramos INChristian Comotto out

Lineups

AC Milan
4-2-3-1Coach: Ruben Amorim
Bologna
3-4-3Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating6.49
M. Maignan5.616M. Maignan
F. Tomori6.823F. Tomori
K. De Winter6.05K. De Winter
S. Pavlović6.431S. Pavlović
P. Estupiñán6.32P. Estupiñán
Y. Musah6.480Y. Musah
A. Jashari6.630A. Jashari
O. Hutchinson5.720O. Hutchinson
A. Cissè8.370A. Cissè
D. Bartesaghi4.333D. Bartesaghi
Gonçalo Ramos6.19G. Ramos
Ł. Skorupski6.01Ł. Skorupski
M. Darmian5.636M. Darmian
N. Casale6.016N. Casale
A. Theate6.53A. Theate
N. Zortea6.720N. Zortea
L. Ferguson6.619L. Ferguson
T. Pobega6.44T. Pobega
R. Alhassane6.223R. Alhassane
F. Bernardeschi6.510F. Bernardeschi
J. Odgaard7.221J. Odgaard
S. Mbangula9.211S. Mbangula

AC Milan Substitutes

55Silvano Vos
73F. Camarda63'for Davide Bartesaghi6.2
41L. P. Bouyer
28C. Comotto87'for Gonçalo Ramos5.8
13S. Bocoum58'for Pervis Estupinan6.2
14L. Modrić45'for Fikayo Tomori6.5
40L. Ossola
11C. Pulišić58'for Omari Hutchinson6.1
42F. Terracciano
96L. Torriani
35V. Vladimirov
47N. Perera
49Luka Menon
48El Hadji Malick Cissé

Bologna Substitutes

41M. Vitík58'for Matteo Darmian6.2
25M. Pessina
6N. Moro
33Juan Miranda59'for Rahim Alhassane6.3
18M. Libra
14T. Heggem70'for Arthur Theate84'5.8
72U. Happonen
5E. Helland79'for Nicolo Casale6.1
17O. El Azzouzi
9A. Dovbyk
8M. Amondarain
28N. Cambiaghi59'for Federico Bernardeschi6.6
43Luca Lo Monaco

Match Stats

AC MilanBologna
66%Ball Possession34%
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
10Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
671Total Passes338
591Passes Accurate270
14Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

AC MilanAC Milan
BolognaBologna
1857Elo Rating 1759
2.05Attack 1.32
1.57Defense 1.81
56%Hit Rate 46%
9.5Shots per Game 9.7
4.9Shots on Target 3.7
3.0Corners per Game 2.8
2.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AC MilanAC Milan
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BolognaBologna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AC MilanAC Milan5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
BolognaBologna2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A03/02/2026
BolognaAC Milan
03
Serie A14/09/2025
AC MilanBologna
10
Coppa Italia14/05/2025
AC MilanBologna
01
Serie A09/05/2025
AC MilanBologna
31
Serie A27/02/2025
BolognaAC Milan
21
Serie A27/01/2024
AC MilanBologna
22
Serie A21/08/2023
BolognaAC Milan
02
Serie A15/04/2023
BolognaAC Milan
11
Serie A27/08/2022
AC MilanBologna
20
Serie A04/04/2022
AC MilanBologna
00

Referee Profile

Juan Luca Sacchi122 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Luca Sacchi4.32
Other referees4.61

4.32 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
9TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
10CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza921616:22-67LLWLW
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8JuventusJuventus911:1014
9TorinoTorino914:1413
10CagliariCagliari98:1313
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza916:227
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the AC Milan vs Bologna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AC Milan and Bologna in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, AC Milan are 5th and Bologna 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: AC Milan 18-11, Bologna 12-12. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.