Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Bologna
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Inter
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna·Daniele Doveri 17/10/2026
BolognaBologna
1-3
Finished
InterInter

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Bologna Rest
6 days
Inter Rest
3 days

Bologna vs Inter: result, form and history

Inter beat Bologna 3-1 in the Serie A on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Inter had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bologna.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee Daniele Doveri averages 3.68 cards a game, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.67
X
24%4.14
2
58%1.58
Double Chance
1X
42%2.37
X2
83%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.67
No
42%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.85 = 3.00
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.63
Over 3.5
38%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.60
Under 2.5
40%2.31
Under 3.5
62%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.63
Over 9.5
51%2.02
Over 10.5
40%2.62
Under 8.5
38%2.19
Under 9.5
49%1.75
Under 10.5
60%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%2.20
Over 4.5
45%3.00
Under 3.5
36%1.62
Under 4.5
55%1.35

Match Events

10'Tommaso PobegaAssist: Juan Miranda
30'Roberto Piccoli INJay Enem out
34'Arthur TheateFoul
35'Pio EspositoFoul
44'Marcus ThuramAssist: Nicolò Barella
57'Tommaso PobegaFoul
58'Pio Esposito INAnge-Yoan Bonny out
61'Marcus Thuram
63'Arthur Theate INEivind Helland out
69'Luis Henrique INAndy Diouf out
69'Federico Dimarco INCarlos Augusto out
69'Carlos AugustoAssist: Piotr Zieliński
71'Juan MirandaDissent
72'Federico BernardeschiDissent
76'Tommaso Pobega INNikola Moro out
76'Nicolo Cambiaghi INArtem Dovbyk out
79'Marcus Thuram INHenrikh Mkhitaryan out
79'Piotr Zieliński INHakan Çalhanoğlu out
79'Carlos AugustoFoul
83'Ange-Yoan BonnyAssist: Carlos Augusto

Lineups

Bologna
3-4-2-1Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Inter
3-5-2Coach: C. Chivu
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating6.97
Ł. Skorupski6.71Ł. Skorupski
M. Darmian6.436M. Darmian
N. Casale6.216N. Casale
A. Theate5.83A. Theate
N. Zortea5.220N. Zortea
L. Ferguson6.519L. Ferguson
T. Pobega7.74T. Pobega
Juan Miranda6.533J. Miranda
F. Bernardeschi6.110F. Bernardeschi
N. Cambiaghi6.128N. Cambiaghi
R. Piccoli6.291R. Piccoli
Josep Martínez7.01J. Martínez
Y. Bisseck6.731Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji7.525M. Akanji
A. Bastoni6.995A. Bastoni
Luis Henrique6.611L. Henrique
N. Barella7.723N. Barella
P. Zieliński7.77P. Zieliński
P. Sučić7.28P. Sučić
F. Dimarco6.732F. Dimarco
M. Thuram7.69M. Thuram
F. Esposito6.394F. Esposito

Bologna Substitutes

22J. Enem30'for Roberto Piccoli6.3
5E. Helland63'for Arthur Theate6.0
17O. El Azzouzi
72U. Happonen
14T. Heggem
9A. Dovbyk76'for Nicolo Cambiaghi6.3
18M. Libra
11S. Mbangula
8M. Amondarain
29L. De Silvestri
6N. Moro76'for Tommaso Pobega5.8
21J. Odgaard
25M. Pessina
41M. Vitík
23R. Alhassane

Inter Substitutes

14A. Bonny58'for Pio Esposito83'7.3
46L. Bovio
20H. Çalhanoğlu79'for Piotr Zieliński6.4
30Carlos Augusto69'for Federico Dimarco69'79'7.4
12R. Di Gennaro
17A. Diouf69'for Luis Henrique6.2
22H. Mkhitaryan79'for Marcus Thuram6.3
48M. Mosconi
49I. Provedel
99D. Spence
5A. Stanković

Match Stats

BolognaInter
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
8Fouls11
3Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves3
367Total Passes683
301Passes Accurate623
8Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

BolognaBologna
InterInter
1759Elo Rating 1975
1.32Attack 2.32
1.81Defense 1.71
46%Hit Rate 66%
9.7Shots per Game 18.6
3.7Shots on Target 7.2
2.8Corners per Game 4.3
1.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BolognaBologna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BolognaBologna2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
InterInter3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A23/05/2026
BolognaInter
33
Serie A04/01/2026
InterBologna
31
Super Cup19/12/2025
BolognaInter
3121
Serie A20/04/2025
BolognaInter
10
Serie A15/01/2025
InterBologna
22
Serie A09/03/2024
BolognaInter
01
Coppa Italia20/12/2023
InterBologna
1020
Serie A07/10/2023
InterBologna
22
Serie A26/02/2023
BolognaInter
10
Serie A09/11/2022
InterBologna
61

Referee Profile

Daniele Doveri137 matches

3.71Cards per match
3.58Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniele Doveri3.68
Other referees4.54

3.68 cards a match, 0.86 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
9TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
10CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza921616:22-67LLWLW
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
19ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8JuventusJuventus911:1014
9TorinoTorino914:1413
10CagliariCagliari98:1313
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza916:227
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
19ParmaParma95:155
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bologna vs Inter forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bologna and Inter in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Inter are 1st and Bologna 11th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Bologna 12-12, Inter 25-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.