Udinese vs Lecce Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Udinese Rest
5 days
Lecce Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.85
X27%3.55
223%4.42
Double Chance
1X77%1.21
X250%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.85
No51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.03 = 2.44
Over 1.571%1.33
Over 2.546%2.02
Over 3.525%3.40
Under 1.529%3.30
Under 2.554%1.81
Under 3.575%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.563%1.52
Over 9.552%1.91
Over 10.541%2.48
Under 8.537%2.30
Under 9.548%1.85
Under 10.559%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.83
Over 4.545%2.75
Under 3.536%1.83
Under 4.555%1.44
Match Events
11'Kialonda GasparAssist: Antonino Gallo
33'Konan N'DriAssist: Tiago Gabriel
41'Lassana Coulibaly INMohamed Kaba out
43'Hassane KamaraFoul
45'David Alaba INMatteo Palma out
45'Hassane Kamara INJuan Arizala out
45'Oier Zarraga INJakub Piotrowski out
59'Goal cancelledJakub Piotrowski
64'Giorgi Chakvetadze INUnai Gómez out
64'Enzo Ebosse INAlessandro Zanoli out
69'Amar Fatah INSantiago Pierotti out
70'Willem Geubbels INPaco Esteban out
82'Konan N'Dri INJoel Almada Monteiro out
82'Youssef Maleh INJamil Siebert out
86'Jamil Siebert
Lineups
UdineseLecce
4-3-3Coach: E. Di FrancescoAvg ratingAvg rating
40M. Okoye
28O. Solet
5D. Alaba
77E. Ebosse
23M. Vojvoda
8J. Karlström
6O. Zarraga
11H. Kamara
32J. Ekkelenkamp
30G. Chakvetadze
9K. Davis
30W. Falcone
17D. Veiga
4K. Gaspar
44T. Gabriel
25A. Gallo
29L. Coulibaly
79O. Ngom
14Y. Maleh
11K. N’Dri
69W. Geubbels
7A. Ahmed FatahUdinese Substitutes
45G. Vinciati
13N. Bertola
14J. Abankwah
24J. Piotrowski45'for Oier Zarraga
59A. Zanoli64'for Enzo Ebosse
20J. Arizala45'for Hassane Kamara
46Unai Gómez64'for Giorgi Chakvetadze
91L. JovanoviÄ
27C. Kabasele
4S. Lovrić
38L. Miller
41B. Mrozek
93D. Padelli
16M. Palma45'for David Alaba
Lecce Substitutes
22Paco Esteban70'for Willem Geubbels
8S. Fofana
16O. Gandelman
28Olaf Gorter
18G. Jean
77M. Kaba41'for Lassana Coulibaly
99Joël Monteiro82'for Konan N'Dri
3C. Ndaba
50S. Pierotti69'for Amar Fatah
31E. Scott
5J. Siebert82'for Youssef Maleh86'
9N. Štulić
32A. Borbei
1M. Bleve
2A. Dembélé
Match Stats
UdineseLecce 67%Ball Possession33%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal11
7Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box15
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
3Offsides8
8Goalkeeper Saves2
520Total Passes258
435Passes Accurate182
84%Pass Accuracy71%
Team Comparison
UdineseLecce1689Elo Rating 1688
0.87Attack 1.53
0.43Defense 1.49
0%Hit Rate 44%
14.7Shots per Game 12.7
3.4Shots on Target 5.6
4.5Corners per Game 5.3
1.8Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Udinese- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lecce- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Udinese4Wins · 50%Draws225%
Lecce2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
08/02/2026LecceUdinese21
25/10/2025UdineseLecce32
21/02/2025LecceUdinese01
05/10/2024UdineseLecce10
13/05/2024LecceUdinese02
23/10/2023UdineseLecce11
28/04/2023LecceUdinese10
04/11/2022UdineseLecce11
Recent Form
Udinese4W2D4L
12/10/2026
TorinoUdineseUdinese
Cagliari
InterUdineseUdinese
LazioUdinese
Venezia
MonzaUdineseUdinese
ComoUdinese
Padova
TorinoUdinese21
L26/09/2026
Pogon SzczecinUdinese
19/09/2026Pogon SzczecinUdinese11
DUdineseCagliari01
L14/09/2026InterUdinese53
L07/09/2026UdineseLazio12
L02/09/2026UdineseVenezia21
W29/08/2026MonzaUdinese23
W22/08/2026UdineseComo11
D15/08/2026UdinesePadova10
W08/08/2026Udinese
Barcelona
UdineseBarcelona10
WLecce4W1D5L
11/10/2026Lecce
Bologna
AC MilanLecceLecceMonzaCagliariLecceLecce
AS RomaVeneziaLecce
PalermoLecce
LecceBologna12
L20/09/2026AC MilanLecce30
L13/09/2026LecceMonza32
W07/09/2026CagliariLecce10
L31/08/2026LecceAS Roma04
L23/08/2026VeneziaLecce02
W17/08/2026PalermoLecce20
L09/08/2026Lecce
SS Monopoli
LecceSS Monopoli10
W29/07/2026Lecce
Bistrica
LecceBistrica52
W25/07/2026Lecce
Istra 1961
LecceIstra 196122
DReferee Profile
3.97Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.97 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).
Cards come from 153 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 9 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | DLWDW |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Lecce | 8 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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About the Udinese vs Lecce forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Udinese and Lecce in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Lecce are 13th and Udinese 17th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Udinese 9-18, Lecce 9-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.