Venezia vs Napoli Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 7
Venezia
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Napoli
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice·Juan Luca Sacchi 17/10/2026
VeneziaVenezia
1-0
Finished
NapoliNapoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Venezia Rest
4 days
Napoli Rest
3 days

Venezia vs Napoli: the result in context

Venezia beat Napoli 1-0 in the Serie A on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Napoli had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Venezia.

Napoli have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.60
X
26%3.98
2
52%1.71
Double Chance
1X
48%2.13
X2
78%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.62
No
41%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.69 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.66
Over 3.5
37%2.56
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
63%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.67
Over 9.5
43%2.01
Over 10.5
32%2.60
Under 8.5
45%2.10
Under 9.5
57%1.70
Under 10.5
68%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.91
Over 4.5
48%2.88
Under 3.5
33%1.80
Under 4.5
52%1.41

Match Events

49'Akor AdamsAssist: Simon Sohm
54'Lorenzo Lucca INRasmus Hojlund out
54'Billy Gilmour INKevin De Bruyne out
54'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento INAlisson Santos out
61'Toma BašićDissent
63'Sam Beukema INMatteo Politano out
63'John Yeboah INAlbion Rrahmani out
68'Kevin De Bruyne(Penalty missed)
71'Ridgeciano Haps INPasquale Mazzocchi out
71'Toma Bašić INThorir Johann Helgason out
72'Matias Moreno INJoël Schingtienne out
80'Enrique Pérez MuñozDissent
82'Leonardo Spinazzola INMathias Olivera out
82'Simon Sohm INLamine Fanne out

Lineups

Venezia
3-5-2Coach: D. Nicola
Napoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Allegri
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.80
F. Stanković9.01F. Stanković
R. Halhal6.925R. Halhal
M. Moreno7.62M. Moreno
Juan Jesus7.515J. Jesus
A. Hainaut6.618A. Hainaut
Kike Pérez6.471K. Pérez
S. Sohm7.419S. Sohm
T. Bašić6.326T. Bašić
R. Haps6.45R. Haps
J. Yeboah6.310J. Yeboah
A. Adams8.245A. Adams
A. Meret6.81A. Meret
S. Beukema7.031S. Beukema
Amir Rrahmani7.313A. Rrahmani
B. Badiashile7.45B. Badiashile
G. Di Lorenzo6.222G. Di Lorenzo
B. Gilmour6.96B. Gilmour
S. Lobotka6.968S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola6.737L. Spinazzola
Giovane6.423Giovane
S. McTominay7.08S. McTominay
L. Lucca6.220L. Lucca

Venezia Substitutes

8Lamine Dabo82'for Simon Sohm6.8
96L. Montipò
3J. Schingtienne72'for Matias Moreno7.0
20R. Sagrado
77Toni Fernández
30M. Dagasso
56K. Lisman
36Lorenzo Berardi
16R. Mohammed
55S. Panada
21Þ. Helgason71'for Toma Bašić6.8
70P. Mazzocchi71'for Ridgeciano Haps7.0
7A. Rrahmani63'for John Yeboah6.6
29L. Lauberbach
95A. Gomes

Napoli Substitutes

35Luca Marianucci
16Rafa Marín
17M. Olivera82'for Leonardo Spinazzola6.5
21M. Politano63'for Sam Beukema6.6
11K. De Bruyne54'for Billy Gilmour7.2
99A. Zambo Anguissa
27Alisson Santos54'for Giovane Santana Do Nascimento7.2
19R. Højlund54'for Lorenzo Lucca6.6
70N. Lang
14N. Contini
32V. Milinković-Savić

Match Stats

VeneziaNapoli
29%Ball Possession71%
0Corner Kicks12
2Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots29
4Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box22
1Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots12
7Fouls6
0Offsides5
9Goalkeeper Saves3
312Total Passes733
234Passes Accurate658
5Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

VeneziaVenezia
NapoliNapoli
1653Elo Rating 1831
1.11Attack 2.31
0.84Defense 0.81
27%Hit Rate 37%
13.9Shots per Game 18.1
4.2Shots on Target 7.8
3.6Corners per Game 4.8
3.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

VeneziaVenezia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

VeneziaVenezia0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
NapoliNapoli3Wins · 75%
1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A16/03/2025
VeneziaNapoli
00
Serie A29/12/2024
NapoliVenezia
10
Serie A06/02/2022
VeneziaNapoli
02
Serie A22/08/2021
NapoliVenezia
20

Recent Form

VeneziaVenezia
1W1D8L
12/10/2026
AtalantaVenezia
31
L19/09/2026
VeneziaLazio
02
L11/09/2026
VeneziaFiorentina
24
L06/09/2026
FrosinoneVenezia
32
L02/09/2026
UdineseVenezia
21
L28/08/2026
AC MilanVenezia
20
L23/08/2026
VeneziaLecce
02
L15/08/2026
VeneziaModena
32
W
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
01/08/2026
Saint EtienneVenezia
43
L
NapoliNapoli
4W2D4L
13/10/2026
VillarrealNapoli
31
L10/10/2026
NapoliFrosinone
30
W20/09/2026
FiorentinaNapoli
11
D13/09/2026
NapoliBologna
10
W09/09/2026
NapoliArsenal
01
L05/09/2026
InterNapoli
32
L30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
L22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
W
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D

Referee Profile

Juan Luca Sacchi122 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Luca Sacchi4.32
Other referees4.61

4.32 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
9TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
10CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza921616:22-67LLWLW
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8JuventusJuventus911:1014
9TorinoTorino914:1413
10CagliariCagliari98:1313
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza916:227
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
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About the Venezia vs Napoli forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Venezia and Napoli in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Napoli are 7th and Venezia 20th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Venezia 6-19, Napoli 17-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.