Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

Cagliari
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Juventus
Unipol Domus, Cagliari·Matteo Marcenaro 11/10/2026
CagliariCagliari
1-1
Finished
JuventusJuventus

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.54
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Cagliari Rest
22 days
Juventus Rest
9 days

Cagliari vs Juventus: the result in context

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Juventus have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Juventus tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 2.5 for Cagliari.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%6.72
X
25%4.00
2
61%1.54
Double Chance
1X
39%2.41
X2
86%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.02
No
54%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.91 + 1.62 = 2.53
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
47%2.01
Over 3.5
26%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.32
Under 2.5
53%1.82
Under 3.5
74%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.1 = 9.3
Over 8.5
61%1.57
Over 9.5
51%2.00
Over 10.5
35%2.52
Under 8.5
39%2.28
Under 9.5
49%1.82
Under 10.5
65%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.89
Over 4.5
34%2.94
Under 3.5
46%1.83
Under 4.5
66%1.38

Match Events

17'Weston McKennieFoul
20'Daniel MaldiniAssist: Paul Mendy
45'Weston McKennie INKerim Alajbegovic out
45'Francisco Conceicao INEdon Zhegrova out
45'Juan Rodriguez INAlessandro Deiola out
45+1'Juan RodriguezFoul
60'Yanis Massolin INAlieu Fadera out
60'Nicolás Iván Gonzalez INNick Woltemade out
64'Zeki Çelik INAndrea Cambiaso out
69'Daniel Maldini INYukinari Sugawara out
69'Paul Mendy INM'Bala Nzola out
81'Randal Kolo MuaniAssist: Kerim Alajbegovic
83'Alessandro DeiolaFoul
84'Adam Obert INJacopo Fazzini out
84'Douglas Luiz Soares INTeun Koopmeiners out

Lineups

Cagliari
4-3-2-1Coach: F. Pisacane
Juventus
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Spalletti
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.90
E. Caprile8.81E. Caprile
Zé Pedro6.82Z. Pedro
Y. Mina6.926Y. Mina
J. Rodríguez6.315J. Rodríguez
A. Obert6.933A. Obert
M. Adopo6.68M. Adopo
H. Winks6.66H. Winks
A. Romano6.44A. Romano
Y. Massolin7.379Y. Massolin
D. Maldini7.670D. Maldini
P. Mendy7.131P. Mendy
G. Vicario6.325G. Vicario
P. Kalulu6.915P. Kalulu
Bremer6.53Bremer
J. Lucumí6.826J. Lucumí
Z. Çelik7.12Z. Çelik
P. Sarr7.229P. Sarr
Douglas Luiz7.212D. Luiz
Francisco Conceição7.07F. Conceição
W. McKennie6.822W. McKennie
N. González6.631N. González
R. Kolo Muani7.89R. Kolo Muani

Cagliari Substitutes

39A. Fadera60'for Yanis Massolin6.7
10J. Fazzini84'for Adam Obert6.4
32Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
21R. Gagliardini
9Kevin Carlos
22R. Kofler
27J. Liteta
18M'Bala Nzola69'for Paul Mendy6.2
23B. Radunović
12A. Sherri
28Y. Sugawara69'for Daniel Maldini6.5
14A. Deiola45'for Juan Rodriguez83'6.0
20R. Ciervo
24G. Aurelio
35A. Sugamele

Juventus Substitutes

11E. Zhegrova45'for Francisco Conceicao6.9
27N. Woltemade60'for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez6.7
4F. Gatti
24D. Rugani
23C. Pinsoglio
8T. Koopmeiners84'for Douglas Luiz Soares6.3
6L. Kelly
20A. Cambiaso64'for Zeki Çelik6.7
32J. Cabal
17Kerim-Sam Alajbegović45'for Weston McKennie7.7
40Riccardo Adrian Radu

Match Stats

CagliariJuventus
28%Ball Possession72%
1Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
4Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box14
1Blocked Shots6
8Fouls8
2Offsides2
9Goalkeeper Saves1
340Total Passes843
278Passes Accurate781
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

CagliariCagliari
JuventusJuventus
1692Elo Rating 1854
0.64Attack 1.38
1.21Defense 1.41
31%Hit Rate 34%
7.1Shots per Game 15.7
2.8Shots on Target 5.1
2.5Corners per Game 6.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CagliariCagliari1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
JuventusJuventus7Wins · 70%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A17/01/2026
CagliariJuventus
10
Serie A29/11/2025
JuventusCagliari
21
Serie A23/02/2025
CagliariJuventus
01
Coppa Italia17/12/2024
JuventusCagliari
40
Serie A06/10/2024
JuventusCagliari
11
Serie A19/04/2024
CagliariJuventus
22
Serie A11/11/2023
JuventusCagliari
21
Serie A09/04/2022
CagliariJuventus
12
Serie A21/12/2021
JuventusCagliari
20
Serie A14/03/2021
CagliariJuventus
13

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Matteo Marcenaro122 matches

4.91Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matteo Marcenaro4.91
Other referees4.67

4.91 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Cagliari vs Juventus forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cagliari and Juventus in the Serie A table

Juventus and Cagliari are close in the Serie A table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cagliari 8-13, Juventus 11-8. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.